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BACATOLOGY 2/24: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS

Vandy after beating Ole Miss, Texas A&M on the road , and now Missouri , 3 ranked teams and 2 of them ranked 10 and 14 should move from the 9 seed to an 8 and closer to a 7. They also have beaten Tennessee and Kentucky and Tennessee is likely to be a 1 seed after their win over Alabama yesterday.
They'll be on the 8-9 line. 7 very doubtful with Ole Miss/Miss St on 7 themselves

Non conference sos of 300 plus hurts
 
Does VCU get an at large bid if they don’t win the Atlantic 10 tournament?
Likely....almost mortal lock if they win next 2. If they lose to Dayton in finale and then lose in A10 it becomes hairier.

Not the best of resumes but alot of wins and regular season title means alot from top 10 conference

Also UC San Diego and Drake will also be attractive at large selection if they don't win their conference tournaments
 
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Non conference matters because its 1/3 of body of work. Committee specifically is looking for a win there
I think if you are objectively looking at the games and not the resumes, the OOC is not as relevant for the Power 4 programs....it is for other leagues like the Big East, AAC, Mountain West, etc.....this is 2025 and the new sizes of the conferences have to account for how these rosters are viewed. It's clearly not the same across the board.

There's going to be at least 3 teams at just 2 games over .500 entering the field, if they evaluate the teams and resumes fairly. That's another benchmark of years past that was a rule of sorts.

There has been no comments about the committee for this years evaluation of the field based on how these conferences are playing now. So there's only basing things on how the committee has evaluated things in past years.
 
I think if you are objectively looking at the games and not the resumes, the OOC is not as relevant for the Power 4 programs....it is for other leagues like the Big East, AAC, Mountain West, etc.....this is 2025 and the new sizes of the conferences have to account for how these rosters are viewed. It's clearly not the same across the board.

There's going to be at least 3 teams at just 2 games over .500 entering the field, if they evaluate the teams and resumes fairly. That's another benchmark of years past that was a rule of sorts.

There has been no comments about the committee for this years evaluation of the field based on how these conferences are playing now. So there's only basing things on how the committee has evaluated things in past years.
I highly doubt any school just 2 games above .500 will make the tourney. Its hasn't happened since 2001

17-15 Baylor or Ohio State do not have overwhelming wins to support that selection.

Non conference still matters. Body of work is still emphasized. That's why Oklahoma can go currently be 4-12 in conference and their 13-0 non conference with 3 big time wins is still putting them in the tourney at the moment
 
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That's one tough 6 seed. Based on metrics they are one of those teams that could make a deep run.
Yep especially since all the 11 type seeds like Nebraska, Georgia, Arkansas have all been less than impressive

What I wouldn't want to see though is if the committee boosts Uc San Diego and Drake to 11s and match them up with a St Marys or even a Memphis who has a shot at 6. Don't like midmajors having to play each other
 
Likely....almost mortal lock if they win next 2. If they lose to Dayton in finale and then lose in A10 it becomes hairier.

Not the best of resumes but alot of wins and regular season title means alot from top 10 conference

Also UC San Diego and Drake will also be attractive at large selection if they don't win their conference tournaments
Think all 3 , VCU , Drake and UC San Diego are locks now. Drake is done with regular season and VCU and UC San Diego are demolishing teams now. They will be taken over a 13 or 14 SEC or 10 - 11 Big 10 in my opinion.
 
Michigan State very solid 2....and outside but a bit unlikely shot at 1.

Wisconsin probably a 3 now..we shall see

Michigan straddling the 3-4 line right now
 
Think all 3 , VCU , Drake and UC San Diego are locks now. Drake is done with regular season and VCU and UC San Diego are demolishing teams now. They will be taken over a 13 or 14 SEC or 10 - 11 Big 10 in my opinion.

Drake at home is trailing Q4 Missouri State....this would likely severely damage at large hopes
 
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