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Minor to Moderate Snow Tues Night (2/11)/Weds Morning, especially south of 80 (all snow)

Been snowing here in SE Monmoth for a about 1 3/4 hours. Still not sticking on the street. As Postman said said, wet snow.
The pavement was in the mid-30s to start, but your temps are now down to 31-32F, so it should start sticking soon on pavement, especially with greater intensity.
 
Precip about to shut off for Somerset, Hunterdon, and points north and west.

Easily could see Hunterdon and Somerset come in with under a half inch, very tough to get precip northward in this setup.
 
As of 8 pm, we have 0.1" otg (just about 1/4"/hr rate) at 31F and snowing lightly to moderately - nice dendrites. The radar shows the decent snowfall rates falling off quickly about 10 miles NW of here, so this could be a close call all night unless the radar follows the NAMs and some other models and fills in towards Sussex/Warren counties for awhile.
As of 9 pm we have 0.35" of snow on the ground for exactly 1/4" the last hour, with snow falling between lightly and moderately at 31F. Everything is covered and slippery. We're still not far from the NW edge of the accumulating snow - not sure if folks in Somerset or especially Hunterdon or Morris are getting much. Heavy band just went through Mercer and southern Middlesex, but missed to my SE.
 
Precip about to shut off for Somerset, Hunterdon, and points north and west.

Easily could see Hunterdon and Somerset come in with under a half inch, very tough to get precip northward in this setup.
Not so sure about that. Radar filling in to your SW in Bucks, which "should" make it into Somerset and probably eastern Hunterdon. NWS standing by their forecast, as per below, but they've been wrong before...

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
910 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
910 PM...Snow continues to fall over roughly the southern 60
percent of the forecast area with the heaviest continuing to
fall over portions of Delmarva into southern NJ. Portions of
Sussex County Delaware have already seen over 6 inches. All in
all, no major changes to the forecast with the mid evening
update. The storm total snowfall forecast remains similar with
4-8 inches of total snow expected in areas where the Winter
Storm Warnings remain in effect, and as referenced above with
the frontogenetic band, likely an area of localized maxima above
8 inches over southern interior portions of Delaware possibly
extending into portions of the MD eastern shore Counties.
However extreme southern portions of DE along with the Delware
Beaches zone will likely see some rain and sleet mixing in at
times. Areas within the Winter Weather Advisory across northern
DE, southeast PA, and Central NJ are still expected to receive
2-4 inches of total snowfall. Across northeast PA and into
northern NJ, snowfall totals up to 2 inches are expected
. The
majority of the snowfall will be this evening and early on
tonight.
 
As of 9 pm we have 0.35" of snow on the ground for exactly 1/4" the last hour, with snow falling between lightly and moderately at 31F. Everything is covered and slippery. We're still not far from the NW edge of the accumulating snow - not sure if folks in Somerset or especially Hunterdon or Morris are getting much. Heavy band just went through Mercer and southern Middlesex, but missed to my SE.
As of 10 pm, we have 0.6" of snow for exactly 1/4" this past hour also, with snow continuing to fall between lightly and moderately at 30F. Radar has filed in nicely to the SW and NW, so folks in the rest of CNJ/NNJ NW of about 202/287 ought to at least get an inch or so from this storm. Not sure I'll make it to 2.8", but I think 2" is very attainable, with another 4-5 hours of decent snowfall likely and maybe a bit heavier than so far, as has been forecast from 10 pm to 2 am roughly.
 
As of 10 pm, we have 0.6" of snow for exactly 1/4" this past hour also, with snow continuing to fall between lightly and moderately at 30F. Radar has filed in nicely to the SW and NW, so folks in the rest of CNJ/NNJ NW of about 202/287 ought to at least get an inch or so from this storm. Not sure I'll make it to 2.8", but I think 2" is very attainable, with another 4-5 hours of decent snowfall likely and maybe a bit heavier than so far, as has been forecast from 10 pm to 2 am roughly.
As of 11 pm we have 0.9" of snow for 0.3" last hour. Snowing close to moderately now; still mostly small flakes though, but guessing maybe 11-12:1 ratios (will probably measure this one - the snow/sleet/ZR mess was impossible lol). Radar still looking very good for most of NJ, except Sussex/Warren, which is no surprise, and in NYC/LI.

30F outside and just went for a drive for fun and to get some groceries and all of the untreated side roads are snow covered, while the county roads are slushy to wet, as they've been treated and Route 1 and 287, which get heavily treated and have a lot of traffic, are just wet. This shows the contrast to Saturday, where 287 and 1 were a snowy/sleety mess, completely covered, as that precip was heavier and sleet simply doesn't melt as fast from air temps or salt (low surface area). As I've said many times, an inch of mostly sleet is much more impactful than an inch of snow.
 
