B1G Bowl slots

[Rhuarc]

Right now, 17 out of the 18 teams in the league have at least 4 overall wins.

7 teams have at least 6 wins
5 have 5 wins
5 have 4 wins

Not all of them will reach 6, but a bunch of them will. This seems like a potential nightmare situation. So, what happened to those Pac 12 slots?

 

[SkiBoy]

All of the Pac-12 affiliated bowls are in play for the former member schools in other conferences, along with Oregon State and Washington State.
- Holiday Bowl vs ACC
- LA Bowl vs Mountain West
- Las Vegas Bowl vs SEC
- Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl vs Big 12
- Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl vs ACC
- Valero Alamo Bowl vs Big 12

Figure that Oregon will be a Playoff team. Colorado has the inside track to play for the Big 12 Championship. Stanford is already disqualified with 7 Losses. Arizona has 6 losses and will need to win their remaining games. That leaves Arizona State (already qualifies), Washington State (already qualifies), and Cal, Oregon State, UCLA, USC, Utah, and Washington eligible for these bowls, all of which have 5 losses except for Cal. It will work itself out over the remaining 3 weeks.

 

[Source]

From:

https://collegefootballnews.com/predictions/college-football-bowl-ties-affiliations-for-each-conference-2024-2025

Big 10 Bowl Ties, Affiliation​

One other twist: the former Pac-12 teams - Oregon, UCLA, USC, Washington - will remain eligible for the former Pac-12 bowl ties and affiliations. That means if any of those four aren't in the College Football Playoff, they'll be eligible for the Alamo, Independence, Holiday, LA, Las Vegas, and Sun bowls.

Consider it a mortal lock that the Big Ten champion is in the College Football Playoff, and almost certainly with one of the top four spots with a bye.

The Big Ten alternates with the SEC between the Las Vegas Bowl and Duke's Mayo Bowl. Last season Northwestern beat Utah in the Las Vegas, so assume the Big Ten will be in the Duke's Mayo.

This is the expected Big Ten bowl pecking order, but keep in mind that 1) several of the top teams in the expanded 20-team conference will be in the College Football Playoff and 2) there might be a LOT more Big Ten bowl tie-ins and affiliations coming as the season goes on.

- Cheez-It Citrus Bowl vs SEC
- ReliaQuest Bowl vs SEC
- Duke's Mayo Bowl vs ACC
- Music City Bowl vs SEC
- Pinstripe Bowl vs ACC
- Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs Big 12
- Quick Lane Bowl vs MAC

 

[shields]

I looked at one of the bowl projections. Has Washington in bowl and Rutgers not. RU has 3 games left and Washington has UCLA and Oregon. They don't beat UCLA they are not going to bowl. Don't have us and we have 3 chances left. Think that is nuts.

 

[RU205]

Maryland needs to win 2 of their final 3 for bowl eligibility. They have at home RU and Iowa. Last game on the road at PSU.

 

[ScarletKid2008]

Maryland needs to win 2 of their final 3 for bowl eligibility. They have at home RU and Iowa. Last game on the road at PSU.

That’s interesting.. it’s another year where the RU-MD game essentially decides who gets a bowl game. That’s happened quite a few times over past few seasons (at least from my not so great memory on this)

 

[jtung230]

That’s interesting.. it’s another year where the RU-MD game essentially decides who gets a bowl game. That’s happened quite a few times over past few seasons (at least from my not so great memory on this)

We have 3 reasonable chances. MD only has 1.

 

[read option]

If you count all of the teams with 6 or more wins plus all of the teams with 5 wins and at least 3 games to go, there are 76 total Bowl teams as of now.

There are 35 non-CFP Bowls and 11 CFP Bowls. So that’s 70 teams plus another 12 teams for a total of 82 teams.

I would think every Bowl eligible P4 team gets a game. I also would think it’s the 6-win G5+ teams that would be scrambling for the remaining bids.

 

[Rhuarc]

Thanks to everyone for the info. I agree with the just win scenario and it works out.

 

[Virginiarufan]

I’m very excited to see which PAC 12 bowls the B1G picks up next year when they get spread over new conferences. Would really like to see the Vegas bowl and Alamo bowl as B1G bowls.

