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Power grab? Bolting to SEC? Oklahoma president's ominous comments on dysfunctional B12

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Oh god too funny. Folding the LHN into the Big 12. Ha! Is this guy on acid?
 
How many TV sets does OK bring? Why would the SEC or the B1G want them? Mizz and Tx would vote against it. NEB and the other western school would vote against it. The future is the coasts.

That being said:
I always said FSU and Clemson were perfect for the B12.

Grant of right or not, ACC is the weakest link. Throw in the B1G sights on UNC and VIR and SEC with NC State and Va Tech.

But can the dysfunction in the B12 keep it together long enough to let the ACC break apart?

Expansion isn't over brothers.

Great article. Worth a read.
 
I always said FSU and Clemson were perfect for the B12.

Grant of right or not, ACC is the weakest link. Throw in the B1G sights on UNC and VIR and SEC with NC State and Va Tech.

But can the dysfunction in the B12 keep it together long enough to let the ACC break apart?

Expansion isn't over brothers.

Great article. Worth a read.
Great article? Did you read the part where the league would be taking over the LHN? You have a better chance of winning PowerBall then Texas giving up the LHN
 
Kansas and Oklahoma both bring decent TV markets and more important better games/programming for the next TV negotiation. I think 4 conferences of 16 teams is the end game. Do not have to extend the season, 4 team playoff, every game matters. B1G just taking 1st pick before the other 3 conferences jump in.
 
Kansas and Oklahoma both bring decent TV markets and more important better games/programming for the next TV negotiation. I think 4 conferences of 16 teams is the end game. Do not have to extend the season, 4 team playoff, every game matters. B1G just taking 1st pick before the other 3 conferences jump in.

The only way to get to 4 conferences of 16 teams is for the P12 to expand by 4 teams. And the only way the P12 expands by 4 teams is if they take Texas, Oklahoma, and 2 other B12 schools. There is pretty much no one else that they could take. (I don't see Nebraska jumping from the B10 to the P12. I don't see the P12 taking BYU.)
 
The only way to get to 4 conferences of 16 teams is for the P12 to expand by 4 teams. And the only way the P12 expands by 4 teams is if they take Texas, Oklahoma, and 2 other B12 schools. There is pretty much no one else that they could take. (I don't see Nebraska jumping from the B10 to the P12. I don't see the P12 taking BYU.)

You don't see a lot of powerbrokers around Nebraska liking the idea of joining forces with OK, TX, and Okie St again?
 
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Great article? Did you read the part where the league would be taking over the LHN? You have a better chance of winning PowerBall then Texas giving up the LHN
Yes, great article. Some here were stating expansion was dead. It is far from it.
 
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I thought the article made a batter case for no expansion than it did for expansion. Also, during the last round I recall reading that the Oklahoma legislature would not let OU go anywhere (Last time it was to the PAC 12) without Ok State. They had to go as a pair. The SEC won't take the two of them as it doesn't add enough TV sets. However, college sports is a mess so I guess it is fair to say anything can happen. On another note, apparently West Virginia jumped from a "sinking ship" to a dysfunctional conference.
 
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Yes, great article. Some here were stating expansion was dead. It is far from it.
I'm one of those that thinks nothing happens until it gets close to the end of the playoff contract. I don't see anything in here that changes that dynamic.
Texas holds onto the LHN money. That prevents others from joining as there is no one that brings in $$
 
Yes, great article. Some here were stating expansion was dead. It is far from it.
Even though the PAC didn't want Oklahoma without Texas and OK St was out of the question,
I look for that to change due to the limited options the PAC has when possible expansion candidates are concerned .
That option , if Oklahoma is given it, might have the Vitamin Conference expand , especially if they can entice Clemson and FSU . ( VT & NC St as options).
FSU and Clemson won't be allowed in the SEC if USCe and Florida can stop it and if the B-12 can show it's financially worthwhile to join: Expansion Madness might be the result with the BIG and SEC stealing some of the ACC Schools while the PAC goes after the Big 12 Ok and OK St programs.

