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OT: last chance for a bit of snow (3/23)? Warm/less snowy pattern likely thru end of Feb

Electric is the way to go if you have a short driveway and sidewalk. One of many problems with the gas ones is the amount of required maintenance and having to deal with the gas gumming up the carburetor.

The last time I checked a few years ago, the electric ones didn't have much in the way of range or capabilities. Has that changed? Are there now any electric battery models?
 
Electric is the way to go if you have a short driveway and sidewalk. One of many problems with the gas ones is the amount of required maintenance and having to deal with the gas gumming up the carburetor.

I winterize (summerize?) with non ethanol gas in my snow blower. Depending on the year, I may use non ethanol to run it and just keep it in full time. It’s much more expensive but lasts several years with no carburetor problems. I do the same for my chain saw, blowers, weed whackers, etc. I also winterize my mowers with non ethanol. It’s well worth it to me.
 
I winterize (summerize?) with non ethanol gas in my snow blower. Depending on the year, I may use non ethanol to run it and just keep it in full time. It’s much more expensive but lasts several years with no carburetor problems. I do the same for my chain saw, blowers, weed whackers, etc. I also winterize my mowers with non ethanol. It’s well worth it to me.
At the end of the season, run your equipment down to empty. Pour in a cup or two of non-ethanol gas (Tru Fuel, or trek to select locations in PA with a jerrycan) and start it up again for a couple minutes. Then put it away for the offseason. No carb issues. And if you do get a clogged carb jet, do that time-honored manly man task and take it apart & clean/rebuild it. Youtube & a couple of screw drivers, and a can of carb cleaner.
 
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Well, it's now looking like the Euro was right on this one, as it's consistently shown an out-to-sea solution (since this past Saturday) and all the models now show that solution and we're just 3 days out, so, barring a Dec 2010 Boxing Day miracle, I think we can stick a fork in this one for major precip for anywhere other than SE NJ. Not good for snow lovers and winter sports enthusiasts, but I'm sure most of you will rejoice, lol.

Anyway, this is actually more about the lack of phasing of the northern and southern jet stream systems than it is about the eventual track - the offshore track is more of an outcome of that lack of phasing. The phasing would've made for a more powerful storm (and negatively tilted trough, pulling the storm up the coast more), although even if that had happened, rain was still more likely than snow for the 95 corridor, due to the lack of cold air in place.

Regardless, not one model shows more than some rain/snow showers (moreso from a weak clipper interacting a bit with the coastal) for the Philly-NYC corridor, even down to the CNJ coast, as the major coastal storm looks like it'll track ENE from the NC coast, such that all of the heavy precip (1-2" of rain out in the ocean) will likely be at least 75+ miles off the NJ coast. Only the GFS shows the 0.5" of precip line even reaching Cape May and coming close to LBI. Also, at this point, even if the track shifted significantly NW, it's very likely that would just mean some moderate to heavy rain for our area, as it'll likely be too warm for snow (partly due to that lack of phasing).

The long range folks are chirping about 2/8, but 10 days away is a little desparate, IMO. Unfortunately, for snow lovers, the general pattern this winter just hasn't been conducive to snow, with lots of progressive flow of warm air from the Pacific and lack of blocking in the North Atlantic - and when we've had chances of snow, the storm tracks have been over us or west of us, which almost always brings snow to rain or just rain. We can still get snow in such patterns, but it's just a lot less likely.

Changed the thread title from "Potential Coastal Storm for Saturday, 2/1 (mostly rain likely at this point)" to the current title...

If I were all-powerful (not that I'm not, just sayin'), I would ban the use of snowblowers. Absolutely hate them, as they're loud and obnoxious and ruin the serene beauty of a freshly fallen snow. Plus, I really enjoy shoveling, although I don't have a really long driveway - if you had to place a bet on what will kill me someday, a shoveling heart attack wouldn't be a bad bet, but at least I'll die happy, lol. As an aside for folks with long driveways, I've never understood why people shovel/blow the entire long driveway, instead of clearning enough for your cars at the bottom and then just clearing a walking path to the house (unless you feel you have to have the cars in the garage).

By the way, looks like the storm late next week (Friday) is looking like rain for the 95 corridor/coast and mix inland, although it's 7-8 days out. And many of the long range folks are punting on any wintry weather through at least mid-February, given the pattern we're in and are likely to mostly remain in, if the 2-3 week out models are correct. That's not to say that there's going to be no snow, but significant snow isn't looking very likely.
 
