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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

I don’t know. Putin, the brilliant genius, has now brought in flame throwing equipment to scare and burn out the Ukrainians. There’s no way Russia will win in the long run and the Russian people will be hurt tremendously being isolated from the rest of the world with a lower standard of living. Putin is a genius, nothing to gain and everything to lose, except getting in the history as the worst leader after Hitler.
Flame throwers? Is this the 1940s? One thing that is surely a surprise to Putin is that much of the war is being streamed live on social media. You can't hide your actions anymore. The USSR that he knows thrived in the shadows. That is gone now, especially when you invade a free country.
 
Nuclear high alert is a clear response to the SWIFT ban. It’s not meaningless for the military. All NATO countries have to respond because of it.
#meaningless
Our strategic bombers are already circling Russia and have been for the past week.
 
Flame throwers? Is this the 1940s? One thing that is surely a surprise to Putin is that much of the war is being streamed live on social media. You can't hide your actions anymore. The USSR that he knows thrived in the shadows. That is gone now, especially when you invade a free country.


THE FLAME THROWER.

 
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Flame throwers? Is this the 1940s? One thing that is surely a surprise to Putin is that much of the war is being streamed live on social media. You can't hide your actions anymore. The USSR that he knows thrived in the shadows. That is gone now, especially when you invade a free country.
you have not seen the video of the flame thrower weapon? It’s a poor description of the actual weapon.
 
From the American people's perspective I think the sacrifice we need to make right now is paying $5-6 per gallon for gas.


I think that concern of adding to rising gas prices has kept Biden from putting sanctions on Russia's oil, but I think right now the the US citizenry would get behind it.

And that would be another huge blow to Putin.
 
From the American people's perspective I think the sacrifice we need to make right now is paying $5-6 per gallon for gas.


I think that concern of adding to rising gas prices has kept Biden from putting sanctions on Russia's oil, but I think right now the the US citizenry would get behind it.

And that would be another huge blow to Putin.
Buy TSLA now. :)
 
Buy TSLA now. :)
Seriously though, Biden could use this as an oppurtunity to push the US towards EV's.

Though I'm of the hope that Putin won't be at the helm much longer, and thus the sanctions would be fairly short term.
 
So what’s the prediction on tomorrow’s market action?
🚀🚀🚀

The developed world is unified against Putin. Even many of the Russian people are protesting. Oil has dropped since the invasion. Fed likely to go slower on rate increases due to the economy uncertainty. All signs are positive.

But who knows what the CLs will do? Can't predict day to day emotions.
 
If Ukraine's defense holds up I think the Market will go on a run. I find Ukraine's performance here has been very inspiring, and that will inspire the market.
Make sure you are in the market if Putin takes a forced "vacation". S&P going $5000+.
😁

If this happens, gotta go all-in on supporting the new Russia government and people. Welcome them to the western world. Huge economic aid, give them NATO membership. Isolate China!
 
If Ukraine's defense holds up I think the Market will go on a run. I find Ukraine's performance here has been very inspiring, and that will inspire the market.
Even Germany is getting on board:

Scholz said Saturday that Germany would be sending 1,000 anti-tank weapons and 500 Stinger missiles directly to Ukraine.
His government has also removed some restrictions on German-made weapons being sent to conflict zones, enabling more third-party countries to send weapons to Ukraine as well.

 
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Make sure you are in the market if Putin takes a forced "vacation". S&P going $5000+.
😁
I still have my 10% in cash. And maybe another 10% in some really defensive stocks, like T. Only recent sale was PYPL.

I kept a pretty strong grip during this most recent dip, though I was getting pretty wary.
 
Seriously though, Biden could use this as an oppurtunity to push the US towards EV's.

Though I'm of the hope that Putin won't be at the helm much longer, and thus the sanctions would be fairly short term.
For EVs, it’s a production issue. Plenty of demand.
 
Legit reports of peace talks


Don't fall for it! It's a trap. Remember the Red Wedding. :)
 
🚀🚀🚀

The developed world is unified against Putin. Even many of the Russian people are protesting. Oil has dropped since the invasion. Fed likely to go slower on rate increases due to the economy uncertainty. All signs are positive.

But who knows what the CLs will do? Can't predict day to day emotions.
Eh I think people forget how much of the developed world are NOT unified against Putin. Iran, China, and India are key players in the outcome of this. The EU would not be able to withstand cutting off oil trade with Russia if Iran were to also cut the EU off from oil. I have a feeling nations are going to be putting chips on the table real soon. Everyone is going to try to absorb short term economic pain in an attempt the shuffle the geopolitical deck big time.

Something that isn’t really getting reported is the major Russian naval task force massed off the coast of Syria right now, for what it’s worth.
 
