OT: Winter Storm Thursday 2/20: Very Likely Somewhere Between A Non-Event and a Minor Event (oof)
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My go to is a Fuente Double Chateau natural wrap but as the fall takes over the Maduro version is more my style but not in front of people as it's a strong aroma unpleasant to many. However, in the backyard, a good Oktoberfest brew, cigar and a taste of great bourbon is my heavenly afternoon.
@RUPete you are 1000% right. I do have excuses but not strong ones 🤣
I won't make the mistake tomorrow!
I posted last week that the NWS thought we might hit 70F this Weds/Thurs and then a couple of days ago I posted that the NWS had changed the forecast as a backdoor cold front was likely to keep temps much cooler than originally projected for Weds-Fri, which now have highs forecast to be in the 50s vs. 60s to near 70F. That's colder than originally forecast for that period. Not sure what you don't get about it. A cold front doesn't mean it gets "cold" just colder than expected or vs. what it was before the cold front - we have cold fronts in the summer that drop temps from the 90s into the 80s, which nobody would say is "cold."
Pretty sure petulant is one of the first words that comes to mind when most posters think of you. Let's recap. On Thursday, I posted the NWS note that it would likely be warm mid-week this week with temps possibly hitting 70F, then on Saturday I posted that the NWS had updated their forecast and now predicted a backdoor cold front with temps in the 50s for mid-week and I also noted that forecast temps through Friday looked like they might not get above 60F; that part was clearly wrong as the NWS was well off on today and tomorrow. I have zero idea what was being said on AmericanWx, which I generally ignore when there's no snow threat. And I also never said it was going to snow on 3/9 (I just said it was a low, non-zero probability, which was correct at the time) - do better.
Take it up with the NWS and meteorologists, in general, as it's their language, not mine. Although if the current administration has its way the NWS/NOAA will be gutted (which has already started), so you may have to take it with someone else.
C'mon. You didn't have to post it was going to get cold when actually it's above average!! Stop making excuses.
Frisbee golf and cycling for me are going to be awesome.
you somehow needed to proclaim it wasnt going to get to 60. no need for that...especially when Mon/Tues forecast had not changed
NWS wasnt wrong..they always had me in the low to mid 60s...and everyone knows that early spring alway overperforms on temps will full sun and please lay off the guys at nws and nitpicking them for being off 3 degrees
I thought you were trolling, but now I'm not sure you actually understand. Temps were forecast to be in the 60s to near 70F for Weds-Fri, but then the forecast changed due to an under-modeled backdoor cold front for Weds-Fri, such that the forecast high temps were lowered down to the 50s. The 50s aren't "cold" but they're certainly a lot colder than 60s to near 70F. And whether you think it's dumb or not, "cold" fronts simply mean that the temps after the front passes through will usually be colder than the temps before they pass through.
Today was a shorts day for my round of disc golf out near Clinton (Tecumseh); tomorrow will be too...
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I don't care about what it might have been. It's a long time before we will be under average. Correct??? It's a stupid point you're bringing up! I understand!! You don't. Your posting nonsense that's not coming true! Stop blaming the NWS for crap because you are reposting their crap.
Time to close this stupid thread
Your reading comprehension is now pegged at zero. I'll let the entire meteorological community know that you don't believe that fronts that come through and lower the temperature should be allowed to be called "cold" fronts, if the temperature after the front comes through isn't "cold" although you'll have to let us know what temp you consider "cold" so that when they come up with a new name for this phenomenon, it'll meet with your approval. And the main point of what I posted - that the backdoor cold front will keep temps on Weds-Fri much cooler than expected - is still the forecast, so it's now very likely to verify as it's so close in time.
Yes, let's...
But you did on February 20th.
And I agree - you should do better. 🙂
Nah.
Just change the title to call it what he wanted all along...a season long thread about the weather, winter in particular.
I'm fine with that.
NJ was balmy today with temps in the 60s everywhere except the immediate coasts near the cold ocean, although I didn't see any 70s posted in NJ, at least on this map. Tomorrow will likely make it into the low 70s in some spots.
It might have to be. At this point the thread title is meaningless, since meteorological winter is over and any snow from here on out is looking pretty unlikely - and if a threat does materialize, I'll make a thread. And with all the snark, I might just stop caring about what other people think and post weather threads the way I want them to be posted, i.e., one general winter weather/pattern/banter thread and individual event threads as needed, which is kind of how it is on TOS and it works well there. Or Tango or RUhasarrivedsohecantellusabouteveryoldbaseballplayerwhodies can start threads weeks in advance and I'll just post in them. I'm less interested in RU sports than I used to be and I'm less interested in this board than I used to be, so whatever.
Which is what I asked and what you wanted all along.
You can do that right now with just a couple of keystrokes.
It used to be - it has much better forum technology now and is quite active with good threads and much less trolling than here.
first 70 of the year for me...there were some 71s and 72s in the warmest spots in NJ
temps will slide back into the 50s the next few days, perhaps the warmer spots can graze 60 on Friday...nam even keeps things in the 40s on Thursday with clouds
weekend will be back in the 60s but with clouds and rain especially Sunday...next week looks like 50s with some 60s mixed in so we stay above normal, maybe not as warm as we would want in the 70s but no cold air and no extended 40s around
weekend will be back in the 60s but with clouds and rain especially Sunday...next week looks like 50s with some 60s mixed in so we stay above normal, maybe not as warm as we would want in the 70s but no cold air and no extended 40s around
I'll take it. Maybe not time to break out the barbecue, unless you're @DJ Spanky who grills in any conditions, but still better than the dead of winter.
yes....we really needed a day like today...we had a cold 3 months...so much more invigorating for the soul....not so much thursday back the chill i think we will stay in 40s but its just one day
Road my bike in shorts for the first time in 2025 today! And @RUPete I got some cigars at Holtz today. My first cigar of 2025. Doesn't make up for yesterday's blunder but today's was extra special.
Today was spectacular. Played a round of disc golf at Greystone in Morris Plains (shot my best round ever there - 2nd straight day of shorts and a t-shirt weather), then my wife and I went for a fantastic outdoor late lunch in Metuchen and did some strolling around the downtown afterwards.
Do you still have some snow in your backyard in lovely Metuchen?
You rang?
Drove back up here from Charlottesville after visiting Tyler: was 78° there when I left around 4PM. Yuck, not ready for that much warmth yet.
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