OT: Moderate to Significant Snow (and some rain SE of 95) for Sunday, 1/19.

[wheezer]

It was sticking on shovel and auger despite spraying silicone on them so definitely not the fluffy type of snow. Wet snow might be a pain in the morning if the cold temps harden it.

I waited till Morning and the snow blower worked fine
Possibly it was better to let the early snow freeze up, this storm

 

[rutgersguy1]

I waited till Morning and the snow blower worked fine
Possibly it was better to let the early snow freeze up, this storm

Yea normally I like to wait til next morning but was worried about a potential block of ice at end of driveway from the plows. The auger actually clogged last night form it and I had to unclog it.

This morning others were blowing and shoveling and it seemed okay.

 

[WhiteBus]

Early on there was a lot of concern that the storm might go out to sea with only SE of 95 to the coast getting decent snows, which is why Lee's Thursday afternoon forecast was low on areas to the NW. To his credit, he had upped those areas to 4-8" by Friday afternoon and the first NWS forecast map Friday morning had 3-6" for that area, but they also bumped that area up to 6-8" on Friday afternoon.

I don't actually see a problem with trying to give people a heads up that a moderate to significant storm was likely and by Friday night the NWS, Lee and everyone else had the higher snows for the Poconos, Lehigh Valley, NWNJ and the Hudson Valley nailed pretty well. That's just my opinion and you're obviously welcome to yours.

Their bigger miss, IMO, was along and SE of 95 in SEPA/SNJ and up into CNJ/NNJ, where both the NWS Philly and NYC offices had a general 4-6" forecast (warnings for Philly/SNJ and advisories for CNJ/NNJ/NYC, due to the 5" warning criterion S of 276/195 vs. the 6" warning criterion N of 276/195) starting Saturday evening (they had that much Friday morning, but backed off a bit Friday night through Sat afternoon, but upped it back Sat evening) through yesterday. They obviously missed for folks in the 4-6" zone with most of those areas getting 2-4" vs. 4-6". It's a bust but not a "major" bust, IMO as ~3" of snow accumulating on all surfaces making driving a mess, as it was last night is almost as impactful as 5".

My point is when every single model has a difference forecast, than creating a map is useless in the end. 6ABC and CBS3 did a great job explaining why they were waiting to make a snowfall map. Both did it Friday afternoon.
The map I reposted was the complete opposite of a heads up for the far NW with the map from Thursday. Just 1-2in for Lehigh and Monroe Counties. When in fact they got over 7+.
Anyway onto the current issue. The Siberian air mass for the next 3 days. 28 for Thursday is going feel like a heat wave! 😁

 

[RU848789]

My point is when every single model has a difference forecast, than creating a map is useless in the end. 6ABC and CBS3 did a great job explaining why they were waiting to make a snowfall map. Both did it Friday afternoon.
The map I reposted was the complete opposite of a heads up for the far NW with the map from Thursday. Just 1-2in for Lehigh and Monroe Counties. When in fact they got over 7+.
Anyway onto the current issue. The Siberian air mass for the next 3 days. 28 for Thursday is going feel like a heat wave! 😁

That is why the NWS usually waits until 48 hours before the event, which they did here, whereas Lee Goldberg's map was from 60 hours ahead of the event, although he stressed how preliminary it was (as did I), but if people only see a map without context, I understand your point. Also, to be fair the Poconos are out of his primary area.

And yes, it's about to get cold. Lows of 8/5/6F the next 3 morning's for me and near or below 0F in the normally colder NW suburbs. Will be tough disc golfing weather, but not if dressed properly, lol. Bigger issue is losing discs in the snow (some put ribbons on them).

 

[Plum Street]

That was a nice little storm. Hit at a good time and got to watch nfl playoff game in the snow
Glad I shoveled and cleaned the cars last night

 

[iReC89]

You can tell the people who just wanted to play with their snowblowers in 2.5” of snow late at night. Pathetic…Hope I didn’t keep any of you up.

 

[WhiteBus]

That was a nice little storm. Hit at a good time and got to watch nfl playoff game in the snow
Glad I shoveled and cleaned the cars last night

Like seeing football in the snow but not in the playoffs. Slips, falls and most turnovers are random. The weather has a big impact and it doesn't care who it gets.

 

[Plum Street]

Like seeing football in the snow but not in the playoffs. Slips, falls and most turnovers are random. The weather has a big impact and it doesn't care who it gets.

Eagles got bailed out by snow

 

[RU848789]

Like seeing football in the snow but not in the playoffs. Slips, falls and most turnovers are random. The weather has a big impact and it doesn't care who it gets.

I think that's why we're rarely going to see any more Super Bowls in non-covered stadiums to protect from the elements, as 3 of the next 4 are domed/covered and the one that isn't (SF) is in an area that likely has some rain as its worst weather - frankly, I'm surprised they're even using that one as SF gets ~4" of rain on average in Feb. I'm ok with the potentially cold/snowy home fields in the playoffs though, as the better teams should get advantages for being better although I'll agree that cold is much more predictable than snow. Since I have zero NFL rooting interest, though, I love seeing games in snow.