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Weather for WSU @ RU: Warm w/Light Showers Possible/Likely

So, this afternoon's model runs have come into better agreement on the main front pushing through our area by Friday afternoon/evening, with some potentially heavy rain on Thursday. Behind the front it will be warm (low 80s) and dry with partly sunny skies. Humidity levels should be tolerable - conditions look to be very similar to this past Saturday. Not especially hot, except when you're in the sun all day. And the next low pressure system bringing potential for some rain looks to reach us on Sunday. Since we're still 5 days out and there's possible precip within 18 hours on either side of the tailgates/game, I wouldn't say we're 100% locked up for a dry game, but we're close (enough to take the slight chance of showers out of the thread title).


So much for "I wouldn't say we're 100% locked up for a dry game, but we're close (enough to take the slight chance of showers out of the thread title)."
 
I'm leaving in a few minutes, have 4 red ponchos for my group.
Grill, food, beer, ice already packed.

Tickets and parking pass in my glove compartment.

Rain doesn't matter to me and at big time college football programs their fans show up no matter what the weather brings.

Be loud when RU is on defense.
 
With the threat of lightning around gametime I have to ask, What is Rutgers' policy for lightning? Have they ever cancelled a game due to weather? Who makes that call? Julie Hermann?

LSU cancelled their game due to lightning last week and some think it might cost them a berth in the NCAA playoffs. If this turned out to be Rutgers' year, it would be a shame if one stormy front turned out to be so costly.

http://theadvocate.com/sports/lsu/13378305-123/no-game-so-whats-it
 
So much for "I wouldn't say we're 100% locked up for a dry game, but we're close (enough to take the slight chance of showers out of the thread title)."
Thanks for restoring my faith in you being an immature troll. Aren't there threads for you to rate on some other board somewhere? Good thing I never said we were locked up for a dry game. I don't know how I would have been able to live with the shame and ridicule.
 
With the threat of lightning around gametime I have to ask, What is Rutgers' policy for lightning? Have they ever cancelled a game due to weather? Who makes that call? Julie Hermann?

LSU cancelled their game due to lightning last week and some think it might cost them a berth in the NCAA playoffs. If this turned out to be Rutgers' year, it would be a shame if one stormy front turned out to be so costly.

http://theadvocate.com/sports/lsu/13378305-123/no-game-so-whats-it



Lightning Alert - Rutgers University Athletic Facilities are equipped with the Thor Guard Prediction System. In the event that the system activates, proper evacuation policies and procedures will be implemented.

http://www.scarletknights.com/tickets/policy.html
 
With the threat of lightning around gametime I have to ask, What is Rutgers' policy for lightning? Have they ever cancelled a game due to weather? Who makes that call? Julie Hermann?

LSU cancelled their game due to lightning last week and some think it might cost them a berth in the NCAA playoffs. If this turned out to be Rutgers' year, it would be a shame if one stormy front turned out to be so costly.

http://theadvocate.com/sports/lsu/13378305-123/no-game-so-whats-it

Last delay I recall due to lightning was an Army game (maybe the 2002 one?) - think it was about a 30 minute delay. T-storm chances are still pretty low for today, but not zero (~30%).
 
Lightning Alert - Rutgers University Athletic Facilities are equipped with the Thor Guard Prediction System. In the event that the system activates, proper evacuation policies and procedures will be implemented.

http://www.scarletknights.com/tickets/policy.html

Correct. A little added information.

I used to work at Rutgers Golf Course. During RU Football games (even at night) a manager needs to be at the Golf Course because they alone have the information from Thor Guard live (this is because Thor Guard is a thing the golf course deals with many times a year, as opposed to a rare gameday T-storm). There is a program that runs there that indicates the level of activity within the area and automatically sounds (it is not determined by a person at all) when there is a level of electric activity in the atmosphere that crosses a certain threshold. The siren will go off on its own and the staff will have only a one minute warning from the program that this will happen. Of course, they might be able to tell from radar that it's imminent, but the warning from the siren will be one minute. We can see increased levels that reach a certain number, but sometimes it hovers at 2.9 for quite a long time and never gets to the 3.0 necessary to set it off.

I have no idea what that scale's units are or what it's really measuring, in case anyone is curious. I don't know anything about weather, just the system.

After the horn is blown, everyone needs to evacuate the outdoor facilities (golf course, stadiums, etc.) and the all clear (three blasts in a row) will sound only after there has been a 10 minute period in which electrical activity has dropped to "safe" levels. Not sure what they'd do at the stadium exactly, but at the golf course we go yell at people to come in.

That being said, I'm pretty sure the refs have the ability to delay the game even without the siren if they feel it's unsafe, but I doubt that would happen.

Sometimes Thor Guard goes off when nothing seems to be happening, as the range is 8 miles. So, we'll see what happens.
 