But I tend to agree with White Bus when he says nothing probably will happen until the playoff TV contract ends.
 
I don't know when the playoff contract ends but I've always thought nothing would happen, if anything, until the GOR in the B12 is near end. I think it was a 13 year GOR of which we're maybe only 2-3 into right now.
 
I don't know when the playoff contract ends but I've always thought nothing would happen, if anything, until the GOR in the B12 is near end. I think it was a 13 year GOR of which we're maybe only 2-3 into right now.
Could the ACC look to raid the B-12 once he GOR ends.
The PAC might want some of that action too o_O
 
Could the ACC look to raid the B-12 once he GOR ends.
The PAC might want some of that action too o_O
Who is the ACC going to add from the B12 at that time. Outside of Texas is there anyone they'd want for whom they'd make a "geographic exception" ? The only thing I could see realistically happening from the ACC side is a possible WVU add and then take UConn to go to 16 with ND as a partial. I don't really see any other realistic scenario from the ACC end. That's really only though if they're dying to get to 16. I don't know that they are.

It's the PAC12 that I think could make another play for B12 teams at that time but again that depends on Texas. They had a chance at OU once and they turned them down so unless anything has changed it still could be contingent on Texas. The SEC? Them I could see taking OU just on brand value but would they take their partner Ok State too? I don't know.
 
The only way to get to 4 conferences of 16 teams is for the P12 to expand by 4 teams. And the only way the P12 expands by 4 teams is if they take Texas, Oklahoma, and 2 other B12 schools. There is pretty much no one else that they could take. (I don't see Nebraska jumping from the B10 to the P12. I don't see the P12 taking BYU.)


Not necessarily the only way, if one thinks 'outside the box'.

Just for the fun of it (please don't take this too seriously, folks)... here is a hypothetical scenario where the ACC gets dismantled... with the B1G, SEC, Big XII, and PAC all increasing to 16 members. The 64 members of this new Power 4 Conference Group then break-off from the FBS and form their own elite division... let's call it the FOOTBALL ELITE BOWL SUBDIVISION (FEBS).

New members in BOLD CAPS.

First the B1G:

WEST DIV.
Illinois
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Wisconsin

EAST DIV.
Indiana
Maryland
NORTH CAROLINA
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Rutgers
VIRGINIA



SEC

WEST DIV.
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi State
Mizzou
Texas A&M

EAST DIV.
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
NC STATE
South Carolina
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
VIRGINIA TECH



BIG XVI

WEST DIV.
Baylor
Kansas
K-State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
TCU
Texas
Texas Tech

EAST DIV.
CLEMSON
DUKE
FLORIDA STATE
GEORGIA TECH

Iowa State
MIAMI
PITT

West Virginia



PAC XVI

WEST DIV.
Cal
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
UCLA
USC
Washington
Washington State

EAST DIV.
Arizona
Arizona State
BOISE STATE
Colorado
HOUSTON
LOUISVILLE
NOTRE DAME

Utah



NOTES---
-Notre Dame cannot realistically enter the PAC on a geographic island... so Louisville comes along as a travel partner for the Irish. The presence of both Houston and Colorado in the same division as the Irish also helps a little bit with travel issues.

-Notre Dame is now a member of the same conference as their two traditional west coast rivals, USC and Stanford. The Irish could play an annually protected divisional cross-over game vs USC, and perhaps play Stanford every two or three years in a divisional cross-over game.

-Houston gets the PAC into the Texas market.

-The Backyard Brawl is re-established with Pitt in the same division as West Virginia.

-In order to prevent Ohio State and Michigan from potentially playing each other two consecutive weeks, 'The Game' played annually between the Buckeyes and Wolverines will be held in October, and the Spartans vs Wolverines contest will be played Thanksgiving weekend.

-Other West Div. Thanksgiving weekend B1G games will remain as-is, and the East Div. Thanksgiving weekend games will feature Indiana vs Purdue, Ohio State vs Penn State, Rutgers vs Maryland, and North Carolina vs Virginia.

