satnom said:

Seems to me that “guidance” is more opinion which is easier to sidestep or change versus “regulation” which is more letter of the law and more difficult to overturn and must be adhered to.

GO RU

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You're right, but . . . Imagine a prosecutor says, "I interpret the law to require that you stop doing what you're doing. If you keep doing it, I'll prosecute you." What the prosecutor says does not have the force of law -- only a court could actually punish you -- but wouldn't you think quite seriously about whether to stop what you're doing? The same is true here; no school wants to risk being subject to an enforcement action that might cost it federal funding. This is why agency guidance is so important even though it does not have have the force of law.

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Zak57 said:

They have in no particular order more than 6.

Ohtani
Yamamoto
Sasaki
Snell
Glasnow
Kershaw (everyone says he'll sign back)
Young arms like Miller, Knack, Grove, Wrobleski etc

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Gonsolin and May due back too. Gonna have to figure out what to do with so many arms.

bac2therac said:

I could see the higher rations in the nw parts...i think that map is a little agressive for including that 6 inches that far south down to philly and interior south jersey and monmouth couny in that 6 inch band?

is that Vanessa Murdocks map...likely her new blonde shag

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I think we actually agree, it's just a matter of being explicit. When I see a 3-6" swath, to me that means close to 3" at the SE border and close to 6" at the NW border of the swath, so I don't think the areas you mentioned would get 6".

RU848789 said:

The RGEM is finally coming back to reality, moving SE towards the other models (these are the runs since yesterday at 18Z, i.e., late afternoon, with the most recent one being the 12Z today which just came out), most of which have been moving a bit NW, so we're starting to see convergence. Where the snow/rain line ends up is still in question - and it will move during the storm, probably from 95 early on and likely moving towards the coast through the afternoon with maybe everyone snowing in the evening. That's a bit of a guess. Assuming more convergence, the risk of <2-3" for 95 is decreasing.

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12Z model post; will update as they come in...so far, nothing to change my thinking on the storm, which I just posted...

• NAM was a general 3-5" for everyone, but the 3km NAM was more like 2-4" for most
• The RGEM moved SE as per above and has about 1-3" for 95, 3-5" 10-20 miles NW of 95, then 5-9" NW of that line, but <1" just SE of 95 and nada at the coast
• The ICON moved NW a bit and is now 2-4" along 95, 1-2" SE of 95 and <1" towards the coast, but 4-8" NW of 95
• The GFS is quite snowy with the 6" line from about Philly over to Asbury Park with 6-9" NW of there and 3-6" towards the coast, except for 1-3" for far SENJ, south of LBI.
• The CMC is very similar to the RGEM, having moved significantly SE 9might be a tad less snowy)
• The Euro AIFS still is 4-7" and has barely wavered for days.
• The HTDPS shows a general 4-7" for most with the 4" line from about Glassboro to Red Bank, but with snow decreasing quickly to around 1-2" towards the coast
• The UK is less snowy/less precip with 3-4" for most of the area with some spots to 5-6" NW of 95 and the 3" line from about Glassboro to Red Bank with 1-3" SE of that line to the coast
• Last but not least, the Euro bumped up snowfall significantly showing 3-6" for everyone, even the coast down to Toms River (and 1-2" confined to far SENJ).
• Still too early for the HRRR to be reliable

rpiseman said:

Agreed 💯

I will never understand how Rod Van Ness a Rutgers wrestler and NJ High School Coach didn’t send his son to RU.

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I was never a big fan of Rodney Van Ness. Didn't really care for his personality. That said, he was a very good wrestler for the program. He really stuck it to us, and showed no loyalty, whatsoever. I get it, Penn State is the "wrestling meca" of college, but it's not like we are some fleabag program and Shayne couldn't thrive here. So, I guess Karma reared it's ugly head. He got spanked.

retired711 said:

The fact it's guidance isn't that helpful. If the Biden administration were staying in office, then the school would feel that they have to follow the guidance or risk losing federal money. What is much more helpful is that the incoming Trump Administration can throw it in the trash.

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Seems to me that “guidance” is more opinion which is easier to sidestep or change versus “regulation” which is more letter of the law and more difficult to overturn and must be adhered to.

