BACATOLOGY 3/11: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS
- Thread starter bac2therac
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wrapping up some late games
Montana State another sub 500 school is dancing from the Big Sky
Utah routed Arizona State to keep their hopes alive
Montana State another sub 500 school is dancing from the Big Sky
Utah routed Arizona State to keep their hopes alive
Some sayThursday of Championship Week is the best day in all of college basketball
bubble impact games.....
St Joe's/Richmond.....Spiders are the AQ but slim hopes as at large would end here
Minnesota/Michigan State.....A loss and who knows where the Spartans sit
Mississippi State/LSU.....Bulldogs would be in danger of dropping out of the field with a loss
Wake Forest/Pitt.....biggest bubble matchup of the day...loser out, winner close but...
Seton Hall/St John's.....a must win for the Johnnies due to some bubble developments, a bit less so for the Pirates
Wichita State/Memphis.....Tigers need this and more to stay in contention
San Diego State/UNLV.....Rebels on their home court loom a potential bid stealer in the Mountain West Tournament
UCLA/Oregon.....Ducks have 20 wins but on the extreme fringes of the bubble
Ohio State/Iowa.....for both its about winning this one and then beating Illinois tomorrow yet maybe more realistic for the Hawkeyes than the Buckeyes
Ole Miss/Texas A&M.....Aggies definitely need this as they are right on the cut line with those 4 Q3 losses
Kansas State/Iowa State.....a potential 6th Q1 win for the Wildcats might be enough to vault them into the field
Providence/Creighton....absolute must win for the Friars
BC/Virginia.....while UVA appears a tad above the fray, a loss here would change that
Cincinnati/Baylor.....Bearcats would need this and then another one to legit be talked about as an at large
Villanova/Marquette....Nova failed the eye test vs horrid De Paul and I wonder if their fate is already sealed
New Mexico/Boise State.....Lobos in must win mode here and is that enough to give the Mountain West 6 bids
Utah/Colorado.....HUGE bubble buster. Utes still in trouble even with this win but might cause some pause for Colorados chances
bubble impact games.....
St Joe's/Richmond.....Spiders are the AQ but slim hopes as at large would end here
Minnesota/Michigan State.....A loss and who knows where the Spartans sit
Mississippi State/LSU.....Bulldogs would be in danger of dropping out of the field with a loss
Wake Forest/Pitt.....biggest bubble matchup of the day...loser out, winner close but...
Seton Hall/St John's.....a must win for the Johnnies due to some bubble developments, a bit less so for the Pirates
Wichita State/Memphis.....Tigers need this and more to stay in contention
San Diego State/UNLV.....Rebels on their home court loom a potential bid stealer in the Mountain West Tournament
UCLA/Oregon.....Ducks have 20 wins but on the extreme fringes of the bubble
Ohio State/Iowa.....for both its about winning this one and then beating Illinois tomorrow yet maybe more realistic for the Hawkeyes than the Buckeyes
Ole Miss/Texas A&M.....Aggies definitely need this as they are right on the cut line with those 4 Q3 losses
Kansas State/Iowa State.....a potential 6th Q1 win for the Wildcats might be enough to vault them into the field
Providence/Creighton....absolute must win for the Friars
BC/Virginia.....while UVA appears a tad above the fray, a loss here would change that
Cincinnati/Baylor.....Bearcats would need this and then another one to legit be talked about as an at large
Villanova/Marquette....Nova failed the eye test vs horrid De Paul and I wonder if their fate is already sealed
New Mexico/Boise State.....Lobos in must win mode here and is that enough to give the Mountain West 6 bids
Utah/Colorado.....HUGE bubble buster. Utes still in trouble even with this win but might cause some pause for Colorados chances
Montana St lost to NAIA Rocky Mountain College 62-70 of the Frontier Conference. They finished the year 12-17.
Extremely well done!!
Think SHU already in. Think Nova already out. Is Marquette guard still out?
Beat me to it. Today is a very underrated day for college basketball. Appreciate the bubble list.
It's the mooooooost wonderful time of the year.
