BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS UPDATE FOR 3/6 PAGE 23
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
guy from usa today, one from bleacher report, another guy has won the Bracketmatrix 2x in 10 years, These guys know their stuff
win alot but its not like RU doesnt have games left either.
Xavier is going to be matched up with Providence in the BE quarters if it survives Butler in the first round
Wake needs to win a game in the ACC tourney vs Miami but first needs to get by the 12/13 seed
Wyoming would need to win the Mountain West though a win over CSU probably pushes the out of the first 4
SMU who I dont have in probably needs to beat Memphis in the CUSA to get to the finals and maybe more
I think it will be online tomorrow, I think they will be part of the matrix too
they really went through it exactly like the committee does it and then scrubbed everything today and redid their work
its a bad loss when you are competing for a NCAA bid
Indiana has to win to have any chance at a bid.
Michigan will lock in with a win...a loss and they still may get in but likely first 4. Better situated than Indiana
Well. I'd rather be a 12 than a faux-11 seed who has to play another 11 seed in the First Four in Dayton. I personally think we LOOK like a 7-10 seed team. No idea how they will seed us... and maybe the Big Ten Tourney will have something to say about it... But I think that collection of teams from 7-10 looks like us.
I think the success of Big Ten in the NCAA tourney, including Rutgers, will be based on how refs call things.
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Here is the mock bracket from the guys ive been following
Here is the mock bracket from the bracketologists. Rutgers 10 vs Colorado st 7 in Greenville. I will take it.
Tickets would be expensive! Coach K in Greenville.
But it's encouraging to see that after this deep dive process they went through we're a 10
But it's encouraging to see that after this deep dive process they went through we're a 10
Wow! That would be insane to watch Rutgers beat Duke and end Coach Ks career in a loss to us. Would be the most memorable thing ever
Indiana wishes.
Michigans resume is beyond superior to IU in every way that one game wont make up the difference. IU could get in but it won’t be at Michigans expense.
I don’t see any way Michigan misses it, though I think there is a chance it slides into the First 4 with a loss.
I think people really overestimate how much this coming week matters. Teams above the First 4 aren’t dropping out of the field (ie 6 spots) with one loss (much less a Q1 loss).
The teams right now on the wrong side of the bubble are pretty bad In terms of resume. I honestly think there is like 1-2 spots at most up for grabs right now. The teams that were at the right side of the bubble won big games this week while the teams off the bubble (Oregon, Florida) did not. The gap has grown since last week.
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They don’t really have a big guy right? Roddy is kind of a big guy but Cliffs got 5 inches on him
17-14 puts them in scary waters just 3 games above 500. I realize the resume is solid but....and that screams first 4
Finally, I'm able to reply. I'm also a Michigan fan and love your work Bac. I've been lurking for 3 weeks now.
@MiamiWolv both those teams were 3 games above .500 last year. However, I do think Michigan will be the last team in even with a loss as long as there are no bid thieves.
@bac2therac I'm having a hard time putting SMU and its 2.1 WAB, Wyoming and its 2.3, Miami and its 2.0 WAB out. Wake has 1.6 WAB but top 40 NET. I think they're in
To me, 40 teams are locked in. The 16 teams still on the bubble are Wyoming, Miami, Xavier, ND, Michigan, Rutgers, VCU, SMU, BYU, Indiana, OU, Florida, VTech, Dayton, UVA, TAMU with 7 spots left
@MiamiWolv both those teams were 3 games above .500 last year. However, I do think Michigan will be the last team in even with a loss as long as there are no bid thieves.
@bac2therac I'm having a hard time putting SMU and its 2.1 WAB, Wyoming and its 2.3, Miami and its 2.0 WAB out. Wake has 1.6 WAB but top 40 NET. I think they're in
To me, 40 teams are locked in. The 16 teams still on the bubble are Wyoming, Miami, Xavier, ND, Michigan, Rutgers, VCU, SMU, BYU, Indiana, OU, Florida, VTech, Dayton, UVA, TAMU with 7 spots left
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You can’t group teams like Texas A&M, UVA, VTand Dayton with Rutgers, UM.
