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You may disagree, but this is really Year 2

Right but 19 year old DL playing against 23 year old 4 star OL is a tough matchup. There’s no secret that our best players almost every year are the guys who have been playing 4-5 years. That’s just a fact. Skill players can develop faster and we have guys like Melton playing at a very high level but our best guys aside from him and a few others are the older guys.

Last year it was Pacheco, Turner and Bo Melton with our LB’s all playing well. The year before it was Dwumfour and Avery. Injuries also play a part as we lost Vedral this year and guys are playing hurt or missing time.

And what does this thread have to do with Ash as brought up above? I always said Ash was put in a bad position and Schiano was put in a worse position. Mainly because you lose out on a year or two of recruiting when you change coaches plus we had all of those arrests under Flood and again under Ash. It takes time to build quality depth when you factor all of those things in. Two years ago everyone was praising Schiano for flipping Melton and Powell, bringing in some transfers and getting guys like Turner to play really hard.

But make no mistake, Ash was a lame duck recruiting the 2019 class and we were lucky to get who we did that year and in 2 weeks in 2020 thanks to Nunz, Schiano and Fran Brown. Those would be our upperclassmen today, especially in the trenches.

Here are who is left from our older classes:

2018 - Izien, Young, Korzak all playing very well.

2019 - Young (injured), Toure (injured), Washington and Hansen.

Now go look at how many upperclassmen playing for Minnesota, Iowa, etc who are solid but not Top 10 programs. We need time just to catch up to them in this conference.
Upfront money paid to high school kids, promises on yearly NIL and free agency portal has changed the entire process of program building.
It’s changed the perception on how to build a program as well.
 
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Now go way out on a limb and predict 2024?😊
Will we have even a serviceable OL, likewise for DT’s, will we have legitimate back up running backs in case Brown gets dinged (assuming he’s not poached)
Will we have wide receivers, good special teams with less dumb turnovers and penalties
Will we even have a QB room?
It depends on how the Big Ten alters divisions, and when.

But as is now, 2024 and 2025, I’d say 4-7 wins both seasons. And after that, 4-8 wins most years. I reserve the right to change that once I hear what the big ten does.
 
Yeah this is clearly fun. Lol.
Nice strategy. Under project. Can't lose that way. You'll either be right or pleasantly surprised.
Btw.. there's more to the game than just the record. To many people how you play it matters.
When success is entirely out of my control, setting high expectations would be stupidly self-defeating. I like being happy and I’m good at it. This is part of that. 🙂
 
It depends on how the Big Ten alters divisions, and when.

But as is now, 2024 and 2025, I’d say 4-7 wins both seasons. And after that, 4-8 wins most years. I reserve the right to change that once I hear what the big ten does.
It’s not happening before 2024 (conference realignment)
So 2024 in the B1G East.
 
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Such an exaggerated take on most fans expectations for effect. I know the model. When the argument is close throw out some extreme accusations to make the other side look stupid and unreasonable.
I mean just look through the preseason threads. We’ve honestly hit expectations.

It’s just that there were winnable games that we lost/blew so people are salty saying everything sucks.
 
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If a coach who is so big on ball control can't after all this time can't get better execution on turnovers and penalties than he is either not effective in coaching or recruiting the right players. That's his job and why he's paid as much as he's paid.
By far, the best way for any coach to control mistakes and turnovers is to build enough depth of talent to bench those players causing problems. That’s impossible to do in just 3 or 4 years.

As for recruiting, I am pretty sure no coach has a crystal ball that tells them who will become a turnover machine. So they do their best to get those players who don’t statistically or otherwise demonstrate that potential.

I suspect that, as the talent and athleticism improve, the mistakes will become less frequent. But again, that doesn’t happen overnight.
 
In Schiano's first year didn't we play a BIG only schedule and isn't that when he won 3 BIG games. So by your arguments he did that with Ash's recruits. Since then he has added more of his players and won fewer BIG games. Hmmm Interesting
 
The Eagles and Cowboys have waaaaaay more talent than the Giants. And that stands to reason since Dallas beat them and the giants still have 5 division games remaining. I don’t think they’ll finish any better than 1-5 in the division.

Still, the Giants won at Tennessee and beat Baltimore with a roster of dogshit.
Oh you mean you don’t love Danny Dimes???? Lol.