Can't wait to watch basketball non-stop for the next few weeks
Can't wait to watch basketball non-stop for the next few weeks
LAST FOUR BYES: MICHIGAN STATE, SETON HALL, OKLAHOMA, MISSISSIPPI STATE
LAST FOUR IN: TEXAS A & M, SAINT JOHN'S, COLORADO, VIRGINIA
FIRST FOUR OUT: INDIANA STATE, NEW MEXICO, KANSAS STATE, VILLANOVA
NEXT SEVEN OUT: PROVIDENCE, IOWA, WAKE FOREST, PITTSBURGH, OHIO STATE, MEMPHIS, UTAH
LIFE SUPPORT: CINCINNATI, OREGON
LAST FOUR IN: TEXAS A & M, SAINT JOHN'S, COLORADO, VIRGINIA
FIRST FOUR OUT: INDIANA STATE, NEW MEXICO, KANSAS STATE, VILLANOVA
NEXT SEVEN OUT: PROVIDENCE, IOWA, WAKE FOREST, PITTSBURGH, OHIO STATE, MEMPHIS, UTAH
LIFE SUPPORT: CINCINNATI, OREGON
projected MAC AQ Toledo is down double digits to Kent State in the MAC Quarterfinals
projected A10 AQ Richmond only up 24-22 over St Joes at half
projected A10 AQ Richmond only up 24-22 over St Joes at half
i really think you cannot make a tourney resume in 3 days, you have to have stuff that makes you close heading to the tourney. Committee has been consistent on not rewarding tourney runs for a few years now
that is why Kansas State in better shape than Cincinnati or Ohio State
i would put it at 25% chance to fall out....they still have strong metrics and no bad losses and strong sos,,,,they will be sweating, i could see first four but have to see how everything plays out to see if there is a good possibility to be booted
St Joes wins 66-61
Dayton now projected AQ although some bracketologists going to stick with seeding and give it to 2nd seed Loyola, I am not
St Joes meets winner of VCU/Umass
Richmond falls to at large pool where outlook is slim
One more spot opens up on the bubble.....Indiana State step right up. Virginia now moves from first four games to a bye
LAST FOUR BYES: SETON HALL, OKLAHOMA, MISSISSIPPI STATE, VIRGINIA
LAST FOUR IN: INDIANA STATE, TEXAS A & M, SAINT JOHN'S, COLORADO
FIRST FOUR OUT: NEW MEXICO, KANSAS STATE, VILLANOVA, PROVIDENCE
NEXT EIGHT OUT: IOWA, WAKE FOREST, PITTSBURGH, OHIO STATE, MEMPHIS, UTAH, RICHMOND
LIFE SUPPORT: CINCINNATI, OREGON
Dayton now projected AQ although some bracketologists going to stick with seeding and give it to 2nd seed Loyola, I am not
St Joes meets winner of VCU/Umass
Richmond falls to at large pool where outlook is slim
One more spot opens up on the bubble.....Indiana State step right up. Virginia now moves from first four games to a bye
LAST FOUR BYES: SETON HALL, OKLAHOMA, MISSISSIPPI STATE, VIRGINIA
LAST FOUR IN: INDIANA STATE, TEXAS A & M, SAINT JOHN'S, COLORADO
FIRST FOUR OUT: NEW MEXICO, KANSAS STATE, VILLANOVA, PROVIDENCE
NEXT EIGHT OUT: IOWA, WAKE FOREST, PITTSBURGH, OHIO STATE, MEMPHIS, UTAH, RICHMOND
LIFE SUPPORT: CINCINNATI, OREGON
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Sparty now up 8 on Minny with 5 minutes left. The 3 Big 10 at larges MSU, NW and Nebby will all be jockeying on that 8/9 line but I expect one of them to end up a 10...MSU looking good to be on that 8/9 line due to their metrics.
During the month of March do you push the lawnmower at all? Has CBS contacted you yet to run its bubble watch? How many hours of your day do you dedicate to Bacatology? Does it take away from any of your time watching Fox News or newsmax?
St Johns/Seton Hall a dandy, and what a pleasure to watch teams actually put the ball in the hoop
