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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

200 day is 147 for AAPL so I see what you are saying. However the NASDAQ has already broken through the 200 day moving average and there is no guarantee AAPL ever dips that low barring unforeseen bad news. There isn’t anything necessarily magical about what prices were back in September I guess would be the point…being fully aware that 200 day is widely used however.
Bingo! Good post.
 
What do you make of AAPL holding up much better then the other mega caps of late? Good sign, or potential for catch up to the downside?

Edit: I don't own, and not really looking to buy, just curious as to what people make of aapl and how that relates to the market.
It has held up better that some other megacap tech. I feel like it should catch up to the downside but who knows. They've expanded a little outside of hardware, with some recurring revenue streams but still I don't think on the scale of MSFT or like that. Has there been such a robust hardware upgrade cycle? I don't know.

I've mentioned this before, everyone is talking about the PE compression of the high flyers but that doesn't mean old tech and the like can't undergo a little bit of that as well. Not on the scale of those high flyers but at least to a degree. 30 PE is above Apple's historical PE.
 
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Thinks the 10 yr will stop around 2%.
+1
Beautiful afternoon for more buying. Picked up more AMZN, ENPH, and NVDA. I am hoping to add to ADBE, but that one has been pretty sticky for the past week or so. I will keep watching.

By the way, was F down due to the recall?
 
Your signature talks about preparing for a correction but what an actual correction?
Good point. Let me know when we get a correction. S&P only down 5-6%. Regardless, hold steady and stick to your plan. That's the best advice to give (which is exactly what you believe in based on past posts).
 
Don't miss out, like you normally do. Being too bearish is a bad thing. See the sig below:
Don‘t worry about me my friend. You should be more worried about yourself. I don’t buy stocks at $170 when they could be available for 15-20% cheaper. I probably made more money this year than you will ever make in your lifetime. Your posts have convinced me along with most other readers here that you know very little about investing. Your misuse of the terms “short term trading”, “bears” are one of several examples. I think I now understand what others have been saying about you.
 
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Don‘t worry about me my friend. You should be more worried about yourself. I don’t buy stocks at $170 when they could be available for 15-20% cheaper. I probably made more money this year than you will ever make in your lifetime. Your posts have convinced me along with most other readers here that you know very little about investing. Your misuse of the terms “short term trading”, “bears” are one of several examples. I think I now understand what others have been saying about you.
LOL! You amuse me. I always used shorter term in context with my POV. Sorry that you have poor reading comprehension as well. I tried to help you and not miss out again on these opportunities like you did in March 2020. Don't blame me, but bears like you are doomed to fail. Just try to learn and become a better investor. Best wishes!
 
LOL! You amuse me. I always used shorter term in context with my POV. Sorry that you have poor reading comprehension as well. I tried to help you and not miss out again on these opportunities like you did in March 2020. Don't blame me, but bears like you are doomed to fail. Just try to learn and become a better investor. Best wishes!
Dude, you are psychotic. I am almost always 100% invested in the stock market. I generate cash using options. I am a senior managing director at a hedge firm. I hedge, that’s what I do. I am immensely successful at it with a goal of having net worth of over $1 billion dollars by the time I am done.

FYI, I didn’t even know you in March 2020.
 
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Dude, you are psychotic. I am almost always 100% invested in the stock market. I generate cash using options. I am a senior managing director at a hedge firm. I hedge, that’s what I do. I am immensely successful at it with a goal of having net worth of over $1 billion dollars by the time I am done.

FYI, I didn’t even know you in March 2020.
^^^^^ LOL! I enjoy a good fairy tale. Thanks for the laugh.

Now, if you want to stop acting like a jerk, we can forget the silliness of the past day or two and start over. Your choice.
 
Dude, you are psychotic. I am almost always 100% invested in the stock market. I generate cash using options. I am a senior managing director at a hedge firm. I hedge, that’s what I do. I am immensely successful at it with a goal of having net worth of over $1 billion dollars by the time I am done.

FYI, I didn’t even know you in March 2020.
Does that mean we can stop drooling over Bernie Marcus in the future lol. 😉
 
^^^^^ LOL! I enjoy a good fairy tale. Thanks for the laugh.

Now, if you want to stop acting like a jerk, we can forget the silliness of the past day or two and start over. Your choice.
For some reason, you think that calling people “bears” or bringing up “march 2020” is insulting to people. I have defended you many times when others on this forum have trashed you. You need to tell the difference between your friends from enemies. I simply told you that AAPL at $170 or $165 is not likely to be a good buying point and somehow you made this about bears and march 2020. Get a grip and try to learn from people that are way more successful than you and are trying to help you.
 
Does that mean we can stop drooling over Bernie Marcus in the future lol. 😉
Bernie Marcus is way more successful than I will ever become, but just like Bernie, I am not interested in NIL deals or donating a substantial portion of my wealth to Rutgers athletics. There are other causes (at RU) that I favor.
 