Legit reports of peace talks


All this crap and then Putin is going to agree to peaceful resolution? I could see Putin using talks as a simple distraction for Ukrainian President and way to get him out of Kyiv.
 
US and EU cutting certain Russians banks from Swift will cause a run on the Russian banks. I remember in 2008 with the crash, Russia banks went bankrupt and a Russian Americans mentioned he lost everything they deposited since they don’t have any type of FDIC (socialism).

Putin realized he made a big miscalculation and has to agree to some type of peace.
 
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All this crap and then Putin is going to agree to peaceful resolution? I could see Putin using talks as a simple distraction for Ukrainian President and way to get him out of Kyiv.
Maybe Puty is delaying to get fuel into Ukraine. I read military consultants saying the Russian operation was poorly planned and supply lines are crippled. A lot of Russian vehicles were abandoned on roads - no fuel. The local residents couldn't find fuel either because the evacuation sucked it all up, Russian soldiers seemed legit bewildered about what was going on. Personally I've thought the original operation wasn't meant to be a national takeover invasion. Early successes and the lack of assistance for Ukraine might have tempted Putin to overreach.

All the big NATO talkers who use Ukraine as grift/money laundering operation left Ukraine up a creek. But Uke had Javelins and Stingers from Trump admin. They are getting more stuff now from Euro nations. EVen Germany is supposed to be sending weapons (but not a NATO functionary) I also wonder if Putin was victim of dishonesty syndrome. Underlings dont like to give their strongmen leaders honest assessments. Russian military was prone to certain issues that were supposed to be fixed but it seems they still have rough edges
 
Hope so! Give him those 2 breakaway regions to allow him to declare victory. Put an end to all this.
In exchange for what though? Ukraine in NATO?

I think Putin has lost significant leverage, I wouldn't give him anything without getting something back.
 
In exchange for what though? Ukraine in NATO?

I think Putin has lost significant leverage, I wouldn't give him anything without getting something back.
In exchange for stopping the attack and sending missiles into URK cities? Putin still has plenty of leverage.
 
In exchange for stopping the attack and sending missiles into URK cities? Putin still has plenty of leverage.

The Ukraines could have stopped the attack by surrendering on day one. Zelensky could have ran off to Poland. They have chosen a different path. Highly doubt they surrender any land without serious concessions from the Russian side.
 
Interesting week ahead in Commodity and FX markets:

 
The people in Ukraine fight. We need strong allies. Ukraine is strong. BRING THEM IN! NOW!
I would think in the negotiation, that Ukraine might promise not to join NATO in the next 5 years however, continue to arm themselves during this period in case of further fighting.

This war created by Putin will stop in the future China from trying to take over Taiwan in a war. China sees the weapon or sanctions that are effective. China is more dependent upon EU and the US for their trade and wouldn’t want to upset the current situation. Sanctions works when it is uniformly applied by the free world.
 
I would think in the negotiation, that Ukraine might promise not to join NATO in the next 5 years however, continue to arm themselves during this period in case of further fighting.

This war created by Putin will stop in the future China from trying to take over Taiwan in a war. China sees the weapon or sanctions that are effective. China is more dependent upon EU and the US for their trade and wouldn’t want to upset the current situation. Sanctions works when it is uniformly applied by the free world.
At this point, I don’t see why Ukraine would agree to much of anything. They have the weight of the world backing them and the Russians d-bags already invaded and terrorized their country. The damage is done. Tell Putin to shove it up his commie ass and let Russia devolve into a third world country until someone takes out Putin from within.
 
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I would think in the negotiation, that Ukraine might promise not to join NATO in the next 5 years however, continue to arm themselves during this period in case of further fighting.

This war created by Putin will stop in the future China from trying to take over Taiwan in a war. China sees the weapon or sanctions that are effective. China is more dependent upon EU and the US for their trade and wouldn’t want to upset the current situation. Sanctions works when it is uniformly applied by the free world.
Tough to get everyone together but it seems invasion of a sovereign country does it

Iraq/Kuwait and now Russia/Ukraine
 
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The people in Ukraine fight. We need strong allies. Ukraine is strong. BRING THEM IN! NOW!
You are aware this would bring about a limited (or worse) nuclear conflict and the likely economic or even physical destruction of large portions of the US, right?

This isn’t WW2 or the Korean War where conventional intervention will save our partners.
 
You are aware this would bring about a limited (or worse) nuclear conflict and the likely economic or even physical destruction of large portions of the US, right?

This isn’t WW2 or the Korean War where conventional intervention will save our partners.
I’m not a geopolitics expert, but why would the US be at risk? If nukes are directed anywhere it would be the EU, especially France since they have nukes too. Can’t imagine Russia taking a shot at the US unless we are taking about the destruction of the world as we know it. At that point, forget the stock market talk on this thread…LOL?
 
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