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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

The bounce back from the lows today was certainly noteworthy and may qualify as capitulation. Now do you see the hammer candlestick pattern?
It's possible. On a SP daily chart but it still looks like it will close below the 200DMA unless we get big rally in the last hour which could be another positive sign if it did happen. IMO, the quicker it retakes the 200DMA the better... if it is a bottom be it short term or longer term.

There can be big rallies in big downturns too so hard to know for sure when you're in it but see it when you look back
 
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It's possible. On a SP daily chart but it still looks like it will close below the 200DMA unless we get big rally in the last hour which could be another positive sign if it did happen. IMO, the quicker it retakes the 200DMA the better... if it is a bottom be it short term or longer term.

There can be big rallies in big downturns too so hard to know for sure when you're in it but see it when you look back
Isn't there a saying.....that TA matters because other people think TA matters. :)
 
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Isn't there a saying.....that TA matters because other people think TA matters. :)
I think it's probably used more now than when I started, especially with algorithms. I think it and things like candlesticks etc.. can give some insight into market psychology, exhaustion etc...
 
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It's possible. On a SP daily chart but it still looks like it will close below the 200DMA unless we get big rally in the last hour which could be another positive sign if it did happen. IMO, the quicker it retakes the 200DMA the better... if it is a bottom be it short term or longer term.

There can be big rallies in big downturns too so hard to know for sure when you're in it but see it when you look back

Could be a relief rally or a head fake.
 
Could be a relief rally or a head fake.
Brought a little but most of the stocks aren’t positive yet so can still be a head fake. HOwever, some of them are attractive.

The stocks are turning positive and I’m buying more
 
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A lot of green on the retail/consumer disc sector on my screen.

MSFT possible hammer and around the 200DMA possibly retaking it.

AMZN getting close to 2900 again and that bottom of the trading range I mentioned above. We'll see if that's a resistance now or if it can break above back into the range.

Earnings and guidance will probably determine how those go. MSFT earnings out tomorrow.
 
A lot of green on the retail/consumer disc sector on my screen.

MSFT possible hammer and around the 200DMA possibly retaking it.

AMZN getting close to 2900 again and that bottom of the trading range I mentioned above. We'll see if that's a resistance now or if it can break above back into the range.

Earnings and guidance will probably determine how those go. MSFT earnings out tomorrow.
Earnings will be important, but the biggest event is Wed and Powell's press conference. With all the turmoil and markets jumping to worst case scenario conclusions, will Powell walk back some of his hawkishness? Huge bounce if this happens.
 
All the indices green, just barely, but considering the blood bath earlier any green is quite a turn...with algorithms things move so fast now both negative and positive.
 
I’ll probably regret not buying MSFT when it hit $276 but I tend to agree with folks here that waiting on some tech earnings prob prudent. I added to Micron and InMode.
 
I’ll probably regret not buying MSFT when it hit $276 but I tend to agree with folks here that waiting on some tech earnings prob prudent. I added to Micron and InMode.
I think waiting on earnings is prudent even though I didn't lol. I've said before I consider myself a strategic knife catcher. But it's always in high quality names so if I'm early I'm okay averaging down and they often eventually come around.

For MSFT I saw support in this 200DMA area in the 280-290 range so I split the diff and put a price in at 285. It could still go down though, I wouldn't say for sure it's done. I think earnings and guidance will help determine that.

FB is one too I wanted but I wanted in the 270s and possibly 250s so I held back. It didn't come to me. I like that one a lot too. Same for GOOGL around 2400.

Hard to know if this is a long term or short term bottom and just a rally in a long term downtrend. My mind is as long as I think I got good value at a price I bought something I'm okay with it whatever direction it goes.
 
I think any of the Big Tech, at their current prices, are good buys just as long as you don’t want to trade them in 1-3 months. I think I brought all the stocks I mentioned earlier but I also added some ADBE, GOOG , NVDA, SPY and DIA. Maybe moved from 80% cash to 50-60% cash.
 
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Earnings will be important, but the biggest event is Wed and Powell's press conference. With all the turmoil and markets jumping to worst case scenario conclusions, will Powell walk back some of his hawkishness? Huge bounce if this happens.
Today felt like capitulation where everyone sold who was nervous about the markets sold. Then in the afternoon the market scratched and clawed its way to positive territory. I agree with you that Powells talk is going to be very important as to the near term direction of this market. I suspect you are right and he will temper his remarks surrounding tightening. I think the market is ready to rally anyway but powells remarks are going to be key, then what earnings look like could either be a catalyst for further gains or may be the nail in the coffin. stay tuned!
 
