FB Recruiting Rutgers Football adds Penn State Transfer Defensive Back Cam Miller
- By Richie O
- The Round Table
- 59 Replies
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Don't see how signing Winker has any impact on Alonzo. Ones an outfielder, the other plays first.Sources: With Jesse Winker signing, Mets face post-Pete Alonso world
The Mets have agreed to terms with outfielder/designated hitter Jesse Winker. That deal, which is pending physical, signifies that the team has pivoted to an offseason plan that likely does not involve a deal to bring back Pete Alonso.sny.tv
SNY reported it.
Good move.
He typically takes one three a game dude. Thats the math in 10 out of 16 game. Your whole argument about him being the worst hinges on one single missed shot a game. He doesn’t take many 3s. But he does do other good things which is how he earned more playing time than expected this season. Albeit the competition really underperformed too but the point is he doesn’t stand out as this horrendous outlier at all.
Ok so then the question is taking these 3s which have a 0.33 point per possession a good shot because it leads to other higher quality shots (pump fake, leading to driving to the lane)?
This is data vs top 100 opponents:
His 2pt % is 41.7%
41.7% x 2 pts x 1.3 (OR rate) x 0.7 (doesn’t get fouled 70% of the time) = 0.75
72% (free throw %) x 2 shots x 0.3 (30% of the time gets foulded = 0.432
(0.75 + 0.432) x 0.8 (JDs TO rate is 20%) = 0.95.
So the payoff for taking the 0.33 shot once in a while, is to generate a shot that leads to 0.95 points per possession. Rutgers is at 1.11 points per possession.
It’s clearly better shot for him than shooting a 3, with the expected value almost triple! But it’s still below the Rutgers average. That is why in my view, it’s addition by subtraction having his minutes go to Grant etc if this is how he’s going to play. If he chooses to really go all out on D and defer on offense, I can see him adding value.
There is no reason for a guard like Derkack to shoot 3s if he’s shooting ar this low of a rate. It does not keep teams honest. They will beg him to take those shots. I laid out the math in the other post. You can choose to ignore the math. Have a nice day, and I hope we win today.
I think it’s also possible we fall just short like we have in several other games this year. I would put the odds like this:As posted in an other thread, I think RU either wins a close game or loses by double digits.
As also posted: If RU is playing well enough to win, I think they WILL win. But if RU is not playing well enough to win I think Nebraska wins going away, by double digits ... maybe up double digits much of the game.
I could have sworn the threshold was mandates. Now we're going to ban recommendations?But they are recommended and pushed. You concerned your kid will get Hep B in pre k?
but it DOES keep them honest. we have seen this all season long.
because he DOES shoot the occasional open 3 his defenders DONT LAY BACK - they PLAY UP ON HIM. he then pump fakes them and drives and ROUTINELY gets fouled on his drives - these LANES OPEN UP because he is a threat to shoot. He has been doing this, effectively, all season long.
If he stopped shooting open 3s all together then the defender would know to just lay back, clogging the driving lanes.
we all wish he would shoot a better % but passing up open 3s all together would NOT be good basketball.
But they are recommended and pushed. You concerned your kid will get Hep B in pre k?On the flip side, if you want your kid to skip vaccines required for school attendance by states across the country, you can home school them. Or, I guess, have them start in second or third grade after your 0-6 designation runs out.
Schools are enough of a petri dish with illnesses for which there are no vaccines.
Also, a bunch of those aren't even required in NJ.
And…..