-The biggest losers in this scenario are the three remaining ACC schools left out: Boston College, Syracuse, Wake Forest... these three schools will be absorbed into the American Conference. Sorry, Eagles, Orange and Demon Deacons, but that's the way the cookie crumbles!

-Other losers in this scenario, and left out of the FEBS include: BYU, Cincinnati, Colorado State, Fresno State, Memphis, San Diego State, Temple, UConn, UCF, USF. So sad... but no more room at the Inn!





Again, the above scenario was just for the fun-of-it!





GO BLUE!
 
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Even though the PAC didn't want Oklahoma without Texas and OK St was out of the question,
I look for that to change due to the limited options the PAC has when possible expansion candidates are concerned .
That option , if Oklahoma is given it, might have the Vitamin Conference expand , especially if they can entice Clemson and FSU . ( VT & NC St as options).
FSU and Clemson won't be allowed in the SEC if USCe and Florida can stop it and if the B-12 can show it's financially worthwhile to join: Expansion Madness might be the result with the BIG and SEC stealing some of the ACC Schools while the PAC goes after the Big 12 Ok and OK St programs.

But I tend to agree with White Bus when he says nothing probably will happen until the playoff TV contract ends.

The issue is the one you pointed out, can the Big 12 make it financially worthwhile to join. The problem is that the Big 12 can't renegotiate its TV contract. They only get enough money to cover the cost of adding the extra teams. Boren himself mentioned this earlier in the year. (So did Bowlsby.) Boren said:
“The contract says that our main television contract … if we grow from 10 to 11 or 11 to 12, their payments to us grow proportionally,” Boren said. “So everybody’s share stays the same. If it’s ‘X’ dollars, it stays ‘X’ dollars.
http://newsok.com/article/5429694


The average payout from the Big 12 contract is $20 million a year per team. If other teams joined, then it would still just be $20 million per team. If you're already in a P5 conference, that's about what you make now anyway, so there isn't any real financial incentive to join.
 
LHN is supposedly bleeding money from E$PN's perspective. I still think B1G gets Texas and FSU. Texas walks from LHN. So maybe LHN morphs into BXII network.
 
LHN is supposedly bleeding money from E$PN's perspective. I still think B1G gets Texas and FSU. Texas walks from LHN. So maybe LHN morphs into BXII network.
Texas could give a rats ass that ESPN is losing money. ESPN has no out.
 
Not necessarily the only way, if one thinks 'outside the box'.

Just for the fun of it (please don't take this too seriously, folks)... here is a hypothetical scenario where the ACC gets dismantled... with the B1G, SEC, Big XII, and PAC all increasing to 16 members. The 64 members of this new Power 4 Conference Group then break-off from the FBS and form their own elite division... let's call it the FOOTBALL ELITE BOWL SUBDIVISION (FEBS).

New members in BOLD CAPS.

First the B1G:

WEST DIV.
Illinois
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Wisconsin

EAST DIV.
Indiana
Maryland
NORTH CAROLINA
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Rutgers
VIRGINIA



SEC

WEST DIV.
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi State
Mizzou
Texas A&M

EAST DIV.
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
NC STATE
South Carolina
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
VIRGINIA TECH



BIG XVI

WEST DIV.
Baylor
Kansas
K-State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
TCU
Texas
Texas Tech

EAST DIV.
CLEMSON
DUKE
FLORIDA STATE
GEORGIA TECH

Iowa State
MIAMI
PITT

West Virginia



PAC XVI

WEST DIV.
Cal
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
UCLA
USC
Washington
Washington State

EAST DIV.
Arizona
Arizona State
BOISE STATE
Colorado
HOUSTON
LOUISVILLE
NOTRE DAME

Utah



NOTES---
-Notre Dame cannot realistically enter the PAC on a geographic island... so Louisville comes along as a travel partner for the Irish. The presence of both Houston and Colorado in the same division as the Irish also helps a little bit with travel issues.

