I think the Providence win by Seton Hall, will be revisited once the season ends, Providence lost their best player, Bryce Hopkins to an ACL tear early in the 2nd half of that game. I think Hopkins might have been considered 1st or 2nd team All Big East, so if Providence gets shaky the rest of the year, that win will look much different by March.
In terms of Michigan and Indiana, strangely enough, both teams seem to recruit at a high level but rarely give any of the recruits out of HS, enough time to develop into players, then they both love taking portal kids.....once the portal kids come in, they block the development of the HS recruits and it takes much longer to get going.
I would assume by mid February both Michigan and Indiana start playing better.