I expect a little snow today because my bird feeders were 100% booked this morning. Was getting some flurries about 30mins ago out here about 5mins from Del. River.

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Nebraska 85, Rutgers 65 as Pike does not have his team prepared to play on the road as always. Probably be down 15 at half, maybe claw back to down 8. Pike goes on to praise Nebraska and say it is tough to win on the road in the B1G.

Too much wild swing about this kid. I've been somewhat down on him (his bully ball NEC tactics against smaller and less athletic opponents wouldnt translate to B10 and that turned out correct, and he needed to work on other parts of his game), but he shouldnt be a DNP.

He does have the athleticism to play in the B10. He just needs to learn or be taught his role:

1. Not to be an offensive focal point
2. Not to drive against trees if any shot clock left
3. Never to wave off Dylan when he has the ball
4. Never ever loaf on getting back on D.
5. Focus on tough man D and becoming as much of a stopper as possible
6. Rebound
7. Move the ball and dont let it stick
8. Be the 50/50 ball winner
9. perpetual motion and cutting on O and NOT standing outside and calling for the ball

Playing within the necessary scope and focus could make him effective. While Acuff can score, he is as slow a B10 defender as we've seen and Dercakck could be real effective in some of those minutes playing D and scrapping. The issue has been that he has played outside opf the scope which has limited his effectiveness. Hopefully Pike can make him a scrapper and utilize him in this manner.

vkj91 said:

Some. In my opinion, we have way too many vaccines and they aren’t all necessary. And they definitely shouldn’t be mandated.

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Some definitely should be mandated.

Which ones are superfluous?

Knight Shift said:

Love that bass line in The Rest of Me!!!

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I'm not crazy about either song but I love his voice.

bac2therac said:

the 18z and 0z runs plus tomorrow mornings 2 nests will be the key to the forecast...if general consistency exists over the next 24 hours, going to see more confidnet forecasts for moderate type event here

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bac2therac said:

The Canadian and RGEM definitely present issues with that rain/snow line, further ticks to the west wouldnt be good for snow lovers

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bac2therac said:

the euro is way southeast and back to a 1-2 minor event

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Agree with all of this, which is why I wouldn't get too excited for snow yet - as DT always says, people need to look for what can go "wrong" with any forecast and it's plenty for this one, like any snow in these parts, where we're so often on the knife's edge between either snow or rain or snow and no snow.

Plum Street said:

It’s got a black box label for thyroid cancer .
There are a lot of people on places like Reddit saying they know people that got pancreatic cancer because of it . I think if you’re really obese, it could be worth a shot.
But if you’re looking to lose 20 lbs diet and excercise is better.

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I heard of a guy that took it and then got hit by a bus. Therefore, Ozempic causes death by bus.

Sorry, Plum, but correlations like this are meaningless for so many reasons. Let's start with numbers - about 15 million people use a GLP-1 inhibitor in the USA. About 65K people get pancreatic cancer per year. There are about 250M people >18 years old in the USA. 65K/250M = 0.026% get pancreatic cancer

18M Ozempic users x 0.026% means that 4,680, by chance, will develop pancreatic cancer.

In other words, if people who used Ozempic did NOT get pancreatic cancer, it would be even more of a miracle drug.

bac2therac said:

im not banned on americanwx so what are you talking about.....if 33 and rain banned me it was because i question climate change policies and they seem to have a free speech issue...do they even have a board anymore

again the ICON is considered a joke by most, yet all of a sudden this year you are referencing it when I really do not recall you paying attention to it

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Sorry, you've been 5-posted on AmericanWx at least a few times for your bias and trolling the snow lovers and 33andrain was much tougher on that kind of stuff, so you got banned for that and the climate stuff. Having said that, those sites are largely for snow lovers, so I personally wouldn't have made those decisions as half of the posters on those boards have a major snow bias - but they like the groupthink.

12z GFS shows a plowable snowfall to start the work week. It's very possible. Could still be suppressed South by cold air

"That's Parkman doing his little shimmy. It makes the women of Cleveland puke."

RIP to a true original.

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Loyal_2RU said:

No snow please.

Plans to visit the Lakota Wolf Center for some father-daughter time on Sunday.

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Wouldn't snow make that kind of fun? Especially if it's not a big snowfall? Just wondering. How old is your daughter? Pretty unlikely we don't see any snow, though, at this point.

fsg2 said:

I mean, isn't virtually everyone "on vaccines." And for good reason.

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Some. In my opinion, we have way too many vaccines and they aren’t all necessary. And they definitely shouldn’t be mandated.

Mike from MD said:

Counter

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Clockwise

RU848789 said:

Let's get back to what the global models show at 12Z; not showing the meso/regional models like the NAM or RGEM as they're still out of range; will keep this updated as they come out...

• ICON much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-5" for the region (Philly-NJ-NYC)
• GFS much snowier than 0Z, showing a general 3-6" for the region
• CMC very similar to 0Z, although did move the snow/mix line SE a bit, now showing the 6" line 5-10 miles NW of the NJTPK and the 1" line about 20 miles SE of the TPK (with 2-4" along the TPK) - very steep gradient due to rain/mix along and SE of 95.
• The UK is slightly snowier, showing a general 3-5" for the region
• The Euro is a bit less snowy, showing a general 1-2" for the region
• Note that all but the CMC (the only one showing rain/mix, except maybe at the coast for the others to start) are generally <32F for the duration with falling temps into the 20s during the snowfall, which could lead to elevated snow/liquid ratios (maybe 12-15:1 - same mass, more depth) if those temp verify - and if the snow crystal growth aloft is good (too early to make that assumption, though, so all of the snowfalls I quoted above are at 10:1 ratios.

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Based on the 12Z model suite showing pretty good consensus (much better than at any earlier timepoint) for at least a 1-3" snowfall with 3-5" being very possible and <1" still being possible, but less likely as no model shows that, other than the CMC for SE of 95 (although that doesn't mean the models couldn't continue trending stronger and NW until they resemble the CMC), I'm nearly certain that the NWS and other forecasters will start talking up snowfall possibilities more shortly. I'm guessing the NWS, which doesn't make big changes based on one model suite (and they shouldn't) won't jump completely on 2-4/3-5" amounts but will at least say that 1-3" is looking like a decent bet - at this time. We'll see of course. We're still ~72 hours from the start of the event, so changes are still possible, including significant ones, although changes become less likely as we near any event.

Edit: I tend to not post snow maps this far out, as they're going to change and they clutter up the thread and can be misleading, but if folks want to see the maps, they're usually on the AmericanWx thread, linked below, or guests can see them, I believe, on Pivotal.

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic...22-focused-inauguration-day-and-21st/page/17/

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php

Great addition to our Secondary. Will be a starting CB