-Notre Dame is now a member of the same conference as their two traditional west coast rivals, USC and Stanford. The Irish could play an annually protected divisional cross-over game vs USC, and perhaps play Stanford every two or three years in a divisional cross-over game.

-Houston gets the PAC into the Texas market.

-The Backyard Brawl is re-established with Pitt in the same division as West Virginia.

-In order to prevent Ohio State and Michigan from potentially playing each other two consecutive weeks, 'The Game' played annually between the Buckeyes and Wolverines will be held in October, and the Spartans vs Wolverines contest will be played Thanksgiving weekend.

-Other West Div. Thanksgiving weekend B1G games will remain as-is, and the East Div. Thanksgiving weekend games will feature Indiana vs Purdue, Ohio State vs Penn State, Rutgers vs Maryland, and North Carolina vs Virginia.

-The biggest losers in this scenario are the three remaining ACC schools left out: Boston College, Syracuse, Wake Forest... these three schools will be absorbed into the American Conference. Sorry, Eagles, Orange and Demon Deacons, but that's the way the cookie crumbles!

-Other losers in this scenario, and left out of the FEBS include: BYU, Cincinnati, Colorado State, Fresno State, Memphis, San Diego State, Temple, UConn, UCF, USF. So sad... but no more room at the Inn!





Again, the above scenario was just for the fun-of-it!





GO BLUE!
More or less how I see it shaking out - w/ ND going somewhere or no where as they are still the only one who can stay indie.

Nicely put together. Thank you


In the day an age of cord cutting, and the soon to end raping of people who don't watch sports but still pay $8 a month for ESPN, college football will have to consolidate to survive (...to command these billion dollar sport packages)
 
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Not necessarily the only way, if one thinks 'outside the box'.

Just for the fun of it (please don't take this too seriously, folks)... here is a hypothetical scenario where the ACC gets dismantled... with the B1G, SEC, Big XII, and PAC all increasing to 16 members. The 64 members of this new Power 4 Conference Group then break-off from the FBS and form their own elite division... let's call it the FOOTBALL ELITE BOWL SUBDIVISION (FEBS).

New members in BOLD CAPS.

First the B1G:

WEST DIV.
Illinois
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Wisconsin

EAST DIV.
Indiana
Maryland
NORTH CAROLINA
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Rutgers
VIRGINIA



SEC

WEST DIV.
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi State
Mizzou
Texas A&M

EAST DIV.
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
NC STATE
South Carolina
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
VIRGINIA TECH



BIG XVI

WEST DIV.
Baylor
Kansas
K-State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
TCU
Texas
Texas Tech

EAST DIV.
CLEMSON
DUKE
FLORIDA STATE
GEORGIA TECH

Iowa State
MIAMI
PITT

West Virginia



PAC XVI

WEST DIV.
Cal
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
UCLA
USC
Washington
Washington State

EAST DIV.
Arizona
Arizona State
BOISE STATE
Colorado
HOUSTON
LOUISVILLE
NOTRE DAME

Utah



NOTES---
-Notre Dame cannot realistically enter the PAC on a geographic island... so Louisville comes along as a travel partner for the Irish. The presence of both Houston and Colorado in the same division as the Irish also helps a little bit with travel issues.

-Notre Dame is now a member of the same conference as their two traditional west coast rivals, USC and Stanford. The Irish could play an annually protected divisional cross-over game vs USC, and perhaps play Stanford every two or three years in a divisional cross-over game.

-Houston gets the PAC into the Texas market.

-The Backyard Brawl is re-established with Pitt in the same division as West Virginia.

-In order to prevent Ohio State and Michigan from potentially playing each other two consecutive weeks, 'The Game' played annually between the Buckeyes and Wolverines will be held in October, and the Spartans vs Wolverines contest will be played Thanksgiving weekend.

-Other West Div. Thanksgiving weekend B1G games will remain as-is, and the East Div. Thanksgiving weekend games will feature Indiana vs Purdue, Ohio State vs Penn State, Rutgers vs Maryland, and North Carolina vs Virginia.