I also expect them to struggle the second half but I think they’re capable of going 3-3. Philly looks beatable, I don’t know what to think about Dallas, lose to a struggling Green Bay last week only to destroy the Vikings today in their own building…
 
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It’s not happening before 2024 (conference realignment)
So 2024 in the B1G East.
2024 is when USC/UCLA join. Conference announced that the current divisions would remain the same and that they would revisit for 2024 when the new members join. Speculation is three locked rivals with six additional conference games. Every team would play each other once home and once away in a four-year span. Of course this assumes no more expansion by then. Assuming Penn State is one of Rutgers' locked rivals, we'll probably still have to play at least one of Michigan/OSU/USC every year in addition to Penn State, and half of the time two of those in addition to Penn State so its still going to be a tough schedule.
 
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By far, the best way for any coach to control mistakes and turnovers is to build enough depth of talent to bench those players causing problems. That’s impossible to do in just 3 or 4 years.

As for recruiting, I am pretty sure no coach has a crystal ball that tells them who will become a turnover machine. So they do their best to get those players who don’t statistically or otherwise demonstrate that potential.

I suspect that, as the talent and athleticism improve, the mistakes will become less frequent. But again, that doesn’t happen overnight.
I totally disagree.
 
2024 is when USC/UCLA join. Conference announced that the current divisions would remain the same and that they would revisit for 2024 when the new members join. Speculation is three locked rivals with six additional conference games. Every team would play each other once home and once away in a four-year span. Of course this assumes no more expansion by then. Assuming Penn State is one of Rutgers' locked rivals, we'll probably still have to play at least one of Michigan/OSU/USC every year in addition to Penn State, and half of the time two of those in addition to Penn State so its still going to be a tough schedule.
Both those teams will be powerhouses in the B1G.
 
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I mean just look through the preseason threads. We’ve honestly hit expectations.

It’s just that there were winnable games that we lost/blew so people are salty saying everything sucks.
Everything doesn't suck. Picking games based on preseason expectations isn't the same as live expectations based on the changing circumstances. You said it yourself. We blew several games. Going in 4 was a fair guess. We should be at least 5-6 with a chance for a bowl or possibly as already have the 6:wins. Minimum, the Maryland game should have bowl implications based on the nebby, Iowa, and msu games.
 
Not sure which part you’re disagreeing about, but feel free to make a logical case for your disagreement.
Nope. Tired of this . Everyone can just be happy with things. And so you know. I kicked in a grand to the bring Greg back fund.
 
The OL wasn't exactly the 1994 Dallas Cowboys line but JD DiRenzo, Willie Tyler and Curtis Dunlap were big reasons why the games against Iowa, Nebraska and Michigan State were close. They also helped the team win against Indy and BC where the running game just took over in the 2nd half for the latter. I really think the last game would have been a lot closer if Samuel Brown was healthy.
Maybe the OLine would be better if ONeal wasn’t chased out of his starting spot at Rutgers but was still good enough to play LT for the # 17 team in the country
 
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Because year 1 was not his recruits and just picking up the pieces.

Last year, made some progress and got some good kids in the pipeline

This year they get some experience and grow. That said, we did blow 2 games for sure.

Next year is fair game. Continue to build with the young guys and get some more portal talent.

Again, you may disagree, but that’s the reality
100% correct. As sad as it is, this year has no bearing on the future. Next year and the year after will determine where this program goes, either with, or without, Schiano. All theses posts about everything now is just blowhards blowing.
 
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Everything doesn't suck. Picking games based on preseason expectations isn't the same as live expectations based on the changing circumstances. You said it yourself. We blew several games. Going in 4 was a fair guess. We should be at least 5-6 with a chance for a bowl or possibly as already have the 6:wins. Minimum, the Maryland game should have bowl implications based on the nebby, Iowa, and msu games.
I think everything you said is totally fair, but people are acting as if the sky is falling and I don’t think it’s all that bad.

I really just want to see Gavin next season and see what happens from there.
 
Right but 19 year old DL playing against 23 year old 4 star OL is a tough matchup. There’s no secret that our best players almost every year are the guys who have been playing 4-5 years. That’s just a fact. Skill players can develop faster and we have guys like Melton playing at a very high level but our best guys aside from him and a few others are the older guys.