As of 11 pm we have 0.9" of snow for 0.3" last hour. Snowing close to moderately now; still mostly small flakes though, but guessing maybe 11-12:1 ratios (will probably measure this one - the snow/sleet/ZR mess was impossible lol). Radar still looking very good for most of NJ, except Sussex/Warren, which is no surprise, and in NYC/LI.

30F outside and just went for a drive for fun and to get some groceries and all of the untreated side roads are snow covered, while the county roads are slushy to wet, as they've been treated and Route 1 and 287, which get heavily treated and have a lot of traffic, are just wet. This shows the contrast to Saturday, where 287 and 1 were a snowy/sleety mess, completely covered, as that precip was heavier and sleet simply doesn't melt as fast from air temps or salt (low surface area). As I've said many times, an inch of mostly sleet is much more impactful than an inch of snow.
As of 12 am, we have 1.2" of snow for 0.3" the last hour and it's still snowing moderately, but we're missing the heavier bands just to our SE by 5-10 miles, so at this point, thinking about 2", assuming 3 more hours of this, unless we finally get a few heavy bands. 2" reported in Hazlet and 2.8" in Howell and oddly 2" in Basking Ridge, which was supposed to get less than here, but you never know where the best banding will set up. 1" in Piscataway and 4" in Toms River.
 
As of 12 am, we have 1.2" of snow for 0.3" the last hour and it's still snowing moderately, but we're missing the heavier bands just to our SE by 5-10 miles, so at this point, thinking about 2", assuming 3 more hours of this, unless we finally get a few heavy bands. 2" reported in Hazlet and 2.8" in Howell and oddly 2" in Basking Ridge, which was supposed to get less than here, but you never know where the best banding will set up. 1" in Piscataway and 4" in Toms River.
As of 1 am, we have 1.5" of snow for another 0.3" the last hour and despite being in what looks like a radar lull, it's still snowing close to moderately (the small flakes might not be showing up great on the radar) and it looks like a healthy blob of snow is aimed at us and entering Somerset County right now. Hoping that batch can put us over 2". Still 30F. Just walked around a bit and threw some snowballs - the snow packs decently as it has some moisture, but it's nowhere near wet or slushy.
 
Well, that lull ended up hurting and that big blob aimed at us kind of disintegrated so we only got 0.15" the past hour, bringing our total up to 1.65" as of 2:00 am; temp is still 30F. Radar, in general, shows the back edge of the decent precip in Bucks/Montco, but it does look aimed at us so maybe we can eke out enough to get to 2", but I'm not counting on it. There's also always the possibility we can pick up another 0.1 or 0.2" after that from some lighter snow showers.
 
3 am here. Have about an 1 inch in Flemington. I'd say it's just about over. I can see the hazy moon with light flurries. Well looks like another bust for snow plowing residential driveways but I'll be out soon clearing the commercial lots. Unfortunately I have to recruit Sweet Pea to help out because I was informed from bac2therac last night that he has the flu and he will not be able to work this morning..
 
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Heaviest snow of the night right now - let's see how long it can hold on...
We did get a good half hour of moderate to heavy snow through about 3:05 am and as of 3:00 am, we're up to 1.9", as we got 1/4" the last hour.. It's been snowing more lightly since about 3:05 am and it's possible we'll eke out another 0.1" to get to 2.0" for the storm. Temp is at 30F still.
 
We did get a good half hour of moderate to heavy snow through about 3:05 am and as of 3:00 am, we're up to 1.9", as we got 1/4" the last hour.. It's been snowing more lightly since about 3:05 am and it's possible we'll eke out another 0.1" to get to 2.0" for the storm. Temp is at 30F still.
Been light snow for the last 15-20 minutes, but the radar would make one think it's just some flurries. I'm thinking we've likely gotten that additional 0.1" to get to 2.0", but will wait until the snow stops before taking a final measurement - should be in the next 15-20 minutes.

