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OT: Minor to Moderate Snow Possible on Monday, 1/6 (uncertainty high); also 1-2" Fri, 1/3 Philly to AC and SW of there

This is where it was always nice to have @RU4Real chime in with his aviation expertise...

The general rule of thumb for EWR is that when flight operations shift from VFR to IFR there will be delays.

EWR's operational tempo is such that the airfield is completely maxed out in terms of # of operations / hour under VFR conditions. IFR brings with it a regulatory requirement for increased separation between aircraft on take-off and landing. This reduces the effective number of operations per hour and delays are a mathematical inevitability.

Note that major airlines will cancel fights under these circumstance. The canceled flights are not, themselves, specifically due to weather but are instead due to the aircraft schedule juggling that has to be performed when there are multi-hour delays across the board..

Example: You're scheduled to fly out of EWR to Tampa at 1PM. Your aircraft is scheduled to fly inbound to EWR from Charlotte. It's scheduled to fly out of Tampa following your arrival, headed for Houston. When the delays pile up United will cancel the CLT to EWR and EWR to TPA legs and send the aircraft directly from CLT to TPA. The result is 2 flight cancellations, but they avoid the cascading (i.e. increasing) delays throughout the day, which can impact gate assignments, connecting flights, etc. Lesser of 2 evils.
 
Measured around 1:05 pm, thinking we were done, but 2 minutes later the snow picked up again and is still going decently, so might pick up another 0.1". It truly looks dry behind what we have now.

image.png.8d53fc0b8c36a44c7750118980af6573.png
Before you know it you're going to have 5 inches before this is over!! 🤣
 
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The general rule of thumb for EWR is that when flight operations shift from VFR to IFR there will be delays.

EWR's operational tempo is such that the airfield is completely maxed out in terms of # of operations / hour under VFR conditions. IFR brings with it a regulatory requirement for increased separation between aircraft on take-off and landing. This reduces the effective number of operations per hour and delays are a mathematical inevitability.

Note that major airlines will cancel fights under these circumstance. The canceled flights are not, themselves, specifically due to weather but are instead due to the aircraft schedule juggling that has to be performed when there are multi-hour delays across the board..

Example: You're scheduled to fly out of EWR to Tampa at 1PM. Your aircraft is scheduled to fly inbound to EWR from Charlotte. It's scheduled to fly out of Tampa following your arrival, headed for Houston. When the delays pile up United will cancel the CLT to EWR and EWR to TPA legs and send the aircraft directly from CLT to TPA. The result is 2 flight cancellations, but they avoid the cascading (i.e. increasing) delays throughout the day, which can impact gate assignments, connecting flights, etc. Lesser of 2 evils.
It's alive! Thanks...
 
I don't drink much, as I simply don't like the taste of any alcoholic drinks, but I couldn't live with bread/grains - love them and can't imagine not eating them.
I gave up alcohol completely in 2013. Love bread and grains also but have cut back on them.
 
Snow has stopped up here with about half to three quarters of an inch down.
 
As of about 1:05 pm, we're up to 1.1" and down to very light snow, with not much more on the radar to our west, so this might be it, unless we get a rogue band over the next hour or two. Not too far off my 1.5" prediction yesterday and more than I thought we were going to get around 9 am this morning when we got off to a slow start. Just enough snow for a few kids to sled on, although they left just before I got the latest pic below.

GAwzJvz.jpg
That last little band over us did the trick, moving us up to 1.2" for the storm and the radar truly looks done for us; temp up to 28F. That brings us to 5.8" for the winter, which is close to average for this point of the season. Sounds like they got 1" or so even in NENJ/NYC/LI and even 1/2" or more up towards 84 and the Tappan Zee, which is a total surprise.
 
Hey @Knight Shift / @knightfan7 what did we get during this storm? I remember one time using the front loader to back blade about 3" just to expose the bluestone in my road so the sun could melt it all. I think it was this one and I say "road because once you get beyond a football field in length, I no longer consider it a driveway. Plus, it pops up on google maps as a road, I've actually had people turn onto our property thinking it was.
That map that @RU848789 posted above (if that is snow totals) is BS. I saw 2.3 on the Monmouth/Ocean border near the ocean. No way. We had less than 1" here.
 
