Just in case anyone was considering Loyola Marymount, they lost to Santa Clara.
2/6: BACATOLOGY SMORGASBOARD*****RU now a 6 seed as of 2/8
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
What a day. Just when we were getting confident putting Arizona as a one seed they pull this
Don’t think it’s tough at all. Easy. Arizona just loss. Think Indiana in great shape if they can get past RU!
Off the cuff:
Last 8 In: West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Auburn, Nevada, North Carolina, Oregon, Memphis, Texas A&M
First 8 Out: Wisconsin, Clemson, Mississippi State, Kentucky, New Mexico, USC, Seton Hall, Penn State
This is dinging New Mexico too much I think. Need to dive in deeper which I will on Monday or Tuesday.
Last 8 In: West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Auburn, Nevada, North Carolina, Oregon, Memphis, Texas A&M
First 8 Out: Wisconsin, Clemson, Mississippi State, Kentucky, New Mexico, USC, Seton Hall, Penn State
This is dinging New Mexico too much I think. Need to dive in deeper which I will on Monday or Tuesday.
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Arizona is still a strong 2. Indiana has to duke it out with a bunch of Big 12 schools with great wins
The cuff is sometimes wrong. In this case very wrong. Swap them in my thoughts then, Nevada safely in and Boise State in the Last 8 In section.
But overall Mountain West had a bad week....but really everyone seemed to
Complete scrub time Monday
bac is right, resume-wise it's Nevada
Nevada 3-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 11-0 Q3/4
Boise State 1-3 Q1, 6-1 Q2, 10-2 Q3/4 (one loss in each)
Two fewer Q1 wins, two more bad losses for Boise.
As I suggested a couple of weeks ago , the Big 12 is clearly the best conference and I thought they would get 8. They clearly are getting 8 in but because of the strength of their conference WVu is not in last 8 in and probably a 9 seed bordering on an 8 seed. OKla State’s recent winning streak and now knocking off the top of the conference vaults them to the 10 line or last 4 Byes and not in the First Four.
I have USC in and Oregon out for now but likely they and ASU are fighting for 4th bid out of the PAC 12 and not ruling out 5 teams just yet.
I have New Mexico in and Nevada in as the MWC is very strong this year and their metrics are great.
I think Texas Aand M is on a tremendous roll and will stay out of the First Four .
The Big East is only getting 5 and the Acc likely gets 6 with Clemson and Wake having work to do.
We are arguing the bubble is weak but what we are seeing is tremendous parity. The lower level of the Big 12 has now beaten the top half; the Sec has teams like Vandy beating Tennessee and Florida back to back. Missouri beating Tennessee ; Georgia beating Kentucky ; Nebraska beating Wisconsin and giving teams fits at home. Even teams like Boston College and Ga. Tech give competitive games to the top half of their conference ; as Stanford and Oregon had wins over top teams like Arizona in the PAC 12. There literally is very little separation between the teams 20-100. There are no great teams like we have seen in prior years and there are a lot of inconsistent teams that are good enough to beat anyone on top and then lose to a lower team in their conference.
Arizona lose the one seed? UCLA take place? Texas?
I also am not a school of the week bubble talk. I’d argue it’s stronger than ever with all the parity out there. Can’t ignore last year 8th seed UNC coming within points of winning championship or two years ago UCLA as a play in game winner making the final four. Hard to not note Va Tech and Iowa coming out of nowhere last year to win the ACC and B1G respectively. Last year’s play in game with ND and RU was rated as best NCAA in the last ten years?
Parity doesn’t make bubble week, makes it more fun.
I also am not a school of the week bubble talk. I’d argue it’s stronger than ever with all the parity out there. Can’t ignore last year 8th seed UNC coming within points of winning championship or two years ago UCLA as a play in game winner making the final four. Hard to not note Va Tech and Iowa coming out of nowhere last year to win the ACC and B1G respectively. Last year’s play in game with ND and RU was rated as best NCAA in the last ten years?
Parity doesn’t make bubble week, makes it more fun.
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They have a lot of winnable games coming up. Gotta make them count.
just crunching all the numbers for the update tomorrow.....really the only true locks are from the 1-5 seeds ....yet really zooming in, it looks like realistically 17 schools competing for 7 spots.
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