If I were all-powerful (not that I'm not, just sayin'), I would ban the use of snowblowers. Absolutely hate them, as they're loud and obnoxious and ruin the serene beauty of a freshly fallen snow. Plus, I really enjoy shoveling, although I don't have a really long driveway - if you had to place a bet on what will kill me someday, a shoveling heart attack wouldn't be a bad bet, but at least I'll die happy, lol. As an aside for folks with long driveways, I've never understood why people shovel/blow the entire long driveway, instead of clearning enough for your cars at the bottom and then just clearing a walking path to the house (unless you feel you have to have the cars in the garage).

By the way, looks like the storm late next week (Friday) is looking like rain for the 95 corridor/coast and mix inland, although it's 7-8 days out. And many of the long range folks are punting on any wintry weather through at least mid-February, given the pattern we're in and are likely to mostly remain in, if the 2-3 week out models are correct. That's not to say that there's going to be no snow, but significant snow isn't looking very likely.
Three things.
1. You mentioned heart attack- have you had a CAC?
2. Are you kidding me with the long driveway approach? What about deliveries, etc? You do realize this is NJ, and if someone slips and falls on your driveway what will happen? We clean our driveway completely, and yes, we like having our cars in the garage so that we don't have to scrap frost off the windshield.

3. You gave up on this storm already? I looked at NWS Mt. Holly--what do you think chances of rain in Sandy Hook/Highlands area Saturday between 8 a.m.-noon?
 
Three things.
1. You mentioned heart attack- have you had a CAC?
2. Are you kidding me with the long driveway approach? What about deliveries, etc? You do realize this is NJ, and if someone slips and falls on your driveway what will happen? We clean our driveway completely, and yes, we like having our cars in the garage so that we don't have to scrap frost off the windshield.

3. You gave up on this storm already? I looked at NWS Mt. Holly--what do you think chances of rain in Sandy Hook/Highlands area Saturday between 8 a.m.-noon?

Anyone who thinks that an exercise induced MI is "a good way to go" has never seen anyone have an exercise-induced MI.
 
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Three things.
1. You mentioned heart attack- have you had a CAC?
2. Are you kidding me with the long driveway approach? What about deliveries, etc? You do realize this is NJ, and if someone slips and falls on your driveway what will happen? We clean our driveway completely, and yes, we like having our cars in the garage so that we don't have to scrap frost off the windshield.

3. You gave up on this storm already? I looked at NWS Mt. Holly--what do you think chances of rain in Sandy Hook/Highlands area Saturday between 8 a.m.-noon?

Yep, coronary calcium test and stress test are very recent and good, but you never know.

Deliveries of what? They can walk up the pathway too. Some salt periodically on the pathway should keep it ice-free, unless it's brutally cold. I clean my driveway completely, too, but it's not long - if I had one of those 50+ yard ones, I'd only shovel a path, like a few of my friends do.

Gave up on the storm a few days ago. Thought it could be a major rainmaker with a small shot at snow, but even gave up on the rainmaker a few days ago too. Should be no rain at all between 8 am and noon everywhere in the area. Could be a brief shower in the wee hours tonight and a couple of showers Saturday evening along and SE of 95 and some snow showers mostly N of 78, where a coating to maybe 1/2" is possible, not so is non).
 
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If I were all-powerful (not that I'm not, just sayin'), I would ban the use of snowblowers. Absolutely hate them, as they're loud and obnoxious and ruin the serene beauty of a freshly fallen snow. Plus, I really enjoy shoveling, although I don't have a really long driveway - if you had to place a bet on what will kill me someday, a shoveling heart attack wouldn't be a bad bet, but at least I'll die happy, lol. As an aside for folks with long driveways, I've never understood why people shovel/blow the entire long driveway, instead of clearning enough for your cars at the bottom and then just clearing a walking path to the house (unless you feel you have to have the cars in the garage).

By the way, looks like the storm late next week (Friday) is looking like rain for the 95 corridor/coast and mix inland, although it's 7-8 days out. And many of the long range folks are punting on any wintry weather through at least mid-February, given the pattern we're in and are likely to mostly remain in, if the 2-3 week out models are correct. That's not to say that there's going to be no snow, but significant snow isn't looking very likely.