Bummer for the SEPA/SNJ folks near Philly, who generallly got 1-5-2.5" which was a lot less than forecast (most were forecast to get 2-4" just north of Philly and 3-6" just south of Philly) and not much more than most of us in CNJ and even NNJ.

 
Bummer for the SEPA/SNJ folks near Philly, who generallly got 1-5-2.5" which was a lot less than forecast (most were forecast to get 2-4" just north of Philly and 3-6" just south of Philly) and not much more than most of us in CNJ and even NNJ.

Bummer?? Lol. More like celebration! Center City of 1.2 is very accurate.
Sussex County, Delaware got buried! Beautiful area.
 
Just got home from work. It was a quick shovel in Hamilton. I'd say about 2"
They got it right near me. I was actually expecting less.
 
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...Cumberland County...
Vineland 2.6 in 1003 AM 01/06 Public

...Hunterdon County...
Whitehouse Station 0.8 in 1227 PM 01/06 Public

...Mercer County...
Trenton Mercer Airport 1.8 in 0100 PM 01/06 ASOS
1 NNE Hamilton Square 1.7 in 0115 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Pennington 1.5 in 1200 PM 01/06 Amateur Radio
Yardville 1.4 in 1231 PM 01/06 Public
Princeton Junction 1.4 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 S Trenton Mercer Airport 1.3 in 1256 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Hopewell 1.0 in 1200 PM 01/06 Amateur Radio
Hamilton Square 1.0 in 1200 PM 01/06 Amateur Radio

...Middlesex County...
North Brunswick Twp 1.0 in 0112 PM 01/06 Public
1 NW Concordia 1.0 in 0120 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Metuchen 1.0 in 0130 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
South River 0.7 in 1200 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 NNE Concordia 0.5 in 1200 PM 01/06 Amateur Radio

...Monmouth County...
Freehold 2.0 in 1155 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
2 WSW Farmingdale 1.8 in 1145 AM 01/06 Public
2 WSW Farmingdale 1.4 in 0130 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 SW Long Branch 0.1 in 0845 AM 01/06 CO-OP Observer

...Morris County...
Green Pond 0.5 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 SW Netcong 0.5 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Ocean County...
3 N Ocean Gate 1.4 in 0102 PM 01/06 Public
Barnegat 1.3 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 S Bayville 1.2 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Brick 1.2 in 0145 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Forked River 1.0 in 1000 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
2 ESE Ramtown 1.0 in 1200 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 WNW Point Pleasant 1.0 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Somerset County...
2 N Bridgewater 1.0 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
2 ENE Montgomery Twp 1.0 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Sussex County...
1 SW High Point 0.5 in 1140 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Warren County...
1 SSW Washington 0.8 in 1230 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Hackettstown 0.7 in 0120 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Stewartsville 0.6 in 1100 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Hackettstown 0.4 in 1225 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Pennsylvania...

...Berks County...
Reading Regional Airport 1.5 in 0100 PM 01/06 ASOS
Earl Twp 1.5 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Spring Twp 1.5 in 0104 PM 01/06 Public
Huffs Church 1.4 in 1115 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 E Birdsboro 1.4 in 1130 AM 01/06 Public
1 NE Sinking Spring 1.0 in 1015 AM 01/06 Public

...Bucks County...
Lower Makefield Twp 2.3 in 0117 PM 01/06 Public
1 NNW Langhorne 1.8 in 1250 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 NNW East Rockhill Twp 1.6 in 1245 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Trumbauersville 1.5 in 1107 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 W Bensalem 1.5 in 1155 AM 01/06 Public
1 SSE Northampton Twp 1.5 in 1200 PM 01/06 NWS Employee
Warminster 1.5 in 1200 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Bensalem 1.5 in 0114 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Fricks 1.0 in 0101 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Langhorne 0.3 in 0900 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Carbon County...
Hudsondale 1.0 in 1225 PM 01/06 Public

