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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Bloomberg News is a money losing pet project for Mike Bloomberg (I worked at Bloomberg Tradebook in 2008-10). They only cared about the fixed income markets at Bloomberg News back then and I still feel that they are way ahead of WSJ and CNBC in that coverage. Their news webpage went for clickbait money like 5 yrs ago and it is sad to see.
I've found Bloomberg to be one of the more reliable MSM news sites.
I liked Michael Bloomberg ok (I was impressed he could fly a helicopter so he wasn't a complete nebbish) and some others at Bloomberg

Some years ago I had a relative that told me he went to a big 4th of July party that had a great band.
He showed me a video of the band and I saw it was Gregg Allman.
Turned-out Bloomberg partner Tom Secunda would throw July 4 parties for 200+locals in the Hudson Valley town he lived in.
 
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Big banks likely made an insane amount of money because everyone moved money form SVB, First Republic, etc into the big banks. Everyone I know did that without hesitation. Let's see how the earnings of the regional banks and other companies especially Tesla.
A lot of it went to MM funds.
 
Big banks likely made an insane amount of money because everyone moved money form SVB, First Republic, etc into the big banks. Everyone I know did that without hesitation. Let's see how the earnings of the regional banks and other companies especially Tesla.
Interested in big tech, especially since the dollar is now a tailwind, not a headwind anymore. Earnings may surprise a lot of folks. UNH crushed it yesterday, so HC may be in good shape.
 
Not what they said. And I watched the whole episode. Joshy said we'll revisit Oct lows. Lizzy agreed.
They are a little more bearish than me, but all of them agree tech already bottomed and so did several other sectors. Josh is great since he looks at data, thinks about it, and comments. He has said on other shows that maybe the bottom is in. Obviously, he is the host of a show and is responsible for the guest being able to express themselves with his own views constantly getting in the way. This show is great because Josh is a great conversationalist that has fun and the guests are diverse/interesting.

Do we have a brief retest of the Oct lows? I say no, but have plenty of new cash ready to go if we do. I'm in a win-win situation.
 
So why all the hysteria on SCHW last month?

On Monday, Charles Schwab (SCHW), a brokerage under pressure since last month's Silicon Valley Bank failure delivers a better-than-expected quarterly EPS. Deposits stable.
 
Apple is really trying to do everything. Looking forward to the Apple iCar announcement soon. :)

And yes, looks like I missed the boat on Nat Gas once again. It keeps very briefly dipping below $2 and then rallying. Did this Friday morning twice and I missed it due to a work meeting. Oh well. I assume I will get another bite at the apple soon. Hard to place a buy order since I want to buy BOIL once Nat Gas dipped below $2. Can I place an if/then order on Fidelity? LOL!
 
Sold half of my JNJ 150@ 168.44 this morning but probably buy it back in a week or two.

Added PRU 200@84.5 and MET 100@59.8 the last few days Probably add more if it continue upward. Been buying back UNH 50@503 and will be adding more base on movement.
 
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Buffet loved TSMC up to recently


Lol does Buffet understand that if China actually invades Taiwan it’s the end of the world economy as we knew it? Your TSMC exposure will likely be the least of your worries.
 
Sold half of my JNJ 150@ 168.44 this morning but probably buy it back in a week or two.

Added PRU 200@84.5 and MET 100@59.8 the last few days Probably add more if it continue upward. Been buying back UNH 50@503 and will be adding more base on movement.
Beautiful quarter for JNJ, double beat and raised guidance. HC looking strong so far.

 
Not what they said. And I watched the whole episode. Joshy said we'll revisit Oct lows. Lizzy agreed.
Did they provide concrete rationale for why we would retest October lows? That's a 6k point drop in the dow from today, with inflation and other key indicators improving.
 
Did they provide concrete rationale for why we would retest October lows? That's a 6k point drop in the dow from today, with inflation and other key indicators improving.
Pretty much. It's best to jump through it on your own. In short, Joshy took the lead citing a downturn momentum effect triggered by cost-cutting (layoffs and less spending) in larger firms leading to layoffs in smaller firms (suppliers as an example) leading to less household spending leading to less overall product/service demands, and so on. Lizzy agreed. Tighter credit/money supply exacerbating things. Fed will get its recession. Economy to reboot after a fashion.
 
