OT: NBA Rookie Max Extension Contract - 5y 260m ($205m guaranteed)

[NickRU714]

There has been some talk of "In the NIL era - maybe elite players could choose to pass on the NBA Draft and stay in college if the money is comparable. Maybe Ace/Dylan could stay for 2 or more years if boosters could match their NBA money."
This is why that will never happen.

Even if a college program could match the 1st NBA contract $ for $, the possibility of the 2nd contract is the problem.
Let's look at Anthony Edwards/Lamelo Ball. Top 5 draft picks in 2020 and just signed their 2nd contract last week.

Rookie Contract:
19yo: $9m
20yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
That alone is well above what elite players are currently making from NIL (from unverified reports on message boards).

Here is the deep water - 2nd contract Rookie Max Extension
5y 260m ($205m guaranteed)
22yo: $36m
23yo: $38m
24yo: $41m
25yo: $44m
26yo: $47m

If they were to stay in college longer and then they would only make approx $11m/year for age 22-26 (rookie contract).
This assumes that at 22 years old they would still be a Top 5 pick in the NBA Draft (unlikely).

Now people can say "it's just funny money at that point. College is an experience they'll never get back".
Sure - but it is a $200m experience?

Even just delaying one year - is staying in college a $30m experience?
That's what they are potentially giving up for every year they stay in college over going pro and starting the clock towards that 2nd contract.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/minnesota-timberwolves/anthony-edwards-70643/

 

[Rhuarc]

There has been some talk of "In the NIL era - maybe elite players could choose to pass on the NBA Draft and stay in college if the money is comparable. Maybe Ace/Dylan could stay for 2 or more years if boosters could match their NBA money."
This is why that will never happen.

Even if a college program could match the 1st NBA contract $ for $, the possibility of the 2nd contract is the problem.
Let's look at Anthony Edwards/Lamelo Ball. Top 5 draft picks in 2020 and just signed their 2nd contract last week.

Rookie Contract:
19yo: $9m
20yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
That alone is well above what elite players are currently making from NIL (from unverified reports on message boards).

Here is the deep water - 2nd contract Rookie Max Extension
5y 260m ($205m guaranteed)
22yo: $36m
23yo: $38m
24yo: $41m
25yo: $44m
26yo: $47m

If they were to stay in college longer and then they would only make approx $11m/year for age 22-26 (rookie contract).
This assumes that at 22 years old they would still be a Top 5 pick in the NBA Draft (unlikely).

Now people can say "it's just funny money at that point. College is an experience they'll never get back".
Sure - but it is a $200m experience?

Even just delaying one year - is staying in college a $30m experience?
That's what they are potentially giving up for every year they stay in college over going pro and starting the clock towards that 2nd contract.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/minnesota-timberwolves/anthony-edwards-70643/

Good job on showing the work on this topic.

 

[RUInsanity]

There has been some talk of "In the NIL era - maybe elite players could choose to pass on the NBA Draft and stay in college if the money is comparable. Maybe Ace/Dylan could stay for 2 or more years if boosters could match their NBA money."
This is why that will never happen.

Even if a college program could match the 1st NBA contract $ for $, the possibility of the 2nd contract is the problem.
Let's look at Anthony Edwards/Lamelo Ball. Top 5 draft picks in 2020 and just signed their 2nd contract last week.

Rookie Contract:
19yo: $9m
20yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
That alone is well above what elite players are currently making from NIL (from unverified reports on message boards).

Here is the deep water - 2nd contract Rookie Max Extension
5y 260m ($205m guaranteed)
22yo: $36m
23yo: $38m
24yo: $41m
25yo: $44m
26yo: $47m

If they were to stay in college longer and then they would only make approx $11m/year for age 22-26 (rookie contract).
This assumes that at 22 years old they would still be a Top 5 pick in the NBA Draft (unlikely).

Now people can say "it's just funny money at that point. College is an experience they'll never get back".
Sure - but it is a $200m experience?

Even just delaying one year - is staying in college a $30m experience?
That's what they are potentially giving up for every year they stay in college over going pro and starting the clock towards that 2nd contract.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/minnesota-timberwolves/anthony-edwards-70643/

Agree. If it comes down to just money....surefire first rounders should leave for the NBA. My guess however is that the new NBA CBA will start to limit max extensions. Teams over the 2nd Tax apron will essentially be f'd in the future.

 

[satnom]

There has been some talk of "In the NIL era - maybe elite players could choose to pass on the NBA Draft and stay in college if the money is comparable. Maybe Ace/Dylan could stay for 2 or more years if boosters could match their NBA money."
This is why that will never happen.

Even if a college program could match the 1st NBA contract $ for $, the possibility of the 2nd contract is the problem.
Let's look at Anthony Edwards/Lamelo Ball. Top 5 draft picks in 2020 and just signed their 2nd contract last week.

Rookie Contract:
19yo: $9m
20yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
21yo: $9m
That alone is well above what elite players are currently making from NIL (from unverified reports on message boards).

Here is the deep water - 2nd contract Rookie Max Extension
5y 260m ($205m guaranteed)
22yo: $36m
23yo: $38m
24yo: $41m
25yo: $44m
26yo: $47m

If they were to stay in college longer and then they would only make approx $11m/year for age 22-26 (rookie contract).
This assumes that at 22 years old they would still be a Top 5 pick in the NBA Draft (unlikely).

Now people can say "it's just funny money at that point. College is an experience they'll never get back".
Sure - but it is a $200m experience?

Even just delaying one year - is staying in college a $30m experience?
That's what they are potentially giving up for every year they stay in college over going pro and starting the clock towards that 2nd contract.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/minnesota-timberwolves/anthony-edwards-70643/

Nice work. Bottom line is if you’re not being drafted in the first round you’re most likely staying four years because the odds are the most money you’ll ever make is in college athletics.

The pool of talent to get into the NBA is truly global. The NFL draws primarily domestic talent and MLB are the States and Caribbean bordering countries.

GO RU

 

[Plum Street]

A guy like Ron Harper jr , is more of a contributor to a program than a dylan Harper …unless the latter opens some doors.

I really think it will be great if Dylan comes here, but barring a final 4 run it will be overhyped.

 

[NickRU714]

A guy like Ron Harper jr , is more of a contributor to a program than a dylan Harper …unless the latter opens some doors.

I really think it will be great if Dylan comes here, but barring a final 4 run it will be overhyped.

There is some truth to this.
Nebraska, Indiana, Maryland have all had 1st round picks recently.
Its not chocolates and roses.

Just last year Michigan had 2 high draft picks.
Will be interesting if threads like this pop up next year if we don't go far in the tournament.
https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/t...h-two-guys-drafted-in-the-first-round.262342/

 

[Rhuarc]

Could you imagine the press if Rutgers had two top 5 or 10 NBA picks in the same season? That's the selling point, not necessarily the results on the court.