Last year it was Pacheco, Turner and Bo Melton with our LB’s all playing well. The year before it was Dwumfour and Avery. Injuries also play a part as we lost Vedral this year and guys are playing hurt or missing time.

And what does this thread have to do with Ash as brought up above? I always said Ash was put in a bad position and Schiano was put in a worse position. Mainly because you lose out on a year or two of recruiting when you change coaches plus we had all of those arrests under Flood and again under Ash. It takes time to build quality depth when you factor all of those things in. Two years ago everyone was praising Schiano for flipping Melton and Powell, bringing in some transfers and getting guys like Turner to play really hard.

But make no mistake, Ash was a lame duck recruiting the 2019 class and we were lucky to get who we did that year and in 2 weeks in 2020 thanks to Nunz, Schiano and Fran Brown. Those would be our upperclassmen today, especially in the trenches.

Here are who is left from our older classes:

2018 - Izien, Young, Korzak all playing very well.

2019 - Young (injured), Toure (injured), Washington and Hansen.

Now go look at how many upperclassmen playing for Minnesota, Iowa, etc who are solid but not Top 10 programs. We need time just to catch up to them in this conference.
Best post in thread. Most programs have upperclassmen as the core of their team. Unfortunately, we don't and it shows.
 
Rookies who haven’t even played a full season. You can hate the NYG comparison all you want but the bottom line is we have enough to be able to have won at least one of the following:

Iowa
Nebraska
@MSU
@Maryland

GS can still prove me wrong and beat Maryland and I’ll eat my words. But 0 for the other 3 is weak. How about exceeding expectations just once? In 2003 he beat Syracuse in the finale and gave us something to hang out hats on. Go upset Maryland and I’ll say we’re on schedule.
Iowa may very well win the West. Two freak plays turn the game. Iowas does not bother me.
Nebraska still bothers me the most.
MSU the next most, especially with Indiana beating them.
Maryland will be a tough game, unless this is their letdown game after giving Ohio State a heck of a game this week.
 
THIS.
Schiano apologists are absolutely hilarious. Finding every possible scenario to bail out a HC who is clearly out his element leading a team in the B1G.
jBwlx9.gif
 
Best post in thread. Most programs have upperclassmen as the core of their team. Unfortunately, we don't and it shows.
Totally irrelevant argument given the Transfer Portal. Greg Schiano had the ability over the last two years to bring in as many kids as he wanted via the TP, as many coaches have done. The fact that he has not used the TP to propel his team out of last place in his division is proof enough that he lacks the ability to produce a competitive B1G team in this current environment. Based on the team's performance this year, we can expect, and I believe even Schiano expects, some of his most talented players will seek other opportunities via the TP. That is the reality of the times, you have to win now to keep your best talent from entering the portal and to attract the best talent available in the portal to your program. This year's recruiting class is lackluster to say the least, we are not going to take the leap to even mediocrity within the B1G based on recruiting alone. His offensive instincts are archaic to today's game, his obsessive need to control every aspect of the game and his flat-out stubbornness to change has not, and will not, attract the type of player in the TP we will need going forward. He is a relic of a different era in college football, whether better or not, let's thank him for his service, and put him out to pasture where he belongs.
 
Right or wrong the entire perception of recruiting has changed.
For 95% of D-1 college football players, at the turn of the century it was about facilities, loyalty, quality of life, entrusting your son with someone who will teach him values and life perspective.
Actually being a student athlete and roll model.
GS recruited well in that environment.
This new professional, pay for play model at RU is not for GS.
It’s not GS’s fault the backbone and strength of his recruiting pitch was pulled out from underneath him.
USC has 26 players from the transfer portal, if that’s your cup of tea and formula for success, so be it.
 
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Because year 1 was not his recruits and just picking up the pieces.

Last year, made some progress and got some good kids in the pipeline

This year they get some experience and grow. That said, we did blow 2 games for sure.

Next year is fair game. Continue to build with the young guys and get some more portal talent.

Again, you may disagree, but that’s the reality
When you are getting paid 4 million, it’s your team, no excuses.
 