Lightning Alert - Rutgers University Athletic Facilities are equipped with the Thor Guard Prediction System. In the event that the system activates, proper evacuation policies and procedures will be implemented.

http://www.scarletknights.com/tickets/policy.html
Is this new? There was some close lightning towards the end of the Howard game last year and it never went off - Laviano was on the field. At least he will have some experience in these conditions!
 
2 pm arrival of light intermittent showers looking likely from then until gametime - still don't think most people will be bothered much by the rain before 3 pm, which is the end of tailgate time in our world (we start packing up 30 min before the game and head in)...
 
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With a 3:30 start, we can wait out any storms a lot longer than LSU could, since they were playing a night game.
 
Been there for years.
Hmmm... I wouldn't put too much confidence in it.
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Last delay I recall due to lightning was an Army game (maybe the 2002 one?) - think it was about a 30 minute delay. T-storm chances are still pretty low for today, but not zero (~30%).

It was 2002 against Army and the delay was 45 minutes...

http://www.scarletknights.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/091402aaa.html

LIGHTNING DELAY
At 7:30 p.m., with 9:36 remaining in the first quarter and Rutgers leading 10-0, the game was delayed 45 minutes due to lightning. The game was resumed at 8:15 p.m. It is believed to be the first game that has ever been delayed in the history of Rutgers Stadium.
 
Radar trends indicate that the progression of the rain has slowed a bit. Wouldn't expect more than a spritz of rain before 2:30 pm and it might even stay just about dry until 3 pm.
 
Per radar rain is suppose to be over us....good news it also llooks like the heavy blob may miss wide left
NWS radar out of Mt. Holly doesn't show any returns over P-way and it looks like anything that might fall for the next hour would be >10 DBZ stuff, which is basically sprinkles, at worst, i.e., it looks like tailgates will be dry to mostly dry. Mt. Holly also dropped the precip probability to 60% for this afternoon from 80% - still gonna likely be wet for the game, though. Let's hope the t-storms don't make it this far north.
 
Wewe really could luck out looking at the current radar
Luck? C'mon, that was skill. :>)

Seriously, though, radar looks like rain will not start before 4 pm, as one batch is along the shore (been raining here in OC since 2:15 pm) and the other main batch is all along the Delaware River and only into northern NJ in Warren/Sussex. Could always just fill in though, sooner.
 
Luck? C'mon, that was skill. :>)

Seriously, though, radar looks like rain will not start before 4 pm, as one batch is along the shore (been raining here in OC since 2:15 pm) and the other main batch is all along the Delaware River and only into northern NJ in Warren/Sussex. Could always just fill in though, sooner.

Now it looks like no rain until 5 pm - interesting to see those two batches staying to our NW and our SE and most of the I-95 corridor staying rain free north of Wilmington. This is why predicting when and where summertime showers will hit is so difficult - no model showed this solution and no model, even the best short range, mesoscale models are capable of predicting this kind of outcome accurately.
 
Well, looks like the slightly faster low pressure arrival forecasted for the past few days by the NWS in Philly, in particular (vs. the NWS in NYC and many other sources) will verify. That 3-6 hour difference will make the difference between a completely dry game and what looks to be a moderately wet one. Kudos to the NWS in Philly.

Anyway, tailgates should still be mostly dry to dry, with, at most, a very light shower or two before gametime, although it will be getting cloudy by about noon, with temps reaching highs near 80F during the tailgates. However, chances of rain will be on the increase throughout the game and a stray t-shower is possible, especially by the 2nd half. Rainfall amounts should still be on the light side for the game, i.e., 0.1-0.2" and with temps in the mid-70s, it won't feel too bad for most. If rain makes you melt, bring a poncho.

I'd say tailgates were pretty dry and that rainfall will likely still be light for the game, given the dry first half. Does look like a wet 2nd half, but not downpour wet. As I said in a post an hour ago, the unpredictability of summertime showers is why the pros use such uncertain language in their forecasts (because they simply don't "know" in these situations and they do have to cover multiple possible outcomes) and why it's not worth counting one's chickens before they hatch or jumping all over a forecast as "wrong" before it's actually, well, wrong.
 
Thought we'd get rain in the 3Q, but magically, the rain line is right on top of P-way, but hasn't gotten there yet - looks like it'll be there momentarily.
 
Thought we'd get rain in the 3Q, but magically, the rain line is right on top of P-way, but hasn't gotten there yet - looks like it'll be there momentarily.
Wow, took until about 7 minutes left in the game for the rain to finally come. What a horrible effing loss. I'm so frickin' pissed. I hate all of you and blow me if you gave me shit on this thread or ever on any weather thread or any post ever. I'm now going to go cry...and then go to the casino.

:bomb::uzi::football::smiley::chairshot::boxing::boom:
 
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