I think it’s like 6 teams battling for one spot and not 11 for five, though ESPN will try and make it seem as if everyone is on the bubble to draw interest. The problem is the teams off the bubble are significantly inferior than those in the field and one game won’t change that. That gap also increased this week as the teams in the field won key games while the teams out of the field did not.
Championship week is fun but it never matters as much as ESPN tells you it does.
On UM, I’m confident they’re in. They have currently a top 3 strength of schedule nationally (only 3 Q4 games all year, 20/30 against Q1 and Q2), and one thing we’ve seen over the years is the committee always rewards teams that schedule tough and dings teams that don’t. Ultimately, for this reason, it is why I can see the committee sending Rutgers to Dayton —too many good wins to keep out but Dayton would be their way of sending a message to schedule better.
What will help avoid that for RU is a lot of the last teams projected in (the ACC teams notably) played bad schedules out of conference too so they’re not alone. But one or two of those teams will end up in Dayton
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I would throw out last year when talking about number of games over .500. The abbreviated schedules changed everything.
Covid year..different circumstances
Thank you for reading
I think Wake is in trouble and headed to the first 4...wouldn't be surprised if they get left out..would match up with Miami in ACC quarters
Full scrub this morning with full update and new thread coming later today. This one has over 27K views..wow!
How high a seed do we get after we win the B1G tourney? It's about getting hot for a three game stretch and when we are hot we beat anyone
If we won the Big 10 tourney...6 is probably highest Rutgers can get..more like 7. Tough to make a move higher than that from our placement currently
What helped Maryland only 2 Q4(15-13), Q1/2/3 13-13, where as MSU(I5-12) had 4 Q4, Q1/2/3 11-12, #43 team in 5 Q1 wins(5-10). The difference between 10 seed(Md) and Dayton. Rutgers should be safely in 13-11, win% and.total Q1/2/3 wins.
The team Michigan St played UCLA only had 5-9 Q1/2 but 8-0 Q3 put them at 13-9,.#44 team in with only 2 Q1s(2-6).
The team Michigan St played UCLA only had 5-9 Q1/2 but 8-0 Q3 put them at 13-9,.#44 team in with only 2 Q1s(2-6).
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I'll bring the crullers from Hillsborough Deli
Looks like Palm just put out his most recent bracket and has us as the last one in as a 12th seed and in a first four game with SMU. Michigan just above us and Indiana the last of the first four out.
No bubble action today other than rooting for Saint Mary's to take down Santa Clara (a longshot potential bid thief since they'd also have to beat Gonzaga next)
Autobids for the SoCon and the Sun Belt today. The SoCon (Furman vs. Chattanooga) is two quality teams, top 75 on KenPom. Should be a fun watch and whoever wins could be an intriguing 13-over-4 pick when the brackets come out.
Autobids for the SoCon and the Sun Belt today. The SoCon (Furman vs. Chattanooga) is two quality teams, top 75 on KenPom. Should be a fun watch and whoever wins could be an intriguing 13-over-4 pick when the brackets come out.
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This dude has BYU (NET 55) in but Wake Forest (NET 39) out? That's, um, unique.
At Bracket Matrix Wake is in 118 brackets and BYU is in 26. And many of those 26 are from before BYU's loss to San Francisco.
But according to the RPI which matters more to the Relic of Palmness Index, BYU is #45, 10-8 Road/Neutral, and Wake Forest is #66, 7-6 Road/Neutral. We are actually.#75 in the RPI which is weird, guess NET is T-Rank(77) and RPI(75) averaged out, #76. 😂😂😂
BYU #45, T-rank #71, 58?, NET #55
Wake #66, T-Rank #31, 48.5, NET #39
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