Upfront money paid to high school kids, promises on yearly NIL and free agency portal has changed the entire process of program building.
It’s changed the perception on how to build a program as well.
I don’t disagree but you need a foundation too. You can’t just bring in 85 guys on the portal every year. We have been using the portal to fill holes but I printed out why we had so little depth to begin with and why teams like Iowa can always win 6 or more games. Player retention and development plus they don’t play 3 Top 10 teams every year. Every 5 years or so they have great teams but mainly they are just solid. I’ll take solid for now.

Like you, I do worry about the NIL factor. SEC teams have been throwing money at players for decades but now it’s legal for everyone to do it. It’s the Wild West out there.
 
Right or wrong the entire perception of recruiting has changed.
For 95% of D-1 college football players, at the turn of the century it was about facilities, loyalty, quality of life, entrusting your son with someone who will teach him values and life perspective.
Actually being a student athlete and roll model.
GS recruited well in that environment.
This new professional, pay for play model at RU is not for GS.
It’s not GS’s fault the backbone and strength of his recruiting pitch was pulled out from underneath him.
USC has 26 players from the transfer portal, if that’s your cup of tea and formula for success, so be it.
USC has tradition, success in the past and $$$$. We had moderate success for 9 years and that ended 8 years ago. We cannot do what USC just did. I would love it if we could.

I’ll root for the next coach no matter what but if he can make us into USC in 1 year I’ll be the most surprised and happiest fan on this board.
 
When you are getting paid 4 million, it’s your team, no excuses.
Sure it is, but companies are not successful immediately for the most part, they are built, and so are sports teams, especially college where attracting talent is all about perception and the coaching staff.
 
Totally irrelevant argument given the Transfer Portal. Greg Schiano had the ability over the last two years to bring in as many kids as he wanted via the TP, as many coaches have done. The fact that he has not used the TP to propel his team out of last place in his division is proof enough that he lacks the ability to produce a competitive B1G team in this current environment. Based on the team's performance this year, we can expect, and I believe even Schiano expects, some of his most talented players will seek other opportunities via the TP. That is the reality of the times, you have to win now to keep your best talent from entering the portal and to attract the best talent available in the portal to your program. This year's recruiting class is lackluster to say the least, we are not going to take the leap to even mediocrity within the B1G based on recruiting alone. His offensive instincts are archaic to today's game, his obsessive need to control every aspect of the game and his flat-out stubbornness to change has not, and will not, attract the type of player in the TP we will need going forward. He is a relic of a different era in college football, whether better or not, let's thank him for his service, and put him out to pasture where he belongs.
Who are you referring to with “let’s”? He has an 8 year contract and he’s in year 3. RU fans don’t even want to pay for NIL. So who’s paying for the Schiano 5 year buyout? You?

Better get that GoFundMe page started. Maybe hire a sky writer. 😉
 
USC has tradition, success in the past and $$$$. We had moderate success for 9 years and that ended 8 years ago. We cannot do what USC just did. I would love it if we could.

I’ll root for the next coach no matter what but if he can make us into USC in 1 year I’ll be the most surprised and happiest fan on this board.
I wouldn’t love it…just me my friend.
I loved targeting recruits early and watching GS do his magic witb his Escalade fleet and helicopters.
I love following the development of young players and watching them mature.
You can have the portal, it works I get it…I’m just old 😊
 
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I wouldn’t love it…just me my friend.
I loved targeting recruits early and watching GS do his magic witb his Escalade fleet and helicopters.
I love following the development of young players and watching them mature.
You can have the portal, it works I get it…I’m just old 😊

GS with his Escalade fleet and helicopters is rooting for money.
Money has also influenced receuiting.

Every time we beat Temple for a recruit because of GS with his escalade and helicopter - did Temple have have the funds for that? Doubtful.

Not much has really changed.
Money is still dictating college athletics.
 
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GS with his Escalade fleet and helicopters is rooting for money.
Money has also influenced receuiting.

Every time we beat Temple for a recruit because of GS with his escalade and helicopter - did Temple have have the funds for that? Doubtful.

Not much has really changed.
Money is still dictating college athletics.
It's okay if the money is our side, it's not okay if it isn't lol.

I've been saying IMO, dynamics are the same as they've always been by and large. Programs that had resources still do and programs that don't still don't and if anything we've benefitted by being in the B10. We will have more resources than programs that used to be our peers like Pitt/WVU/BC/Cuse etc.. and then just others out there like WF/WSU/Oregon State etc..
 
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