BACATOLOGY 2/24: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS

[hinson32]

Is this illinois win part of their Big Ten record that doesn't count ?

Not sure what your point is. The win over Iowa would matter the same no matter what conference the Hawkeyes are in.

 

[PSAL_Hoops]

Not sure what your point is. The win over Iowa would matter the same no matter what conference the Hawkeyes are in.

Pretty sure it was a joke…

 

[bac2therac]

Is this illinois win part of their Big Ten record that doesn't count ?

Conference record doesn't matter for the committee. What is so hard for you to understand. There will be 7-11 and possibly 6-12 schools from SEC going.

 

[bac2therac]

Pretty sure it was a joke…

Ru66 doesn't joke. He just attempts weak insults

 

[PSAL_Hoops]

Their non conference sos is in the 200s. Overall their sos is 19 and no loss outside Q1. Grand Canyon was a risky game for them though

They beat 4 of their 8 Q4s by more than 35 although they had 2 close games in Q4

There is such a thing as smart risk vs. dumb risk.

Booking a neutral game against a good mid-major that has to travel across the country to play you in a high exposure venue located in your own back yard = “SMART”

Agreeing to play a true road game at a mid-major)? Giving up a home conference game to play at a high exposure venue where the opponent will draw way more fans than they would on your home floor? Scheduling a one off “true” neutral game against a mid-major (defined as either playing a local team somewhere nearby in the tri-state area OR playing any mid-major at a random far away venue like Canada)? = “IDIOTIC”

I don’t care what circumstances surround these games -they are high risk, zero to low reward - should never be scheduled. I have no problem with scheduling Miss St or any other non-local team that wants to come play a neutral game against us at the Pru Center.

 

[bac2therac]

There is such a thing as smart risk vs. dumb risk.

Booking a neutral game against a good mid-major that has to travel across the country to play you in a high exposure venue located in your own back yard = “SMART”

Agreeing to play a true road game at a mid-major)? Giving up a home conference game to play at a high exposure venue where the opponent will draw way more fans than they would on your home floor? Scheduling a one off “true” neutral game against a mid-major (defined as either playing a local team somewhere nearby in the tri-state area OR playing any mid-major at a random far away venue like Canada)? = “IDIOTIC”

I don’t care what circumstances surround these games -they are high risk, zero to low reward - should never be scheduled. I have no problem with scheduling Miss St or any other non-local team that wants to come play a neutral game against us at the Pru Center.

True..idiotic to play Princeton at Pru

Zero upside

Trips to Mohegan Sun, Kennesaw and Canada for games show how out of touch Pike has been with scheduling

 

[Scarlet Blind]

As it stands now til the end of the season...

Auburn Q1 14-2, 4 left, 20 Q1s
Kentucky Q1 8-8, 3 left, 19 Q1s
Alabama Q1 10-5, 3 left, 18 Q1s
Illinois Q1 6-10, 2 left, 18 Q1s
Purdue Q1 7-8, 2 left, 17 Q1s
Oklahoma Q1 5-8, 4 left, 17 Q1s
Rutgers Q1 4-11, 2 left, 17 Q1s

16 Q1s-- Tenn(9-5, 2), Arizona(7-7, 2), Missouri(6-7, 3), Ole Miss(5-8, 3), UCLA(7-7, 2), Miss St(7-8, 1), Baylor(5-10, 1), Ohio St(5-9, 2), S. Carolina(1-14, 1)

 

[bac2therac]

so from late last night.....

Gonzaga wins at Santa Clara. NET now a ridiculous 8 and even though the resume doesnt back it up. I think this win is enough for them given that the next game at San Fran is a Q1 game They actually stayed at 2-6 Q1 because Baylor dropped to 31 but stil they are now 7-8 in Q1/2 and 11-8 in Q1/2/3 and a loss to San Fran in Q1 wont knock them out. Seeding could be a mess though, not sure how the committee deals with their net of 8 vs SOR of 47. For now I like them as a 9

Meanwhile Santa Clara looks finished now. Just 2-5 in Q1, 6-8 in Q2 and with 3 losses in Q3 to put them at 11-11 its not going to happen. Pacific is next and will not help at all. Wins over Gonzaga, Mc Neese, San Fran and TCU are not enough

San Diego State knocks off Mountain West leader New Mexico to get an important Q2 win. Aztecs are still not a lock but look above the bubble fray right now. Remember they have wins over projected one seed Houston and Creighton in Vegas. Sweep over Boise and a win over UC San Diego. Now 4-5 in Q1, 8-6 in Q1/2...the bad loss to UNLV in Q3 likely will not factor in. Just need to make sure they take care of business down the stretch vs lesser

New Mexico now in tie with Utah State atop MWC standings but did sweep them so still the projected AQ. Do not think the Lobos have to worry yet. 4-3 in Q1 with wins over UCLA, VCU, Utah State, Col St..a fine 7-1 in Q2 with a win over Utah State, Boise State, San Diego State. Holding them back are those 2 Q3 losses to New Mexico State and San Jose State. As long as they dont blow it in last 3...meaning dont lose to Q4 Air Force or Q3 UNLV at home, they should be alright.