GO RU

RU848789 said:

That's reasonable, although I'm thinking slightly higher with 3-6" for most of CNJ - I really like the Channel 2 map I posted above and now below. I don't know if I'd change it at all. I also think areas well NW of 95 will be in the 6-10" zone factoring in very likely 12-15:1 ratios, based on a cold column and 700mb frontogenetic forcing modeling/good vertical velocities in the snow growth region aloft, producing nice dendrites (plus low winds which won't damage falling crystals). I also like the 3" line ~20 miles SE of 95 and not having anyone below 1" on the coast (I might have had that part at 2-3" at least N of Toms River).

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I could see the higher rations in the nw parts...i think that map is a little agressive for including that 6 inches that far south down to philly and interior south jersey and monmouth couny in that 6 inch band?

is that Vanessa Murdocks map...likely her new blonde shag

the height of the storm figures to be the 4PM to maybe 7/8PM timeframe

RUbacker said:

Are you serious? You don’t know ?

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What I gather from this thread is:

Fans are angry over a “not going to leave RU” quote that was made while he was still in high school and he changed his mind a year and a half later. - Get over it.
Fans thinks he’s soft, unathletic, can’t play D, didn’t work hard, etc - And also angry because he didn’t stay and tie up a roster spot.
Fans are angry that he blamed the coaches - those are unsubstantiated rumors.

Did I miss anything?

What I saw and see is just a highly ranked kid who believed in Pike and RU but simply wasn’t and still isn’t as good as the hype. He thought a change would do him good. I can’t be angered by that. If he was a 2* or 3* and did the same fans here would have wished him well at his next stop.

SOL up to $265.
I'm watching the 5 min chart on Coin advanced. LOL!

bac2therac said:

yeah that was a tick to the southeast

still some areas especially toward the coast borderline

still liking my call of 2-5 for central jersey proper and coating to 2 inches depending where you are on the coast, 5-8 as you move north of 78 to the nw

nam has a bit of a later start time then some of the others but most seem to be in agreement around noon.

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That's reasonable, although I'm thinking slightly higher with 3-6" for most of CNJ - I really like the Channel 2 map I posted above and now below. I don't know if I'd change it at all. I also think areas well NW of 95 will be in the 6-10" zone (with most 6-8" but lollipops to 10: in spots with the best banding) factoring in very likely 12-15:1 ratios, based on a cold column and 700mb frontogenetic forcing modeling/good vertical velocities in the snow growth region aloft, producing nice dendrites (plus low winds which won't damage falling crystals). I also like the 3" line ~20 miles SE of 95 and not having anyone below 1" on the coast (I might have had that part at 2-3" at least N of Toms River).

12z GFS continues to be the snowiest model and would give widespread 6-8 inches verbatim for over 2/3s the state. This is the high end possibility of the storm so keep that in mind...there is another short term model Fv3 showing a close to the coast solution that would give just 2 inches to parts of central jersey so you see the high and low ends...split the difference and you have your 4-5 inches

Mr Magoo said:

The Dodgers keep signing those Japanese pitchers. Since they are used to pitching once per week, they probably need a few more. They’ll need a 6 man rotation.

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They have in no particular order more than 6.

Ohtani
Yamamoto
Sasaki
Snell
Glasnow
Kershaw (everyone says he'll sign back)
Young arms like Miller, Knack, Grove, Wrobleski etc

satnom said:

Key take away: “However, the document is not a regulation but only guidance.”

GO RU

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The fact it's guidance isn't that helpful. If the Biden administration were staying in office, then the school would feel that they have to follow the guidance or risk losing federal money. What is much more helpful is that the incoming Trump Administration can throw it in the trash.

He let his son make his own decision

Knight Shift said:

New wife? What does one go for on clearance?

Can't do worse than @koleszar . Has a "new" snowblower purchased 3 or more years ago yet to see action. His snowblower will never be RU Athletics Director!

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if you see an ad for me selling the old one, just to be clear, that’s the snowblower. Some things are irreplaceable, others go on Craigslist. Well you know what I mean.