-The biggest losers in this scenario are the three remaining ACC schools left out: Boston College, Syracuse, Wake Forest... these three schools will be absorbed into the American Conference. Sorry, Eagles, Orange and Demon Deacons, but that's the way the cookie crumbles!

-Other losers in this scenario, and left out of the FEBS include: BYU, Cincinnati, Colorado State, Fresno State, Memphis, San Diego State, Temple, UConn, UCF, USF. So sad... but no more room at the Inn!





Again, the above scenario was just for the fun-of-it!





GO BLUE!
The PAC 12 would never take scraps like Houston, Boise St., and Louisville. If the PAC expends they take the best available, including Texas. Please, you have the B1G grabbing two flagship universities and the PAC taking Boise St. and Houston, that is not reality, get your head out of the B1G sand.
 
Only info I've heard since this madness started w Nebraska leaving the 12 for Ten, only Mo and Ne were considered. Tex and Ks qualified for the academic levels (w Texas) but, Ok and OSU were way down on the academic levels. Actually, Ne fell a little short but the popularity and fan base made up for it on the income level and was accepted over Mo, who was publicly barnstorming for membership. I really doubt the Big Ten wants to give up on the CIC req, it's suppose to = the income of the athletics through research and endowments. JFWIW.
 
B1G adds Oklahoma, and Kansas.
ACC adds Note Dame and Texas
SEC adds Texas Tech and West Virginia
PAC adds TCU, Baylor, K-State, and Oklahoma State

Iowa State gets screwed. 4 conferences, 4 playoff games, conference championship game act as quarter finials. Each conference teams play all teams in their division (7 games, 3 from other division and 2 from one of the other conferences.
 
B1G adds Oklahoma, and Kansas.
ACC adds Note Dame and Texas
SEC adds Texas Tech and West Virginia
PAC adds TCU, Baylor, K-State, and Oklahoma State

Iowa State gets screwed. 4 conferences, 4 playoff games, conference championship game act as quarter finials. Each conference teams play all teams in their division (7 games, 3 from other division and 2 from one of the other conferences.
No way the PAC12 expands without Texas. No way ND joins a conference knowing that cord cutting in cable will only make them MORE valuable as an independent than in a conference - conference networks are going to take a big financial hit in the next ten years when the 95% of cable subscriebrs pay so that 5% can get the network they wnat model goes belly up.

The SEC isnt going to add a nobody team in the least populated area of Texas, nor are they going to add WVU - not a big enough name nationally, and not a big enough region locally - with coal on its way out, WVU is in for tough times.
 
No way ND joins a conference knowing that cord cutting in cable will only make them MORE valuable as an independent than in a conference - conference networks are going to take a big financial hit in the next ten years when the 95% of cable subscriebrs pay so that 5% can get the network they wnat model goes belly up.



I'd pay $5.00 a month for the B1G network
I'd pay $5.00 a month for the SEC network
I'd pay $5.00 a month for the YES
I'd pay $5.00 a month for a Notre Dame Network

I only watch 2 or 3 stations now yet I pay for 300. SMH
 
T

They are locked in to a BOG for the forseable futuer. They can make all the noise that they want, but the Big10 and SEC CAN'T can't touch them until they can come with their TV rights.

I don't know when the playoff contract ends but I've always thought nothing would happen, if anything, until the GOR in the B12 is near end. I think it was a 13 year GOR of which we're maybe only 2-3 into right now.

Could the ACC look to raid the B-12 once he GOR ends.
The PAC might want some of that action too o_O
Obligatory GOR's are not as iron clad as you think post:

http://www.foxsports.com/college-fo...ge/myth-of-the-big-12s-grant-of-rights-010313

sportspolitico.com/2015/02/16/will-grant-of-rights-protect-big12-from-future-raids/
 
How many TV sets does OK bring? Why would the SEC or the B1G want them? Mizz and Tx would vote against it. NEB and the other western school would vote against it. The future is the coasts.

