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OT: Moderate to Significant Snow (and some rain SE of 95) for Sunday, 1/19.

Let's get back to what the global models show at 12Z; not showing the meso/regional models like the NAM or RGEM as they're still out of range; will keep this updated as they come out...
  • ICON much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-5" for the region (Philly-NJ-NYC)
  • GFS much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-6" for the region
  • CMC very similar to 0Z, although did move the snow/mix line SE a bit, now showing the 6" line 5-10 miles NW of the NJTPK and the 1" line about 20 miles SE of the TPK (with 2-4" along the TPK) - very steep gradient due to rain/mix along and SE of 95.
  • The UK is slightly snowier, showing a general 3-5" for the region
The Canadian and RGEM definitely present issues with that rain/snow line, further ticks to the west wouldnt be good for snow lovers
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OT: oh oh oh Ozempic !

I understand that your point of view is all drugs are great and everyone should be on something whether it’s meds or vaccines. Of course doctors aren’t forcing them on people. That doesn’t change the fact that there will lots of class action lawsuits. And to honest, I think the lawsuits will be BS because people are seeking these meds out. But they are still coming.
I mean, isn't virtually everyone "on vaccines." And for good reason.
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Derkack needs to get benched

Derkack the worst Rutgers player ever who got that many minutes? That's nuts.

Here are some season stat lines for players just on Pike's rosters with 20+ min and sub .300 3P%, with names removed:
26.0 min, 8.3 pts (.305 FG%, .282 3P%, .864 FT%), 3.2 rb, 2.9 ast, 1.4 stl, 1.5 tov, 1.3 pf (25 starts)
23.3 min, 8.3 pts (.390 FG%, .216 3P%, .776 FT%), 4.1 rb, 0.9 ast, 0.8 stl, 1.2 tov, 1.6 pf (6 starts)
23.1 min, 5.6 pts (.371 FG%, .222 3P%, .522 FT%), 3.1 rb, 1.9 ast, 1.1 stl, 1.3 tov, 1.0 pf (14 starts)
22.9 min, 8.5 pts (.376 FG%, .239 3P%, .556 FT%), 2.9 rb, 1.1 ast, 0.7 stl, 1.3 tov, 1.8 pf (22 starts)
22.9 min, 5.7 pts (.317 FG%, .204 3P%, .800 FT%), 4.3 rb, 1.6 ast, 1.5 stl, 0.9 tov, 2.4 pf (8 starts)
22.8 min, 7.0 pts (.356 FG%, .222 3P%, .721 FT%), 3.9 rb, 2.4 ast, 0.9 stl, 1.6 tov, 2.5 pf (8 starts)
22.6 min, 7.4 pts (.383 FG%, .297 3P%, .661 FT%), 3.5 rb, 1.2 ast, 1.0 stl, 1.0 tov, 1.9 pf (31 starts)
22.3 min, 7.8 pts (.413 FG%, .278 3P%, .667 FT%), 3.1 rb, 1.1 ast, 0.6 stl, 0.9 tov, 2.4 pf (19 starts)
21.4 min, 6.7 pts, (.411 FG%, .280 3P%, .800 FT%), 3.7 rb, 1.5 ast, 0.8 stl, 1.4 tov, 1.6 pf (21 starts)
21.3 min, 8.5 pts (.413 FG%, .277 3P%, .571 FT%), 3.5 rb, 1.2 ast, 1.0 stl, 2.1 tov, 1.5 pf (0 starts)
21.2 min, 8.3 pts (.383 FG%, .297 3P%, .574 FT%), 2.8 rb, 0.8 ast, 0.7 stl, 1.1 tov, 2.4 pf (13 starts)
20.1 min, 7.1 pts, (.374 FG%, .217 3P%, .793 FT%), 1.6 rb, 1.5 ast, 0.8 stl, 0.9 tov, 1.2 pf (6 starts)

There's a clear "worst" in this list?
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Big Ten and Shifting Power Dynamics from South to North

Interesting article on the shifting landscape of college football from South to North. Interesting how aggressive Michigan is with soliciting donations from non alums. It's good to be in the B1G. There's even a Rutgers mention!


Through expansion, the Big Ten has cornered big markets like Los Angeles (USC and UCLA), New York (Rutgers), Washington, D.C. (Maryland) and Seattle (Washington). Those big markets plus the long-standing ones like Chicago, Detroit and Minneapolis give Big Ten schools fertile financial grounds to solicit donations, NIL deals and partnerships.


The article says Ellison has no obvious ties to Michigan, but isn't his wife a Michigan grad?
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OT: oh oh oh Ozempic !