Pretty much. It's best to jump through it on your own. In short, Joshy took the lead citing a downturn momentum effect triggered by cost-cutting (layoffs and less spending) in larger firms leading to layoffs in smaller firms (suppliers as an example) leading to less household spending leading to less overall product/service demands, and so on. Lizzy agreed. Tighter credit/money supply exacerbating things. Fed will get its recession. Economy to reboot after a fashion.
This is interesting, I have also read that outside the tech industry most other industries have “slow cut” to the bone from 2013-2020, leaving little to no room for large scale layoffs in current year recession. In fact, many sectors are still struggling to staff properly in the post-pandemic era. The prevailing thought was rather than mass layoffs you may have bankruptcies and mergers (which in some instances will cause layoffs to a degree). Thing is, unlike other economic expansionary periods most firms this past decade have continued with very tight expense management post GFC, leaving much less room for sweeping expense cuts.
 
Pretty much. It's best to jump through it on your own. In short, Joshy took the lead citing a downturn momentum effect triggered by cost-cutting (layoffs and less spending) in larger firms leading to layoffs in smaller firms (suppliers as an example) leading to less household spending leading to less overall product/service demands, and so on. Lizzy agreed. Tighter credit/money supply exacerbating things. Fed will get its recession. Economy to reboot after a fashion.
FYI - Bears already starting to move the goal posts. Saying the recession may be an "early 2024 event" instead. LOL!
 
“Fun fact: When they intervened with Bear Stearns in 2008, the same weekend as SVG this year btw, $SPX rallied 14.5% and the $VIX got crushed from 36 to 16.

Everything was contained they told everyone. It wasn't.”


Memories

 
NFLX with mixed results, share rather flat after hours. The big news was they are discontinuing the DVD mail service in the fall.


Free cash flow significantly improved due to spending less on content:

EkzF2xHWMAAyzIz
 
Beautiful quarter for JNJ, double beat and raised guidance. HC looking strong so far.

Good quarter and they also upped guidance for 2023. I have to think the drop today was caused by ongoing concern as to whether the JNJ proposal related to the talc settlement would be accepted. I’ve held JNJ for decades and will continue to hold it. If/when the law suit gets settled I think the stock will surge. As a long-term holder, I remain optimistic about the company.
 
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Good quarter and they also upped guidance for 2023. I have to think the drop today was caused by ongoing concern as to whether the JNJ proposal related to the talc settlement would be accepted. I’ve held JNJ for decades and will continue to hold it. If/when the law suit gets settled I think the stock will do well. As a long-term holder, I remain optimistic about the company.
The drop today was mostly due to people being stupid and overthinking. LOL!
 
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The drop today was mostly due to people being stupid and overthinking. LOL!
Agree, but in this litigious society it’s a short-term wildcard. JNJ has been a great hold for me over the decades and is one of my largest positions in terms of individual equities.
 
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when I hear most people say the same thing... i feel the opposite is about to happen.....

nevertheless, "it's a thin bull run" is certainly something I'm hearing A LOT of the last week or two......

040323_b_top%205%20other%20495.png
 
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when I hear most people say the same thing... i feel the opposite is about to happen.....

nevertheless, "it's a thin bull run" is certainly something I'm hearing A LOT of the last week or two......

040323_b_top%205%20other%20495.png
I’m hearing way more that this is just another bear rally and we will test the lows again. A lot more.
 
Rents turn negative YoY for first time in 3 years! MoM has been negative since last fall. Math is catching up with reality.

 
FOXA settled out of court for 787 million to Dominion over the fake stolen election claims for the 2020 national election.

This wipes out about a quarter of net profit for Foxcorp. The stock has been a zombie for about 5 years (-20%).
 

Rent Inflation in the United States continued to climb to 8.2% in March 2023, up from 8.1% in the prior month. It was the highest reading since June 1982.​

Source:​

Bureau of Labor Statistics​

Please keep this a serious conversation. No need to post fantasies. Thanks!
 
for the fixed Y guys:
Bank o America 2028 Senior Notes issued paying 5.35%...... callable in 2024.. and not FDIC, but "too big to fail" right?
 
Glad I sold most of my UNH before the earnings. Normally I don’t like to keep the stock because it’s 50/50 in which direction it will go. Down 15 points today buying again. Nice 60 points gain from the low.
I brought more UNH 50 shares@ 486 today, down 17 today and down 44 points in 5 days 8.3% since earnings. They beat and raised forecast. Will continue buying UNH as it goes down, it’s a little early for me to buy since it probably goes down another 20 points before next quarter earnings. Will buy 25 more down another 10 pts and 100 shares down another 10.
 
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