I like the expansion if the incremental adds ended up being non power schools
im having trouble finding more than 16 schools on the bubble out right now, and maybe only 10 of them are legit bubble schools.Schools have 30-32 chances to make a resume. Their generally is a pretty good cutoff in knowing which schools are ncaa worthy. Of course there is always going to be a snub or two every year. Thats the whole fun of it. Rutgers being on the bubble isnt a thing to aspire so Pike has to move the program forward because we straddled the bubble in the 3 ncaa years and one non ncaa year.
if 4 of the bids went to the James Madisons, Drakes, Princetons, and Grand Canyons of the world that might be fine but that is not what is going to happen. This is all about bloated power 5 schools having more participation.
some years are better than others. I mean last year we can say RU got screwed based on body of work but in all honesty RU in that incarnation without Mag was not a ncaa tourney team. People forget how bad those games vs Northwestern and Michigan were at the rac...those were the RU chances to make a statement...also the games RU did win at Wisc/PSU were not exactly the type of confidence building wins the way they happened.You're the expert: how many teams on average "deserve" a tournament bid?
Forget AQ and conference champ.
Just straight ranking 1 to whatever.
Obviously "deserve" is subjective.
Sounds like it's less than 68?
you know that isnt happening.Getting the tournament means you have to get big wins except we give golden tickets to Akron (best win: Bradley), High Point (best win: UNC Greensboro), Charleston (best win: St.Joe's), Eastern Washington (best win: Weber State), etc.
Match them up with a "dreck" bubble team and let them earn their way by actually beating someone.
because the cinderalla aspect of the tourney exists. Akron might have a better shot at a 3 seed than playing a bloated out of conference school.If a random 14 seed (let's say Akron) cannot beat one of the teams that is "dreck" (let's say Texas A&M) then what's the point of letting them face a 3 seed?
i think eventually with all the consolidation of the power 6..soon to be power 5, that we will have a breakoff. Money talks and despite the enormous popularity of the ncaa tourney and cinderalla runs, if more money can be made holding a different kind of tourney, people will eventually accept what they are offeredAre we going down the path of eventually having 2 tournaments....media tournament (FoX)
NCAA tournament everyone else.
The national championship ends up being a Final4 of 3 teams from the media side and 1 from the NCAA side
There will still be Cinderellas! St. Peter's beat Kentucky, Murray State, and Purdue. All we'd be asking them to do now is to beat Eastern Kentucky first.because the cinderalla aspect of the tourney exists. Akron might have a better shot at a 3 seed than playing a bloated out of conference school.
I bet RU would have beat St Peters a couple years back in the first round.
am i missing something but you are adding 8 schools which are the drek...there are 68 now so why call VCU drek they are in the 68....to me yes there is a difference between Oklahoma right now and MemphisThere will still be Cinderellas! St. Peter's beat Kentucky, Murray State, and Purdue. All we'd be asking them to do now is to beat Eastern Kentucky first.
VCU was a Cinderella but they were one of the last four at-larges their year. One of the so-called dreck.
Right, so the 12 and the 13 and spilling onto the 14 lines would be the next eight out. That just means more play-in games between tiny conference tournament champions. Cinderellas like VCU would be unaffected (they were in the field already). George Mason, unaffected. FAU, unaffected up on the 9 line.am i missing something but you are adding 8 schools which are the drek...there are 68 now so why call VCU drek they are in the 68....to me yes there is a difference between Oklahoma right now and Memphis
plus you know full well your scenario of mid majors isnt why they are doing this
i dont think that is how it would be done... 2 games added to the 16 seed play ins, 2 games added to the 11 seed play ins.Right, so the 12 and the 13 and spilling onto the 14 lines would be the next eight out. That just means more play-in games between tiny conference tournament champions. Cinderellas like VCU would be unaffected (they were in the field already). George Mason, unaffected. FAU, unaffected up on the 9 line.
What am I missing?
How does this take away from Cinderellas?i dont think that is how it would be done... 2 games added to the 16 seed play ins, 2 games added to the 11 seed play ins.
likely 8 seeds all playing each other.......then we have 8 11 seeds playing each other
still adding 8 schools at large so maybe that line is actually going to be 12 seed play ins rather than 11
Dayton hosts 4 games on Tuesday
Vegas hosts 4 games on Wednesday.
This would be awful. Those extra 4-8 are generally drek...yippee we get to see 18-15 Texas A&M losers of 10 of 13
Or Colorado wth 1 quad 1 win
If you think small schools get in over power 6 you are fooling yourselves
because the 8 schools being added are Colorado, Providence, Texas A&M, Utah, Pittsburgh, Memphis, Iowa, and Wake Forest...they will go on the 12 line as play in gamesHow does this take away from Cinderellas?
who says they are abandoning 16 seed playin games...do you think the power 6 wants 16 of their schools playing each otherThey wouldn’t. But the change itself probably wouldn’t be as bad as your describing.
Think about it - let’s say they bump it to 76 teams - for simplicity 8 new at large teams (they might make all 16 seeds play in too though) - every one of those teams is in a play in game. 4 of their opponents are the current first four 4 teams. The other four are the last 4 byes. All 16 teams playing in these games were bubble teams. A few would’ve been “safer” in the field - I’d be okay with canning Dayton and giving the better seed a home game to be fair. In the end the main bracket of 64 doesn’t really change.