For some reason, you think that calling people “bears” or bringing up “march 2020” is insulting to people. I have defended you many times when others on this forum have trashed you. You need to tell the difference between your friends from enemies. I simply told you that AAPL at $170 or $165 is not likely to be a good buying point and somehow you made this about bears and march 2020. Get a grip and try to learn from people that are way more successful than you and are trying to help you.
I listen to more successful people all the time. Sadly, your fairy tales don't make you one of them. Learn not to be jerk and people will respect you more. Just trying to help.
 
Bernie Marcus is way more successful than I will ever become, but just like Bernie, I am not interested in NIL deals or donating a substantial portion of my wealth to Rutgers athletics. There are other causes (at RU) that I favor.
Oh well lol
 
Interesting analysis of the MSFT/ATVI deal. Hope it goes through smoothly! MSFT is my biggest holding across all accounts (including funds and etfs):

 
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Besides the price discussion, any update on the actual tech? Any hope for it?
Haven’t really followed it recently but they were progressing with technology. Had some real world test success but it’s years away. In this market, can’t sell the dream.
 
Haven’t really followed it recently but they were progressing with technology. Had some real world test success but it’s years away. In this market, can’t sell the dream.
It will be interesting to see how low it goes. Forget no profit or sales, they don't even have a product. Why the hell did they go public? However, I bet it will pump a bit again during the next EV excitement wave.
 
It will be interesting to see how low it goes. Forget no profit or sales, they don't even have a product. Why the hell did they go public? However, I bet it will pump a bit again during the next EV excitement wave.
I’ll put it in terms you understand. Think biotech. When it hits, it hits big.
 
What do you make of AAPL holding up much better then the other mega caps of late? Good sign, or potential for catch up to the downside?

Edit: I don't own, and not really looking to buy, just curious as to what people make of aapl and how that relates to the market.
It means apple is strong if it is doing better than the s&p on down days.

The price is just an advertising mechanism. It's all about buying pressure and selling pressure. Market profile is a great tool to use to visualize this.

Also always take notice of down stocks on up days (bearish signal) and up/flat stocks on down days (bullish signal), assuming decent volume.
 
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UL says it won't raise it's bid for GSK's consumer health unit. Maybe it will boost the stock a little more and it can trade a little closer to where it was when this news came out. There may be wariness management is still on the lookout for a deal and could overpay. PG's health and beauty segments did well in their earnings report yesterday and I could see UL try to bolt on something like that if they can.


 
How bout F?

Stock had doubled since Sept before todays drop. Was the move to the upside too much, and is this downside move enough?
Jefferies downgraded F from buy to hold but raised PT from 20 to 25.

Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois cut his rating on Ford to 'hold", from 'buy', noting that it's too early to re-rate the carmaker based on its planned drive into electric vehicle production, even as Ford looks to double the pace of its F-150 Lightning output to 150,000 units this year, and has said it's booked 200,000 reservations for the newly-unveiled electric pickup.

Houchois also bumped his price target by 5, to $20 per share, in response to higher-than-expected cash flows, and improved balance sheet and the carmaker's stake in EV startup Rivian

 
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SOFI is not a stock I own or am inclined to own but I know some of you own it or like it. 30% off the lows around 12 just a couple days ago. Big boon from that bank charter news. Congrats on the gains, if you got them.
 
Since I am an index fund investor isn't the only thing I really care about the total amount of money invested in stocks?

If 10 years from now the amount of money invested in stocks is x times greater than the amount invested now I am fine.

If there is less money in the marker than now I am on the losing side
 
Peloton down 24% today, will temporarily stop production due to low demand. Trading halted twice so far today.
 
Amazingly well timed scheduled $500 million stock sale by their insiders yesterday.
They didn't sell it yesterday, the news just came out yesterday. The sales were in 2020 and 2021. They're "planned" sales but no one knows the company better than insiders and the trajectory of news, sales etc...So these things are technically planned ahead of time but I always have the opinion the insiders have foresight of what's coming around the corner be it positive or negative. Drug company news is one I'm always skeptical of well timed insider selling/buying.

IMO, Peloton and the like are like the adult version of Tamagatchis or whatever they were called and things of that nature. It's a fad that booms and then busts. I'm sure the insiders realize that and were smart enough to get off on the boom cycle before the bust. It's product line that can be part of something else, people here have mentioned Apple Fitness, but not one that can stand alone on its own. The growth rate was unsustainable especially at premium prices.
 
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IMO, Peloton and the like are like the adult version of Tamagatchis or whatever they were called and things of that nature. It's a fad that booms and then busts. I'm sure the insiders realize that and were smart enough to get off on the boom cycle before the bust. It's product line that can be part of something else, people here have mentioned Apple Fitness, but not one that can stand alone on its own. The growth rate was unsustainable especially at premium prices.
Not entirely accurate. CEO actually reduced the amount that he had scheduled to sell during 2021. The executives are all taking big hits from this decline as only a fraction of their exposure had been sold. Prudent that they took some money off the table as the stock climbed the last few years. They produce a quality product and had been having major issues meeting demand during Covid. Ramped up production just as demand dropped off.
 
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