OT: Cold and Potentially Snowy Pattern Likely for Most of January
- Thread starter RU848789
- Start date
Tango - do you realize that posting operational model maps beyond about 7 days is utterly useless? I wish you wouldn't post these very long range maps in these threads, as they're misleading (although I'd rather see these than the silly chatter from the usual sources). The 12Z GFS and Euro both showed far less snow than earlier today/last night, which is what happens, as the main players for any snow around 1/10-11 are in Asia right now and the range of potential outcomes is huge. And we certainly don't need 3 different versions of that one map for slightly different locations.Continuing to watch for a potential major snowstorm next week
That's why the pros look a the ensemble mean to see if there's an indication of snow coming that far out - below is the 6Z GFS Ensemble mean snowfall total through 360 hours, which includes the 72-hr timeframe you posted above. It shows 3-5" for our area, which is actually quite significant for an ensemble mean, as it includes all the member runs that show little to no snow at all (maybe half), but is obviously way less than the op model (just one run) shows - it just so happens that the 6Z op run was a monster hit, but the odds on the model continuing to show that is small as we saw at 12Z. We are only a day or two away from hopefully having more solid Op model intel on the 1/6 possible event.
Love it..12 day plus snowmaps
Need more carbon in the air. LA has been cold. Buy more EVs!
Hahaha dude is posting what people can and can’t post on message board lol. A mod no less.Tango - do you realize that posting operational model maps beyond about 7 days is utterly useless? I wish you wouldn't post these very long range maps in these threads, as they're misleading (although I'd rather see these than the silly chatter from the usual sources). The 12Z GFS and Euro both showed far less snow than earlier today/last night, which is what happens, as the main players for any snow around 1/10-11 are in Asia right now and the range of potential outcomes is huge. And we certainly don't need 3 different versions of that one map for slightly different locations.
That's why the pros look a the ensemble mean to see if there's an indication of snow coming that far out - below is the 6Z GFS Ensemble mean snowfall total through 360 hours, which includes the 72-hr timeframe you posted above. It shows 3-5" for our area, which is actually quite significant for an ensemble mean, as it includes all the member runs that show little to no snow at all (maybe half), but is obviously way less than the op model (just one run) shows - it just so happens that the 6Z op run was a monster hit, but the odds on the model continuing to show that is small as we saw at 12Z. We are only a day or two away from hopefully having more solid Op model intel on the 1/6 possible event.
Do your thing Tango!
12" to 20" confirmed the weenie maps said it 😂
Thanks Tango! Truly appreciate the post and heads up on this potentially dangerous storm.Continuing to watch for a potential major snowstorm next week
Please keep us updated!
Guess the traders are buying into the forecast
“Models Show The Worst Blizzard I've Ever Seen... Prepare for Sub-Zero Temperatures”
This is maybe the worst weather video ever and another misleading post by a mod. The video focuses on two outlier runs of the Euro from Sunday night and the GFS from this morning, the two snowiest Op runs over the past few days, ignoring previous runs and the runs since. Yes, a monster snowstorm is possible, but this far out it's still a low probability and any met would know that - this guy is simply going for clicks. TWC denounced how social media is way overhyping the coming pattern like this. If we see consistent op runs like this 3-4 days out, then it's time to stock up on bread and milk, but not 10-11 days out, when uncertainty is very high.
So, you agree with Tango. Then why complain? This is important information we need to be aware of.
:)
Time to make a run to the Hillsborough deli!
It’s the ying to the yang “it’s summer. It’s going to be hot” thread.
https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/t...ll-line-and-tornado-watch-to-get-thru.278137/
Is there a betting site with a spread and an over under? Asking for a betting friend.
My weather app predicted 24” of for Monday and Tuesday last night. This morning it’s now 2-3”. Just a bit outside.
I believe they are called Put Options and Call Options.
Do I need to start stocking up on eggs, milk and bread so I don't run out of french toast? @Knight Shift please advise.
Why does everyone give #s such shit. Dude takes the time to post detailed updates on the weather, providing more details than some shitty weather dot com clickbait article, blog or 45 second tv weather update. If he was smart he would have monetized his snow fanboy-ness via a blog or YouTube. At the end of the day I just know that there's always a tinge of pro-snow bias in all the writeups. Either way, this is one of the few OT threads of value on this site.
Great concise weather alert. Look forward to your updates tracking potentially dangerous weather. Thanks!
Trade secret of the Shift house. If you mix milk, bread and eggs in a blender 20 parts milk, 5 parts eggs 1 loaf of bread, spread that on your walkway and driveway, you driveway will repel snow and ice. At it does at our house in Arizona. YMMV. You may not like the smell.
No, another suggestion that cures all problems in the lives of RU football fans--build a fieldhouse over your yard.
Always a good call, any weather, any season. Heard the deli was smokin' hot back in the Global Cooling scare dayz.
No, my kids demanded so much NIL money, there was nothing left for a fieldhouse.
And have FieldhouseAlManfromLaMancha cut the ribbon at the opening ceremony .
It’s not about the weather. I mean no one can get the weather right. It’s just an educated guess.
More about how wrong he’s been over the years, all while claiming to be some sort of expert. Then not having the balls or character to admit it, and instead runs away to more wrong.
He’s an easy mark. But if we are being honest, not so deep down, he loves it. It’s attention he craves.
He’s an easy mark. But if we are being honest, not so deep down, he loves it. It’s attention he craves.
Thanks. The "Mean Girls" clique just can't help themselves. They troll every weather thread of mine (and many other posts/threads of mine), including fake praise for a mod's ridiculously misleading posts, when such posts would be excoriated by them if I posted them. If you find it annoying like many do, say something to Richie or the mods - they used to moderate these threads.
I've debated doing a poll to see how many people value these threads - if I didn't think many did, I wouldn't post them. There is no trolling of my weather threads/posts on TOS or other weather boards or Facebook - only here. As an aside, I generally don't include bac in the above group with regard to weather trolling, fwiw, as he and I argue about the weather and the approaches to weather/model posting, which is always open to debate.
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