Are docs forcing it on those people? Doctor shopping it a real thing.
I understand that your point of view is all drugs are great and everyone should be on something whether it’s meds or vaccines. Of course doctors aren’t forcing them on people. That doesn’t change the fact that there will lots of class action lawsuits. And to honest, I think the lawsuits will be BS because people are seeking these meds out. But they are still coming.
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THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-NEBRASKA PREDICTION THREAD

Here is what I do know and is supported by the eye test. RU has been sloppy with turnovers and ironically, most (to me) are not forced by the opponent....it is JWill slipping or stumbles because of the crappy Adidas shoes (Sorry I had to put that in here, just the facts) and most are player related.

Why did Pike finally pull the plug on starting JMike, JWill and bolt Derkack to the bench?? Because most nights, the turnover trend is consistently tied to sloppy play at guard....

I have also a bunch of turnovers with Ace and Dylan, but most of those are iso-related where Dylan Harper tries a split of a double team or barrels into a defender in the paint (UCLA). I can live with a stopped play turnover (charge or something), but the unfortunate unforced ones, are killers.

Now 9.5 point spread....seems awfully high but we are starting 4 freshman on the road and 2 haven't started a road game in Lathan and Grant. Here are the Nebraska turnover amounts in games of note. With reasonable Pike level defense, we should be able to turn Nebraska over.....get some runout baskets and see what happens.

11 at Sparty
14 at Iowa
13 vs UCLA
14 vs Indiana
12 vs Oregon State
17 at Purdue

RU turnovers on the other hand (to me) are hit or miss......the more we try to run some detailed play with others who don't need to handle the ball a ton (JMike, Derkack and JWill), the turnovers "should not", be a high turnover game.

9 vs Bama

16 vs A&M (4 Ace, 4 JWill, 2 Martini, Derkack).

14 Ohio State (4 Ace, 3 Dylan, 3 JWill, 2 Lathan)

12 Princeton (4 Ace, 3 Dylan, 3 Derkack)

11 Indiana (3 Lathan, 3 JWill)

8 Wisconsin (4 Derkack)

16 Purdue (3 Ace, 3 JMike, 2 JWill, 2 Dylan Harper)

UCLA 10 (4 Dylan Harper).

Now if I take 11, 8 and 10 turnovers in 3 of the last 4 games, that's a trend I can live with. Purdue was a comedy show with JMike in the 1st 4 minutes with 3 by himself).

Now, can Acuff have a 4 turnover game?? Sure, but it's not because of dribbling into traffic (Derkack). A 3 point attempt, is better than a turnover.

To me, the lineup changes were not about matching up....it is about finding a role for Acuff to play alongside Dylan Harper and finding some 3 point shots.... AND....trying to reduce the amount of turnovers by JWill and JMike as starters....no idea how Derkack AND JWILL and JMike playing a combined 60 to 70 minutes, means RU has a lower turnover game.....especially with a built-in amount of turnovers with high wire acts Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper.

This next comment will drive RU fans crazy.....running ISO ball offense and taking shots, against a team like Nebraska, is your best path to winning.

Nebraska plays a much higher level of defense this year, around top 25 range in all of CBB...let me repeat....Top 25 range in defense (i think before the Purdue game).

So....if you run JWill, JMike and Derkack out there for 60 to 65 or 70 minutes against a higher caliber defense like Nebraska AND you want a high turnover prone backcourt of JWill slipping, JMike making crazy post passes and Derkack driving into traffic, good luck....

Running ISO and making Nebraska make individual defensive plays or sending help on Ace and Dylan, should find Acuff and others open to drive or hit shots......i want to see if Nebraska can defend without fouling...and getting to the FT line, which allows the pace to slow down and RU to set their defense.

If Nebraska turnovers are in the 13 to 15 range and RU is around 9 to 10, I'll take my chances.
RU must lead the league in dribbling into the paint resulting in a held ball. Happens 3 x’s a a game
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OT: Moderate to Significant Snow (and some rain SE of 95) for Sunday, 1/19.

Let's get back to what the global models show at 12Z; not showing the meso/regional models like the NAM or RGEM as they're still out of range; will keep this updated as they come out...
  • ICON much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-5" for the region (Philly-NJ-NYC)
  • GFS much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-6" for the region
  • CMC very similar to 0Z, although did move the snow/mix line SE a bit, now showing the 6" line 5-10 miles NW of the NJTPK and the 1" line about 20 miles SE of the TPK (with 2-4" along the TPK) - very steep gradient due to rain/mix along and SE of 95.
  • The UK is slightly snowier, showing a general 3-5" for the region
the 18z and 0z runs plus tomorrow mornings 2 nests will be the key to the forecast...if general consistency exists over the next 24 hours, going to see more confidnet forecasts for moderate type event here
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