If the Tournament was expanded to 72 last year, that means the "First 4 Out" (OK St, Rutgers, UNC, Clemson) would have been in. I'm not sure those schools were drek, and certainly based on your bracketology last season, you thought some were less drek than schools that were in the bracket.This would be awful. Those extra 4-8 are generally drek...yippee we get to see 18-15 Texas A&M losers of 10 of 13
Or Colorado wth 1 quad 1 win
If you think small schools get in over power 6 you are fooling yourselves
North Carolina, Ok St, and Clemson did not deserve to go in any reality...I believe OK St wa 18-15 and UNC may have had zero or 1 Q1 win. Clemson had a dreadful resume. Eye test monday morning qb would say RU didnt really deserve a bid....flip with Nevada if you want, thats the only one i got wrong and Nevada had another weak resume. Pitt had a very marginal resumeIf the Tournament was expanded to 72 last year, that means the "First 4 Out" (OK St, Rutgers, UNC, Clemson) would have been in. I'm not sure those schools were drek, and certainly based on your bracketology last season, you thought some were less drek than schools that were in the bracket.
I don't really have an objection to expanding the bracket. I am concerned about the slippery slope. Going from 64 to 65 to 68 might be OK. Even going to 72 or 76 might be OK. But where do you stop? 88? 96? 144?
the power 6 run the show so this will not happenIf you start with how the bracket is now…you could just expand from 68 to 76 and mandate that the additional 8 teams be 4 matchup games each between one Power 6 and one “mid-major”, and that would decide who is drek and who is not and also be compelling. You would have highly-ranked-by-NET Power 6 drek playing against mid-majors who won their leagues but lost in their conference tournament for example.
Have those four winners enter the bracket at the bottom of the at-larges and then have them play another round against the other “weakest” at-larges to decide the 64 teams. Gotta play Tuesday and Wednesday if you’re gonna advance in through the mini-play-in tourney.
I'm glad everyone understands that I was just reporting the item, not taking a side. I think I'm inclined to @bac2therac 's side. Even 68 is too many. (Heck, I thought 64 was too many!) But, to quote Bob Dylan, "money doesn't talk, it swears." The same forces that have led to expansion of the baseball and NFL playoffs are at work here. Live sports are the only programming that makes money, and so TV wants all the sports it can get.Texas A&M who just snapped a 6 game losing streak would be in the tourney if it expanded at 16-13 with 4 Quad 3 losses. Why do we need to see schools like that. Ditto for Colorado who has one Q1 win. A weak Wake Forest. Heck medicore Pitt and Cuse would be last in/last out material. Ohio State would be close despite a 7-12 Q1/2 mark I do not see the need for NIT top seeds to get in
the incentive to actual schedule tough games would also disappear.
Hopefully the powers that be understand that the casual fan loves it when teams like Western Kentucky upset the Big Boys in the early rounds.the power 6 run the show so this will not happen
This logic doesn't really follow.Considering a 15 seed finally made the Elite 8 (2022 St Peters), which means they had to beat 3 allegedly “superior” teams to get there, adding teams makes sense.
Worse according to math models.This logic doesn't really follow.
Also 15 seeds are worse than any of the teams that would be added.
I mean they aren’t even close to at large levels. There’s little doubt that the 15 seeds would be significant underdogs to the last at-large teams on a neutral court.Worse according to math models.
The implied degree of accuracy of the NET rankings and other models is actually laughable (but I agree they should still exist).
But yes, the teams added would likely be better than the 15 seeds based on the models.
Every year teams with 25 or more wins lose their conference tournaments and some get left out while others don’t.
They won’t abandon those. I think at most they would make all 16 seed games play in amongst autobids and I’d be okay with that. I personally think only those games should be Dayton games. There are several new D1 conferences since the tournament was formed. A couple extra I don’t have a problem with. I really don’t think they would make 15s play in.who says they are abandoning 16 seed playin games...do you think the power 6 wants 16 of their schools playing each other
If they are going to do this I really hope they make it make sense and actually make the bottom seeds play in the first round. Having at larges play into higher spots on the bracket is a bizarre but workable concept when there are only four of them, it becomes even stranger if there are more.They won’t abandon those. I think at most they would make all 16 seed games play in amongst autobids and I’d be okay with that. I personally think only those games should be Dayton games. There are several new D1 conferences since the tournament was formed. A couple extra I don’t have a problem with. I really don’t think they would make 15s play in.
Instead, you’d just have those 2-3 or so 15 loss teams you aren’t happy about being in the conversation possibly make the field playing a play in game against teams that would currently be in the first bye line. Would it really be so bad (hypothetically) if 19-10 Pitt got a crack on the road against 19-10 TCU (I’m picking from Lunardi’s last bye line and next 4 out lines).
If they are going to do this I really hope they make it make sense and actually make the bottom seeds play in the first round. Having at larges play into higher spots on the bracket is a bizarre but workable concept when there are only four of them, it becomes even stranger if there are more.
Ivys get hosed. Yale, Princeton and Cornell all deserve a shot. Two won’t.Why do people keep talking about "mid majors" and a "mandate"?
Is the premise really: we want less talented schools?
If expansion occurred and it was all Major Conference teams - what's the problem? As long as they are next in line, who cares.
Should Rutgers (with a better resume) be jumped by a mid major just because we play in the Big Ten and they don't?
Is this a rhetorical question?Do all conferences play a round robin schedule?
That’s how it should be. Conference tourneys just TV and Money.Do all conferences play a round robin schedule?
Is there any reason they couldn't get of them and just award any AQ bids to the regular season champ of a conference?
Why should winning 4 games in March beat a season long resume of winning against conference peers?
Sorry but you're the expert so you get all questions.
Is this a rhetorical question?
Well..Haha I meant to tag @bac2therac as the postseason expert but deleted it.
I would assume all conferences play a full round robin regular season conference schedule but not certain about it.
Well..
Did we play each Big Ten team an equal number of times this year?
Haha I meant to tag @bac2therac as the postseason expert but deleted it.
I would assume all conferences play a full round robin regular season conference schedule but not certain about it.
Thats how it should happen. Makes the regular season pointless