Really good write-up by DT/WxRisk, which he titled, "Why This Winter Has Sucked for the Eastern US." He goes through the various "teleconnection patterns" that heavily influence our winter weather in this area and shows how the teleconnections which favor mild and less snowy conditions for our area (+EPO/-PNA/+AO/+NAO - these are all fairly well explained in the link) have been in place since early December and look to remain in place for at least the next 2-3 weeks as I mentioned above.

As he readily admits, his winter forecast has already busted, as has the winter forecast for many pros and amateurs who try to do these (I still think pattern forecasts beyond a few weeks are useless). And in places like the weather boards, where most "forecasters" (even the pros) have a bias towards snow, the majority of winter forecasts are more often for snowy than not snow, so in a winter like this, most of these forecasters get it wrong.

Briefly, this teleconnection combination leads to a persistent ridge (high pressure) in the jet stream over Alaska with resulting clockwise flow driving the jet stream down into the western 1/3 of the CONUS, establishing a deep and persistent trough (low pressure) in the jet stream over the western half of the CONUS, bringing in cold air for the western half of the US (the cold air is to the north of the jet stream) and lots of snow, as a result. The jet stream then jogs back up well to the northwest of our area, forming another ridge over the SE CONUS and the clockwise flow around that brings generally warmer than normal SW flow to our area.

Now, every day isn't like this, but most days are, leading to warm and less snowy conditions, overall, for the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS. It can still snow, usually in overrunning events, where a cold front comes through and then moisture runs up and over the cold air from the SW, leading to snow to rain (or just rain) for the big cities and coast with snow to mix well inland and all snow typically only north of 84 or even 90, which is why places like Albany and parts of interior NY/New England have had above average snowfall, as they can be warmer than normal (which is still usually below 32F) and still get snow.

So, it's unlikely we'll see much if any snow through mid-February (with next Friday still having some shot at snow to rain) and it's possible the pattern will persist through the end of the month. However, it's rare for a pattern like this to persist for an entire winter, so March could end up being colder/snowier than normal, as has often been the case in recent years. That's not a forecast, though - we'll just have to see.

Changed the thread title from "OT: Coastal Storm for Saturday, 2/1 (now looks to miss us - out-to-sea)" to current title...

 
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Another much more popular title would be:

“Why this winter has rocked!!!”

Down here it has been 70s over and over and it’s been heavenly! A couple of pesky days in the 50s and the natives look like eskimos!

ive turned on my heat 3 times...all three because of company...otherwise it’s been off since October!
 
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Another much more popular title would be:

“Why this winter has rocked!!!”

Down here it has been 70s over and over and it’s been heavenly! A couple of pesky days in the 50s and the natives look like eskimos!

ive turned on my heat 3 times...all three because of company...otherwise it’s been off since October!

People become pussies when they move south, lol. Was just in Vero Beach where my dad lives and my mom lives, with my sister and her SO (divorced parents who are good friends still) and it was comical seeing them going outside with sweaters or jackets with long pants when it was 80F during the day with a breeze (wind chill!). And bundling up for winter when it was about 65F at night. My son, who loves winter, too, was appalled.
 
People become pussies when they move south, lol. Was just in Vero Beach where my dad lives and my mom lives, with my sister and her SO (divorced parents who are good friends still) and it was comical seeing them going outside with sweaters or jackets with long pants when it was 80F during the day with a breeze (wind chill!). And bundling up for winter when it was about 65F at night. My son, who loves winter, too, was appalled.
I look forward to become one of the said pussies very soon...blood has yet to thin out enough! After a second summer I’m sure it will! No more Aggie games in shorts while everyone around me is covered in blankets! :Wink:
 
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You snow misers will get a chuckle out of this graphic from one of the weather boards from a couple of days ago in relation to the threat being over for this weekend for snow:

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Im hoping for at least one good snowstorm before the end of winter.
 
It is snowing up here right now: so much for Global Warming!
 
No snow here in Philly but this day took a turn for the worst since this morning. Comfortable early. No wind. Than windy. Very light rain and raw. Terrible day
 
No snow here in Philly but this day took a turn for the worst since this morning. Comfortable early. No wind. Than windy. Very light rain and raw. Terrible day
Yeah, things got ugly fast around 2 pm or so.
 
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