So I'm going to tell a story. When I was a very young lawyer, a partner -- perhaps the most tenacious and successful litigator in our big firm -- and I sketched out a legal theory we would use in a case. He then said, "what is the best counterargument our opponents could make?" I hesitated; he thumped the table and said, "Think like an advocate!" In other words, a lawyer must always think about what does *not* support him in addition to what does. (So too, IMHO, must a scientist, an engineer, and so on.)found this on the americanwx board of all places
Confirmation Bias - The Decision Lab
Confirmation bias describes our underlying tendency to notice, focus on, and provide greater credence to evidence that fit our existing beliefs.thedecisionlab.com
Irrelevant sidenote: He later told me he had done the exact same thing with a young woman ( a graduate of Hahvad Law School) who, like me, was new to the firm: "she put her hand to her mouth and I thought, 'I've shattered her1'"
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