RU -22

[zebnatto]

Higher than I’d expected. My guess would have been -15. Maybe Columbia is expected to be really, really bad.

 

[biazza38]

22 is a lot without Caleb. Pike also likes to play around with his rotation early in the year. I don’t know anything about Columbia but I’d hammer them

 

[zebnatto]

Do we know that Caleb is unavailable?

Haven’t Seen a prediction thread but RU 73 COL 57 seems a reasonable expectation.

 

[Scarlet Blind]

Columbia was 4-22 last year, 1 non D1 win.
Lost @ UMBC by 38, @ Colgate by 28, @ Dartmouth by 29
lost at home to Lafayette 50-73, at home to Yale by 25
3 wins vs Binghamton, Maine, and @ Penn.
First games are always so unpredictable.

 

[biazza38]

Do we know that Caleb is unavailable?

Haven’t Seen a prediction thread but RU 73 COL 57 seems a reasonable expectation.

I’m pretty sure the mods said he’s going to be held out the first 3 games

 

[MikeR0102]

Columbia was 4-22 last year, 1 non D1 win.
Lost @ UMBC by 38, @ Colgate by 28, @ Dartmouth by 29
lost at home to Lafayette 50-73, at home to Yale by 25
3 wins vs Binghamton, Maine, and @ Penn.
First games are always so unpredictable.

Need to treat them like little brother. Hopefully lot of playing time for the 10-13th guys on the bench

 

[fatsam98]

Yeah they're pretty bad... Supposedly have a solid incoming freshman class but that's not gonna mean much game #1 at the RAC

 

[robjknight]

if we are up big, Pike will likely give 2nd string some extra playing time. Hard to hold a 22+ lead.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Bart has RU -19

 

[runner3283]

Do we know that Caleb is unavailable?

Haven’t Seen a prediction thread but RU 73 COL 57 seems a reasonable expectation.

101-1 seems about right.

 

[Mr Magoo]

That’s an awful lot of points for a Rutgers opener.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Last year the numbers looked really bad for Columbia. The only green shaded category is they don’t foul…..not sure that is a positive.

 

[kcg88]

Last year the numbers looked really bad for Columbia. The only green shaded category is they don’t foul…..not sure that is a positive.

You can see why the one guy who had some success there -- didn't even get them to the tournament, just had some winning records -- is now coaching a high major.

They should be better than one of the ten worst teams this year. But not much more than that.

 

[kcg88]

Everyone in the conference is a huge favorite but if I have my probabilities right then there is about a 50% chance somebody loses.

13.4 expected wins from this slate:

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

If you had even money which would you take? 14-0 or 1 or more loses?

The good news if there is a loss there is a high probability it is NOT us.

I think there is a 53.5% we go undefeated. .6 losses are because there is a chance that there are 2 or more losses.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

a lot of young returning player means they should be improved.

 

[RUHouston]

Everyone in the conference is a huge favorite but if I have my probabilities right then there is about a 50% chance somebody loses.

13.4 expected wins from this slate:

This is great!! Where does one find this?

 

[kcg88]

This is great!! Where does one find this?

This is from KenPom

 

[kcg88]

If you had even money which would you take? 14-0 or 1 or more loses?

The good news if there is a loss there is a high probability it is NOT us.

I think there is a 53.5% we go undefeated. .6 losses are because there is a chance that there are 2 or more losses.

I'd take 14-0 at even odds.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I'd take 14-0 at even odds.

Me too, but wouldn’t bet the house. I could see Wisconsin or Michigan losing.

what scares me is I am not concerned at all about us.

 

[Groz]

I see Big being 14-0 on Mon/Tues.

Best of Luck,
Groz

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I think I am taking the B1G to lose a game....
PSU -12 -640 (blended average of +540 and -740)
Mich -15.5 -1300
Mich St -21 -1800
Ind -24.5 -2750
MD -17 -1400
OSU -20 -1600
Iowa -29
NEB -21.5
WISC -12 -725
MIN -9.5 -465
Ill -31