...Chester County...
1 NW East Nantmeal Twp 2.5 in 1130 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Jennersville 2.3 in 1245 PM 01/06 Public
West Caln Twp 2.1 in 1243 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Easttown Twp 2.0 in 1045 AM 01/06 Public
Oxford 1.5 in 0922 AM 01/06 Public
Chesterbrook 1.5 in 1020 AM 01/06 Public
2 WNW Upper Uwchlan Twp 1.5 in 1124 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
East Coventry Twp 1.3 in 1130 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
North Coventry Twp 1.3 in 1200 PM 01/06 Public

...Delaware County...
Boothwyn 1.8 in 0105 PM 01/06 Public
Morton 1.4 in 1200 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Swarthmore 1.4 in 0130 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 SSW Chelsea 1.0 in 1220 PM 01/06 Public

...Lehigh County...
1 NW Upper Macungie Twp. 2.0 in 0115 PM 01/06 Public
Lehigh Valley International 1.2 in 0100 PM 01/06 ASOS
Salisbury Twp 1.1 in 0120 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
North Whitehall Twp 0.7 in 1100 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 NNW Schnecksville 0.6 in 1100 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Macungie 0.5 in 1000 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Monroe County...
1 N Mount Pocono 0.7 in 0108 PM 01/06 Cocorahs

...Montgomery County...
1 SSE Trappe 2.1 in 1230 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
North Wales 1.9 in 1230 PM 01/06 Public
Eagleville 1.6 in 1236 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 ESE Hatboro 1.5 in 1205 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
2 NNE Upper Dublin Twp 1.5 in 0100 PM 01/06 Public
1 ENE Plymouth Twp 1.5 in 0113 PM 01/06 Public
1 ENE New Hanover Twp 1.4 in 1145 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Northampton County...
Nazareth 1.2 in 1200 AM 01/06 Public
Hellertown 0.9 in 1240 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Bushkill Twp 0.8 in 1005 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter
Martins Creek 0.8 in 1245 PM 01/06 CO-OP Observer
South Easton 0.3 in 0800 AM 01/06 Trained Spotter

...Philadelphia County...
Philadelphia Intl Airport 1.8 in 0100 PM 01/06 ASOS
1 SSE Center City 1.2 in 0100 PM 01/06 Trained Spotter
1 SSE Center City 1.2 in 0130 PM 01/06 Public
Philadelphia 0.4 in 0900 AM 01/06 C
 
the storm didnt bust for most of north and central jersey...it was never suppose to be more than a one inch type minor event

where it did bust somewhat was Trenton to Philly, the jersey shore and back in eastern and southeast pa who only had half the amounts forecasted

down in south jersey and the coast, it verified and as is usual the case when the heaviest axis is centered there, there will be a sharp cut off to the north

anyone paying attentiion knew this was always a southern slider event and not NJs storm except the very southern areas
 
Gonna be cold and blustery the next few days with temps below freezing for highs and lows in the upper teens and colder N/W and gusty winds with gusts up to 40 mph off and on through Wednesday. And then we wait to see if the storm that develops in the SW US on Weds/Thurs comes up the coast with some to a lot of snow or gives us a glancing blow with a little snow, especially towards the coast or is a complete whiff.
 
Gonna be cold and blustery the next few days with temps below freezing for highs and lows in the upper teens and colder N/W and gusty winds with gusts up to 40 mph off and on through Wednesday. And then we wait to see if the storm that develops in the SW US on Weds/Thurs comes up the coast with some to a lot of snow or gives us a glancing blow with a little snow, especially towards the coast or is a complete whiff.
You and @bac2therac may begin discussing that one.

But in a new thread of course.😎
 
So.. if there are snow-related issues at the RAC we will be able to know who was correct. Place yer bets!

(BTW.. my bet is on you and Rutgers on this one. Rutgers once had a rep of NEVER closing for snow... NEVER.)

Snow on steps leaving APC Garage

INEXCUSABLE and also part of walk not salted
 
Bummer?? Lol. More like celebration! Center City of 1.2 is very accurate.
Sussex County, Delaware got buried! Beautiful area.
Not for everyone. My sister's SO is from Milford, DE, which got 9" and he was so bummed to miss it, as they've been living in Vero Beach the past few winters and doing summers in DE. Great area, but crazy crowded/traffic in the summer.
 
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