Minor to Moderate Snow Tues Night (2/11)/Weds Morning, especially south of 80 (all snow)

[RU848789]

When do you sleep?

I don't sleep when it's snowing other than a few cat-naps - never have, really. Here's an odd observation though. When I was working, typically 60+ hours/week for 31 years, I generally slept about 5 hours a night and maybe 2-3 hours a night for a few days before the storm and during it and never thought twice about it. Since retirement, I generally sleep 7-8 hours a night and only go with a lot less sleep on snow nights and for a few days before a storm. So, I guess I was perpetually tired and didn't really know it, lol.

 

[RU#1fan]

You sound like Einstein. Only slept 4 hours per night and some catnaps during the day.

 

[RU848789]

Another minor update by the NWS-Philly, where they decreased snowfall a little bit NW of 95 in CNJ/NNJ but did increase snowfall for the NJ coast and a bit inland from the coast in SNJ. Not big changes, but every little bit counts (they didn't change my 2.4" forecast though). Also included a few other local forecasts just as an fyi. News12 is the least bullish, with a 1" line south of 78 (vs. near or north of 80 for the others) maybe because they were way too high on Saturday. Channel 7 hasn't deviated their forecast at all really in 2 days and theirs is pretty close to the NWS (apart from their 3" line being 10-15 miles further SE), while Channel 2 is very close to the NWS. It's radar and nowcasting time. Snow is falling in Philly, Glassboro and Seaside, so it's not that far away and they're getting hammered in DC/Balt and VA/MD/DE/Cape May

Brief recap of last night's snowstorm...

Thought the NWS forecast and most of the models yesterday, apart from the HRRR, did pretty well - not perfect, but pretty well. The estimated snowfall map and the NWS forecast from the 4 am package yesterday for much of the region from Balt through Philly/NYC and up through the Hudson Valley/CT/RI/MA are attached; I like to use the NWS forecast from about 12 hours before the event starts to evaluate their forecast, as that's really when most people are committing to actions if needed.

The NWS forecast was excellent along/SE of 95 and for areas that got <1" and was decent, but a bit overdone for folks between 95 and their 1" line, at least from Philly to NYC. The Channel 2 and Channel 7 forecasts were also pretty good and the News12 forecast was good for south of 276/195 (just like the others), but they missed pretty badly on where the 1" line and 0" line ended up.

For giggles, I included yesterday's 18Z HRRR, NAM, and Euro, as 18Z was the last model suite that came out before the storm started. The Euro/NAM were quite good (and earlier in the day, also, as were most other models), while the HRRR way underdid snowfall amounts (and consistently did so); the NWS was right to ignore it as an outlier (with good rationale, as well explained by Upton), as did most on the weather boards.

 

[RU848789]

pic from this morning - I love snow...

 

[WhiteBus]

Not a big storm unless you were Atlantic or Cape May Counties.
Everything that was on the ground this morning is gone already!

 

[DJ Spanky]

So Tyler measured 8½ inches down in Charlottesville around 9 PM last night with the snow still coming down. By the time he got up this morning it was already melting, so he couldn't get a final measurement.

 

[RUPete]

pic from this morning - I love snow...

I hadn't heard...

 

[RUPete]

Not a big storm unless you were Atlantic or Cape May Counties.
Everything that was on the ground this morning is gone already!

Still on the ground in No. Plfd. and NB areas. Hoping it all gets washed away tomorrow.

 

[JayDogSmooth]

Still on the ground in No. Plfd. and NB areas. Hoping it all gets washed away tomorrow.

Same here down in Monmouth County