 

[bigmatt718]

2024 College Football Bowl Projections: SMU, Boise State To the Playoffs

After an incredible Week 11 full of shocks and surprises, our latest College Football Bowl Projections predict the 2024 postseason.

collegefootballnetwork.com

After the Minnesota win, we are back in the bowl projection radar. This one has us in Phoenix vs WVU.

 

[robjknight]

Actually now have a shot at being 8-4 if we play both sides of the ball like the Minnesota game. Last week I thought Minnesota was the toughest of the final 4 games.
But as they say let's just go 1-0 this week against Maryland and then worry about the last 2 games.

 

[RUTGERS95]

Actually now have a shot at being 8-4 if we play both sides of the ball like the Minnesota game. Last week I thought Minnesota was the toughest of the final 4 games.
But as they say let's just go 1-0 this week against Maryland and then worry about the last 2 games.

8 was my mark at beginning of the year but now, I'll just be happy to make 6 and possibly 7. MD just seems to have our number so looking at MSU and depending on what team shows up, Illinois as they are not playing well of late.

 

[ScarletDave]

Let’s assume all 5 win teams make a bowl in the Big Ten. Based on the current standings it would be:

Oregon - Playoff
Indiana - Playoff
OSU - Playoff
PSU - Playoff
(Assuming OSU beats Indiana, all 4 would make it .. OSU could get left out with 2 losses though)

- Cheez-It Citrus Bowl vs SEC - IOWA
- ReliaQuest Bowl vs SEC - MINNY
- Duke's Mayo Bowl vs ACC - ILL
- Music City Bowl vs SEC - WISC
- Washington: PAC bowl (LA)
- Pinstripe Bowl vs ACC - Michigan (haha)
- Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs Big 12 - Nebraska
- Quick Lane Bowl vs MAC - RU

and that’s it. It could be that one of the 5 win teams don’t get to 6, and one of the 4 wins gets to 6, but for the most part this is how it lines up.

If we get to 6, have to root against Nebraksa - them losing would bump us up into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl - aka the INSIGHT Bowl, what an amazing trip that would be.

 

[RU#1fan]

Actually now have a shot at being 8-4 if we play both sides of the ball like the Minnesota game. Last week I thought Minnesota was the toughest of the final 4 games.
But as they say let's just go 1-0 this week against Maryland and then worry about the last 2 games.

This.
We need to continue with the same performance this Saturday as we did against Minnesota. With the Offense sustaining long drives and the Defense getting pressure on the Maryland QB. Can’t give him all day to look for his Receivers. Rattle him and he will make mistakes.
2.0 is on 3 game losing streak vs. Maryland and HC Mike Locksley with some bad blowouts. That needs to change on Saturday.

 

[bigmatt718]

Let’s assume all 5 win teams make a bowl in the Big Ten. Based on the current standings it would be:

Oregon - Playoff
Indiana - Playoff
OSU - Playoff
PSU - Playoff
(Assuming OSU beats Indiana, all 4 would make it .. OSU could get left out with 2 losses though)

- Cheez-It Citrus Bowl vs SEC - IOWA
- ReliaQuest Bowl vs SEC - MINNY
- Duke's Mayo Bowl vs ACC - ILL
- Music City Bowl vs SEC - WISC
- Washington: PAC bowl (LA)
- Pinstripe Bowl vs ACC - Michigan (haha)
- Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs Big 12 - Nebraska
- Quick Lane Bowl vs MAC - RU

and that’s it. It could be that one of the 5 win teams don’t get to 6, and one of the 4 wins gets to 6, but for the most part this is how it lines up.

If we get to 6, have to root against Nebraksa - them losing would bump us up into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl - aka the INSIGHT Bowl, what an amazing trip that would be.

Nebraska has to go to USC and play Wisconsin and Iowa. Very good chance they lose out and we end up in Phoenix provided we take at least 1 of the last 3 games. Also one or both of USC/UCLA will make bowl games and end up in either Vegas or the Sun Bowl.

 

[RU-Choppin-Ohio]

We have 3 reasonable chances. MD only has 1.

Maryland has 2. Rutgers and Iowa. Both at home.

 

[bigmatt718]

Maryland has 2. Rutgers and Iowa. Both at home.