That being said:
I always said FSU and Clemson were perfect for the B12.

Grant of right or not, ACC is the weakest link. Throw in the B1G sights on UNC and VIR and SEC with NC State and Va Tech.

But can the dysfunction in the B12 keep it together long enough to let the ACC break apart?

Expansion isn't over brothers.

Great article. Worth a read.

Kansas and Oklahoma both bring decent TV markets and more important better games/programming for the next TV negotiation. I think 4 conferences of 16 teams is the end game. Do not have to extend the season, 4 team playoff, every game matters. B1G just taking 1st pick before the other 3 conferences jump in.
I've been very vocal in the Big Ten Expansion thread that if the conference is going to expand, Oklahoma should be one of the top targets, if not THE top target. I'll quote myself here on a few thoughts (edited down to keep it shorter):

I think it'd be more of a scoring system where you'd have to assign points to schools in different categories. You can't just say "AAU" for academics, Notre Dame would get in without AAU accreditation and Nebraska was invited even though the conference knew they were losing it (in fact, Michigan and Wisconsin voted against them in the AAU). Actually, Nebraska is a good case study, because of the "brand" a lot of the other traditional metrics can be relaxed. You'd see the same thing for other big football names if there were mutual interest.

I think you need to take into account the following if you're trying to rate candidates:

  • Academics (AAU preferred, but not required)​
  • Athletic Brand (may even need to be broken out into Football/Basketball brands separately, see Kansas)​
  • Location/TV Value (combination of geographic location, TV markets, recruiting grounds and fan base)​
  • Culture/Fit (for lack of better words, are they a large, public "flagship" in their state? Lots of research? etc.)​
  • Interest (would they actually leave their current affiliation and join?)​

You don't need to have a max score in every category, but the higher the overall score the more likely candidate they are.

Penn State hit on every point.

Nebraska hit on brand, location/TV value (but not recruiting ground, and more about their massive fan base adding to tier 1 value than their home market), culture/fit and interest. Academics was shakier, but they're still a Tier 1 university.

Rutgers and Maryland hit in 4 out of 5 categories with the closest thing to a big time athletic brand being Maryland basketball (sorry, no offense to any one here).

Oklahoma may have a small home market, but you can't get any bluer blood. Texas has more overall wins, but Oklahoma has more National Titles, more conference titles, more consensus All-Americans, more Heisman winners, more Bowl appearances, more BCS appearances...

Oklahoma would immediately be one of the biggest brands in the B1G, arguably the biggest. The downside is academics, but they're relatively equal to Nebraska. If you can get Oklahoma, you take Oklahoma.

The Pac-12 didn't turn down Oklahoma, they turned down the Oklahoma/Oklahoma State combo pack. The Big Ten would probably do the same, Oklahoma State offers...hey, remember Barry Sanders and Thurman Thomas?? Remember that time they almost played for a title before inexplicably losing to Iowa State?

Agree to disagree. Oklahoma was 26th in average TV ratings last year, the highest Big 12 team. Nebraska was 17th, Penn State was 25th and Texas was 34th. Put Oklahoma and the B1G and I would put money on that number going up, if only due to better distribution (there were 7 B1G teams and 12 SEC teams in the top 25, along with FSU, Notre Dame, NC State, Oregon, USC and UCLA). http://texags.com/s/15550/infographic-2014-college-football-tv-ratings

I do agree with you on point b). Especially going back to the average ratings (where Virginia finished 45th, between Iowa and Arizona State and UNC finished 55th, between Rutgers and Iowa State). And Delany (or someone) said when they added Nebraska that they're not making expansion decisions based on the next 10 years, they're making the decision based on the next 100 years. Even with population and everything taken into account, Oklahoma is just hugely more valuable to a sports network than UNC and UVA.

Point a)...I don't know the answer to that either. There's a lot to consider...BTN carriage rates, the value they'd bring to the tier 1 rights, extra inventory of games to sell and sell advertising...I think they would add enough, but I don't know for sure.