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Bought a little of AAPL, AMZN, OGN, PLTR and SWN during lunch. Who knows what’s in store for tomorrow and beyond, but what an afternoon.
Interesting play with PLTR! You spec trader. :)

My big question.....is it TQQQ time now?
 
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I have a feeling the turbulence will continue for the next few weeks unless earnings and the Fed can settle things down, and geopolitical risks disappear.
What happens if Russia invade Ukraine? and if the US got more involved? Maybe the market goes down another 10-20%.
 
What happens if Russia invade Ukraine? and if the US got more involved? Maybe the market goes down another 10-20%.
That would likely cause a mini-crash, although it may also serve as a bottom. Geopolitical events are where I’ve always made the most money.
 
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That would likely cause a mini-crash, although it may also serve as a bottom. Geopolitical events are where I’ve always made the most money.
Irrational drops are always the best for making money.
 
I’m hoping but you never if they will go up or down.
I’m down in a few positions from recent dip buying. Up about 15% on todays purchases but doesn’t mean anything until I ring the register. I don’t trust this market in the short-term. But I’m still nibbling.
 
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Today felt like capitulation where everyone sold who was nervous about the markets sold. Then in the afternoon the market scratched and clawed its way to positive territory. I agree with you that Powells talk is going to be very important as to the near term direction of this market. I suspect you are right and he will temper his remarks surrounding tightening. I think the market is ready to rally anyway but powells remarks are going to be key, then what earnings look like could either be a catalyst for further gains or may be the nail in the coffin. stay tuned!

Usually I buy 50% of my allocation on days like today, but today I bought about 15%.
 
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True, but they are not leveraged by 3x!
Yeah, I’d have to think about that one only because I seem to recall you own 6 or so out of the top ten TQQQ holdings. So while the 3X is great I don’t know where that puts you from a risk model/perspective if you get caught in a correction. Obviously, largely depends on the size of the investment.
 
Yeah, I’d have to think about that one only because I seem to recall you own 6 or so out of the top ten TQQQ holdings. So while the 3X is great I don’t know where that puts you from a risk model/perspective if you get caught in a correction. Obviously, largely depends on the size of the investment.
Definitely need to do some research and analysis over the next few weeks. And for perspective, I am only talking about my new account. I have 50% invested in those 6 stocks and 50% left in cash. I came super close to jumping into PYPL close to the low today, but stupid work got in the way and had a long meeting. Missed that window, for now. LOL!
 
I have a feeling the turbulence will continue for the next few weeks unless earnings and the Fed can settle things down, and geopolitical risks disappear.

I was listening to a financial who said high volatility is a sign of sign of big trouble looming. He said a big drop and then a big rebound isn't actually a win right now.

As for geopolitical risks, do we really trust a guy who wrecked Afghanistan on purpose, to go and meddle in Europe with a major military power? US should be focused on China and not Ukraine. That is probably not be an accident considering China owns DC. Global denizens always saw US as block to their aspirations and now we see an intentional push to break everything from borders, to military, to healthcare, to law enforcement to dollar etc. They want the "big crisis" to tip the scales. Europe is a mess but MSM ignores all the protests and violence. Russia moving into Cuba and China moving into South America. NY regime will let them up the Hudson if they can

 
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I was listening to a financial who said high volatility is a sign of sign of big trouble looming. He said a big drop and then a big rebound isn't actually a win right now.

As for geopolitical risks, do we really trust a guy who wrecked Afghanistan on purpose, to go and meddle in Europe with a major military power? US should be focused on China and not Ukraine. That is probably not be an accident considering China owns DC. Global denizens always saw US as block to their aspirations and now we see an intentional push to break everything from borders, to military, to healthcare, to law enforcement to dollar etc. They want the "big crisis" to tip the scales. Europe is a mess but MSM ignores all the protests and violence. Russia moving into Cuba and China moving into South America. NY regime will let them up the Hudson if they can

I heard Fox viewers are saying to side with Russia and forget Europe. Let Russia do whatever they want. I wonder why?
 
America's 9-1-1, the 82nd Airborne, is readying to take flight.

Fed poised to react aggressively to inflation.

Economic growth slowing.

Midterms looming.

Markets overvalued.

You make the call as to how markets will respond....
 
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Just doing a quick scan of a bunch of tech names (profitable known names) and I'd say rough estimates about 1/2 of them are around their 200DMA or touched it and bounced off a bit and 1/2 have clearly broken it. The Nasdaq as a whole has also clearly broken it as well for now. Rallies could be rejected by the 200DMA the longer it stays below. AAPL mentioned above is the one that has shown some relative strength compared to the sector.

So given that which direction is more likely thinking about these big names that drive the sector. More likely to see a further drag down and breakdown for ones that have held above or can those names pick up the sector and bring up the ones that have broken down?
 
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