From an Athletic article I posted after the first round.
Though last year’s semifinals were close, in the four-team Playoff era (2014-23), the average margin of victory in the first round was 17.9 points. Add national title games, and the margin was 18.6.
The average spread in this year’s first round was 19.3 points. Worse, but not drastically different. The difference in yardage this weekend (121.8 per game) was actually closer than the first round in the last model (125).
And it’s not unique to college football. The average margin of victory in the Wild Card round of last season’s NFL playoffs was 17.3 points. Was anyone grumbling about whether the Philadelphia Eagles deserved to make the field after their 32-9 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The lopsided results don’t lend themselves to easy big-picture takeaways.
If any fans are clamoring for the older system, those days weren’t much better. From 2014-23, there were almost as many blowouts of 20-plus points (22) in CFP/New Year’s Six bowls as there were games decided by single digits (26). The average national title game in the BCS era was decided by two touchdowns.