Well, none have won more recent titles than Michigan either, but that's not the point. The point is, look at the whole package. Look at wins, national titles, BCS/New Years 6 bowls played in. Look at TV ranking (see above), look at licensing (Oklahoma: 419 licenses, Michigan: 406, Penn State: 510, Ohio State: doesn't use the CLC, so ??), revenues (Michigan 3rd, Ohio State 5th, Oklahoma 7th, Penn State 12th, Nebraska 26th). Add in whatever else you want, Oklahoma stacks up pretty well.

Expansion is about power and it's about money and consolidating those two things as much as possible in your conference. There's two ways to go about that, bringing in national brands and bringing in population centers and TV markets. Ideally, you get both...like Penn State being added to the Big Ten. The rest of the time, you have to take a compromise. Nebraska brought national brand. Rutgers and Maryland brought population centers and TV markets.

Now, there's a scarcity of both those things. But, population centers and TV markets are and can be fractured. If the Big Ten takes UVA, the SEC can take VT. If the Big Ten adds UNC, the SEC can take NC State. Georgia Tech, the SEC already has Georgia. On the other hand, when you look at the bluest of the blue bloods, the B1G already has 4, Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State and Nebraska. USC isn't coming. Florida, Alabama and LSU aren't coming. There's really only about 4 programs left in that class...Texas, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Florida State. If one is available and interested, no strings attached (no little brothers tagging along, no special treatment), you'll regret passing.

Except if you're a big brand and turn on TV's everywhere. Tuscaloosa is the 5th largest city in the 23rd largest state. The state is 46th in median household income. Anyone want to argue that Rutgers and Maryland are more valuable to their conference than Alabama is?

That being said, all this boils down to where do you see the audience getting access to the content in the future? If cord cutting continues to be the trend, then you need to be able to put a product out that people actually want to see, not just a product that happens to be on their channel lineup that they're paying for whether they watch or not. I'm sure there's more data out here, but this is what I could find in about 2 minutes of Googling. Average number of viewers per game in millions (please excuse the formatting, I'm not savvy enough to make it show right):

2013 Viewers 2014 Viewers Average
Ohio State 4.37 4.96 4.665
Florida State 3.01 6.25 4.63
Michigan 5.25 3.78 4.515
Notre Dame 3.91 4.2 4.055
Nebraska 3.24 3.02 3.13
Missouri 2.51 3.71 3.11
Penn State 2.65 2.38 2.515
Oklahoma 2.64 2.37 2.505
Texas 2.24 2.07 2.155
Georgia Tech 1.5 2.22 1.86
North Carolina 2.24 1.25 1.745
Virginia 0.88 1.84 1.36
Maryland 1.15 1.5 1.325
Rutgers 0.92 1.26 1.09

Two years is minimal, but in a cord cutting future, Oklahoma (football) is a lot easier to monetize than UNC, UVA or GT (football). The question becomes is it enough to justify expanding instead of standing pat? Or is Notre Dame still on the table or possibly Florida State? Will those trends hold for Missouri and if they do, would Missouri even consider a move? Does UNC basketball bring enough ratings to offset their lower football ratings? I don't have the answers to any of that.

Basically, this is all a long winded way of saying that if the B1G does decide to expand again, I want and think they need big names. I don't want to see Ohio State vs. Virginia or Georgia Tech, I want to see Ohio State vs. Oklahoma. I want Ohio State vs. Texas. I want Ohio State vs. Florida State. Those games are what will sell BTN subscriptions in the unbundled future.

Since someone just liked a post I made here, lets look at some average viewer numbers for some of the teams discussed here for the 2015 season. All numbers come from here, which for some programs is pretty sparse as it doesn't include numbers for BTN, SEC Network, Pac-12 Network or CBS Sports Network, as non are Nielsen-rated.

I used average viewers to get more data points than the TV ratings. Obviously the more data points for a team, the more accurate the numbers are. It also gives us a good idea of who's actually on national broadcast telecasts as well.