Maryland has been the literal definition of Jeckyll and Hyde. We gotta hope we get their bad team on Saturday. If we do that and that 2nd half pass rush we saw vs Minnesota travels to College Park, I like our chances vs the Terps.

 

[Knight Shift]

Maryland has been the literal definition of Jeckyll and Hyde. We gotta hope we get their bad team on Saturday. If we do that and that 2nd half pass rush we saw vs Minnesota travels to College Park, I like our chances vs the Terps.

While the season is not complete, and have not compared who they played last year versus this year, for the six games Maryland has played this year, their offense has averaged only 22 points per game against B1G opponents versus 27 points per B1G opponent last year. Also, Maryland's defense is giving up an average of 37 point per B1G opponent this year versus 26 points last year. (In fairness, they have played Indiana and Oregon this year, but they gave up 48 points to Minnesota and 37 points to Northwestern).

Rutgers has put up 19 points per B1G game this year (versus 16 last year), and the defense has given up 28 points per B1G game this year versus 25 last year. None of this accounts for Pick sixes or safeties.

 

[Source]

While the season is not complete, and have not compared who they played last year versus this year, for the six games Maryland has played this year, their offense has averaged only 22 points per game against B1G opponents versus 27 points per B1G opponent last year. Also, Maryland's defense is giving up an average of 37 point per B1G opponent this year versus 26 points last year. (In fairness, they have played Indiana and Oregon this year, but they gave up 48 points to Minnesota and 37 points to Northwestern).

Rutgers has put up 19 points per B1G game this year (versus 16 last year), and the defense has given up 28 points per B1G game this year versus 25 last year. None of this accounts for Pick sixes or safeties.

For that reason, I would like to see Rutgers push out in front with a passing game first and then bring in the run. If Maryland is averaging giving up 37 B1G points per game, Rutgers won't get close to that total with a conservative ground game.

That may happen if Kyle Monangai is not available again. But if he is, I am concerned Rutgers goes back to the predictable offense of first down hand offs, some success getting down field and then stalling out. I would expect Maryland to start firing away as soon as they get the ball.

 

[Knight Shift]

For that reason, I would like to see Rutgers push out in front with a passing game first and then bring in the run. If Maryland is averaging giving up 37 B1G points per game, Rutgers won't get close to that total with a conservative ground game.

That may happen if Kyle Monangai is not available again. But if he is, I am concern Rutgers goes back to the predictable offense of first down hand offs, some success getting down field and then stalling out. I would expect Maryland to start firing away as soon as they get the ball.

More detail:
MSU Game- 27 points--MSU threw for 363 yards and 3 TDs, ran for 121 yards 0 TDs
Indiana- 42 points- -Rourke threw for 359 yards, 3 TDs, but they ran for 151 yds and 3 TDs
Northwestern-37 points- 203 passing yards, 0 TD, 80 yards rushing and 3TDs; Maryland lost 3 fumbles, 1 for scoop/score (4 FGS)
USC- 28 points- 336 passing yards, 3 TDs, 81 yards rushing, 1 TD
Minnesota- 48 points- 320 passing yarsd 4 TDs, 123 yds rushing, 1 TD, 2 FGs, 1 pick 6
Oregon- 39 points- 183 passing yards, 3 TDs, 180 rushing yards, 1 TD, 1 FG, 1 Fumble return

The other item that stands out is Maryland is prone to turnovers. 14 on the year. Rutgers has 7.

 

[RUTGERS95]

Agree, we should go in the air early and often and I'd like to see more crossing and dump offs

 

[Plum Street]

We will probably end up in Detroit

 

[RU#1fan]

We will probably end up in Detroit

No so

 

[jtung230]

Location is important but not falling the day before or after Christmas is more important to me.

 

[e5fdny]

I’m very excited to see which PAC 12 bowls the B1G picks up next year when they get spread over new conferences. Would really like to see the Vegas bowl and Alamo bowl as B1G bowls.

It was at one point. Alternating with the Duke’s Mayo in Charlotte I think?

Location is important but not falling the day before or after Christmas is more important to me.

It’s why I myself would like to see us go to Charlotte…decent location, descent date, decent opponent.

We’d get a good showing if this were to happen.