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We did get a good half hour of moderate to heavy snow through about 3:05 am and as of 3:00 am, we're up to 1.9", as we got 1/4" the last hour.. It's been snowing more lightly since about 3:05 am and it's possible we'll eke out another 0.1" to get to 2.0" for the storm. Temp is at 30F still.
The last 45 minutes of light snow did give us another 0.1" to bring the final storm total up to 2.0", as it's down to flurries now and there don't look to be any more bands coming. Was a bit less than my 2.8" prediction and the NWS prediction of 2.4" for Metuchen, but that's fine as I got to enjoy a really pretty snowfall; this brings our seasonal total up to 14.8", which is only a couple of inches behind where we should be, on average. I'm also guessing my measurement will be higher than nearby folks who measure in the morning as I normally see 5-10% compaction over 5-6 hours, especially if temps go above 32F or if the sun is out. Time to go shovel, which I love to do in the middle of the night when there's not a soul around.

Edit - 30 minutes to shovel - way easier than the 2 hr shovel for Saturday's storm, which was 1.6" in depth vs. the 2" of depth tonight - that's why it's all about the mass, as tonight's mass was about 1/3 that of Saturday's.
 
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As of the last run at Philadelphia Airport we got 2.6in
Atlantic City got 7.6in and Dover, Delaware got 7.5in. the biggest totals shown in a short list. I'm guessing Cape May will be the NJ winner.
 
Selected reports, which looked likely to be taken near/after the snow stopped

New Jersey
Cape May 7.8"
AC Intl 6.5"
OC 7.0"
Galloway Twp 8.0" (most I've seen)
Mt. Holly 3.0"
Glassboro 3.1"
Blackwood 3.7"
Brick 5.8"
Forked River 5.0"
Hamilton Sq 1.9"
Jamesburg 2.0"
Basking Ridge 2.0"
EWR 1.2"
Aberdeen 4.0"
Wall Two 4.3", where passersby subdued a man screaming about how it shouldn't have snowed since he had prepped his snowblower

Pennsylvania
Philly Intl Airport 2.6"
Norristown 2.7"
Langhoren 1.8"

New York
Central Park 1.4"
LGA 1.2"
JFK 1.5"
 
Selected reports, which looked likely to be taken near/after the snow stopped

New Jersey
Cape May 7.8"
AC Intl 6.5"
OC 7.0"
Galloway Twp 8.0" (most I've seen)
Mt. Holly 3.0"
Glassboro 3.1"
Blackwood 3.7"
Brick 5.8"
Forked River 5.0"
Hamilton Sq 1.9"
Jamesburg 2.0"
Basking Ridge 2.0"
EWR 1.2"
Aberdeen 4.0"
Wall Two 4.3", where passersby subdued a man screaming about how it shouldn't have snowed since he had prepped his snowblower

Pennsylvania
Philly Intl Airport 2.6"
Norristown 2.7"
Langhoren 1.8"

New York
Central Park 1.4"
LGA 1.2"
JFK 1.5"
That's a big difference between Galloway and AC Airport. Part of AC Airport is in Galloway.
 
Only .5 to .75 on my commercials lots in Hillsborough . Maybe I can sneak some residential in before they wake and shoo me away.
 
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We got about 1.5” at best in Hamilton. Shoveled about a hour ago, it was wet and heavy for only that amount. Saw lots of plows and salt trucks on way to work.
 
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Not so sure about that. Radar filling in to your SW in Bucks, which "should" make it into Somerset and probably eastern Hunterdon. NWS standing by their forecast, as per below, but they've been wrong before...

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
910 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
910 PM...Snow continues to fall over roughly the southern 60
percent of the forecast area with the heaviest continuing to
fall over portions of Delmarva into southern NJ. Portions of
Sussex County Delaware have already seen over 6 inches. All in
all, no major changes to the forecast with the mid evening
update. The storm total snowfall forecast remains similar with
4-8 inches of total snow expected in areas where the Winter
Storm Warnings remain in effect, and as referenced above with
the frontogenetic band, likely an area of localized maxima above
8 inches over southern interior portions of Delaware possibly
extending into portions of the MD eastern shore Counties.
However extreme southern portions of DE along with the Delware
Beaches zone will likely see some rain and sleet mixing in at
times. Areas within the Winter Weather Advisory across northern
DE, southeast PA, and Central NJ are still expected to receive
2-4 inches of total snowfall. Across northeast PA and into
northern NJ, snowfall totals up to 2 inches are expected
. The
majority of the snowfall will be this evening and early on
tonight.
precip did fill in enough to get us to 1.5” here, which verified the forecast
 
We got about 1.5” at best in Hamilton. Shoveled about a hour ago, it was wet and heavy for only that amount. Saw lots of plows and salt trucks on way to work.
My street got a plow visit late last night. I was shocked. Of course that just meant I had to dig the garbage cans out as part of this early morning routine. And yeah, heart attack fuel snow.
 
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Had about an inch and a half down this morning, more than I expected.
 
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