Ohio State - 10 games listed - Average 6.871 million viewers per game
Michigan State - 9 games listed - 5.698 million viewers/game
Michigan - 9 games listed - 5.129 million viewers/game
Notre Dame - 12 games listed - 4.232 million viewers/game
Oklahoma - 11 games listed - 3.003 million viewers/game
Florida State - 10 games listed - 2.992 million viewers/game
Nebraska - 9 games listed - 2.853 million viewers/game
Penn State - 10 games listed - 2.480 million viewers/game
Texas - 10 games listed - 2.414 million viewers/game
UNC - 9 games listed - 2.351 million viewers/game
Virginia - 4 games listed - 2.325 million viewers/game
Rutgers - 3 games listed - 1.949 million viewers/game
Georgia Tech - 7 games listed - 1.831 million viewers/game
Missouri - 4 games listed - 1.708 million viewers/game
Maryland - 6 games listed - 1.172 million viewers/game

Adding to the info I posted above, that brings us to 3 years averages of:

Ohio State - 5.40 million
Michigan - 4.72 million
Notre Dame - 4.11 million
Florida State - 4.08 million
Nebraska - 3.04 million
Oklahoma - 2.67 million
Missouri - 2.64 million
Penn State - 2.50 million
Texas - 2.24 million
UNC - 1.95 million
Georgia Tech - 1.85 million
Virginia - 1.68 million
Rutgers - 1.30 million
Maryland - 1.27 million


The trend did not hold for Missouri, as their viewers dropped way down with the performance of the team this year. Texas seems to be suffering from their extended bout with mediocrity as well. With Tier 1 negotiations approaching, now would be the time to make a move if they're going to, and I don't know if those numbers from UVa, UNC or GT justify it. And they certainly aren't numbers that would sell unbundled subscriptions if that's where we're going with everything.

That depends. Right now, as we speak, yes you want more TV households. Hence the invites for Rutgers and Maryland.

However, since 2010 cable subscribers have on a very steady downward trend. ESPN has lost 7 million subscribers in the last two years. If those trends continue, you're going to need product that people actually watch and will pay for, not just product in the area where the most people are.

Just some more info I came across today. 2014 athletic department revenues for some of the schools that have been discussed here and comparison's to existing B1G programs. Again, not the end all, but another data point and indicator of support for the programs.

1) Texas - $180 million
2) Ohio State - $171 million
5) Oklahoma - $136 million
6) Michigan - $130 million
8) Penn State - $128 million
10) Wisconsin - $126 million

12) Florida State - $121 million
13) Notre Dame - $121 million
20) Iowa - $107 million
23) Minnesota - $105 million
25) Nebraska - $103 million

27) Kansas - $103 million
29) Michigan State - $93 million
31) Indiana - $87 million

34) Virginia - $87 million
35) Maryland - $87 million
40) UNC - $85 million
41) Missouri - $84 million
50) Purdue - $75 million
51) Illinois - $74 million

52) UConn - $72 million
55) Pitt - $71 million
56) Northwestern - $70 million
58) Boston College - $69 million
62) Iowa State - $66 million
63) Georgia Tech - $65 million
64) Rutgers - $65 million
 
Nebraska will do everything to get KU and OU into the B1G. Kansas and KSU are not tied together. Neither is OU and Okie Lite.

The GOR won't matter if OU and KU both say "f*** you Texas we are out." Texas will not keep the Big 12 alive without those two. The GOR will dissolve and Texas would either go to the PAC or go Indy.

Kansas wants in the B1G. The B1G screwed up in 2010 when this all went down, they should have grabbed KU and Mizzou (even though I hate Mizzou.) but that would have evened out sides for awhile and than added you guys and Maryland.

(Not saying this in a rude way at all.) Rutgers and Maryland were both still going to be there in November of 2012 when the B1G announced the addition of you guys and the Terps no matter the conference moves.

The B1G would benefit greatly in football, basketball and Olympic sports from OU and basketball, Olympic sports and academics from KU. KU is AAU and has excellent research facilities.
 
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