BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS UPDATE FOR 3/6 PAGE 23
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
Big whew with Murray State hanging on.....
Also Peter Kiss' Bryant squad won with .8 seconds to go and now will play in the NEC Finals at home vs a very good Wagner squad.
Wanna see Peter make the dance.......
Also Peter Kiss' Bryant squad won with .8 seconds to go and now will play in the NEC Finals at home vs a very good Wagner squad.
Wanna see Peter make the dance.......
Just gotta keep winning......this team /this season is giving me so much agita yet so much fun ! I'm going to be a basket case until selection sunday !
USF looks like a tourney team.
BYU does not look like a tourney team
Alot of numbers crunching a surprise school makes the field in tomorrow's update!
BYU does not look like a tourney team
Alot of numbers crunching a surprise school makes the field in tomorrow's update!
Still more hoops to come...Portland vs Santa Clara. Might have to tune out at halftime....early day tomorrow!
San Diego St is in but Nevada has cut to the lead to just 4 and headed to the line with just 1:57 left.
The studio guy after the BYU game randomly brought up how your wins should mean more than your losses and how crazy it would be for Rutgers to be a 12 seed.
Nice to get some respect
Nice to get some respect
Wow 3 of last 4 in are B1G... some enormously important games tomorrow and in the B1G with these teams potentially playing each other.
He called us one of the most dangerous teams in the tournament.
Lunardi should be following the principles..Drake as the AQ in the Missouri Valley not Loyola. Loyola should be considered an at large entering the championship game
I heard that too. Anyone know who that announcer is? Was that Fran Fraschilla?
Because all the bubbles lost and he moved Loyola to the field which opened one spot
Today's bubble rooting guide:
Beat Penn State
Beat Penn State
Also Lunardi is usually great in who makes/misses the dance, but his seedings are usually off
The system you described with the mock zooms seems like it would bring this to light pretty clearly in the committee room. Think about it.
It’s going to be apparent when they get to the 7th seeding line and so on - Boise has no wins on the board slotted above in the 1-6 seeds. Michigan State has been playing like crap - but no reasonable committee member, for example, could look at the 2 resumes side by side and pick Boise’s. A glance up at that board will make that crystal clear with Michigan State’s wins @ Wisconsin, Purdue and UConn (neutral) up there next to nothing for Boise. Then they will look at the loss totals and realize that Michigan State played teams like Baylor and Kansas (up at the top of the board) in addition to a BIG schedule.
A low ranked team that can beat 4 straight top 25 teams & a #1 seed, but can also lose to the lowest ranked team is a true wildcard & just the Cinderella team everyone wants to see.
Rutgers is the
Bottom line: We can't afford to lose to PSU today. We control our own destiny . Earn the bid!
Its not a blind look. Almost always the non power 6 are judged differently. There is nothing explicitly said but its not fair to lower conferences. The MW is closer to a major than the lower conference but their seeding will be justfied by their overall net which is around 30
People are hyperfocused on seeding......once you get to the end of the 7 seed area, through high 11 seeds, toss a blanket over all of those teams.....the seedings will be about creating the most intriguing for TV 1st and 2nd round potential matchups.
For TV purposes, North Carolina is assuredly going to be a 8/9 seed, to anticipate a matchup against whichever 1 seed and location makes the most sense (if they win the 8/9 matchup.
For TV purposes, North Carolina is assuredly going to be a 8/9 seed, to anticipate a matchup against whichever 1 seed and location makes the most sense (if they win the 8/9 matchup.
the NET is down to 76...Rutgers is now not a quad 1 officially for anyone on the road and has slipped to Q3 loss for team at home
That’s like when a free agent is signing somewhere and they say it has nothing to do with the money
Hilariously dumb
it wont because the committee is smart enough to recognize what are quality wins and beating RU is better than beating Towson
Seems like our seed is improving in a lot of bracket updates this morning.
Beat Penn State
Beat Penn State
The NET is a fraud, version #2077....
Santa Clara beats #168 Portland by 24 after Portland played a game in the WCC tournament already....they jump from 74 to 66 in NET....
Portland drops from 168 to 178....
I'm not a math guy, but yes Oregon dropped from 67 to 74 in NET after losing by 20 at Washington State.
The NET is just going to randomly decide how high or low they'll decide to drop or raise a teams ranking.
Santa Clara beats #168 Portland by 24 after Portland played a game in the WCC tournament already....they jump from 74 to 66 in NET....
Portland drops from 168 to 178....
I'm not a math guy, but yes Oregon dropped from 67 to 74 in NET after losing by 20 at Washington State.
The NET is just going to randomly decide how high or low they'll decide to drop or raise a teams ranking.
3/6 update
8 SEEDS
10 SEEDS
12 SEEDS
FINAL BYES
LAST FOUR IN
FIRST FOUR OUT
NEXT FOUR OUT
ON THE FRINGES
So pretty big changes. UNC got the big win over Duke to not only lock them in but move them all the way to a 9 seed. San Fran did what they needed to do taking care of BYU and for now move all the way up to 9. BYU out for now and now must wait to see if they can back in. A Loyola win today will move them into the field as a AQ and open another spot for a bubble team. Even as I had railed on Loyola yesterday for now I have them in as an at large with Drake the higher seed getting the AQ from the Missouri Valley. Loyola simply moved up because the rest of the bubble collapsed around them and SMU/Memphis didnt play and I am not ready to move either in yet. Memphis will move in with a win today over Houston. Indiana continues to hang on by a thread but its not a good place to be, I will tell you that. Rutgers moves up to a 11 seed for now. Must win vs Penn State or they are going to fall right to the cut line with Indiana. Michigan will fall out of the field with a loss today but will hardly lock in even with a win. Full scrub tomorrow.
8 SEEDS
- BOISE STATE*
- SETON HALL
- USC
- SAN DIEGO STATE
- IOWA STATE
- NORTH CAROLINA
- TCU
- SAN FRANCISCO
10 SEEDS
- DAVIDSON*
- NOTRE DAME
- CREIGHTON
- MIAMI
- RUTGERS
- XAVIER
- WAKE FOREST
- WYOMING/MICHIGAN
12 SEEDS
- LOYOLA/INDIANA
- NORTH TEXAS*
- SOUTH DAKOTA STATE*
- TOLEDO*
FINAL BYES
- WAKE FOREST
- XAVIER
- RUTGERS
- MIAMI
LAST FOUR IN
- INDIANA
- LOYOLA
- MICHIGAN
- WYOMING
FIRST FOUR OUT
- BYU
- SMU
- MEMPHIS
- VIRGINA COMMONWEALTH
NEXT FOUR OUT
- OKLAHOMA
- FLORIDA
- DAYTON
- VIRGINIA
ON THE FRINGES
- TEXAS A&M
- VIRGINIA TECH
- SAINT BONAVENTURE
- COLORADO
So pretty big changes. UNC got the big win over Duke to not only lock them in but move them all the way to a 9 seed. San Fran did what they needed to do taking care of BYU and for now move all the way up to 9. BYU out for now and now must wait to see if they can back in. A Loyola win today will move them into the field as a AQ and open another spot for a bubble team. Even as I had railed on Loyola yesterday for now I have them in as an at large with Drake the higher seed getting the AQ from the Missouri Valley. Loyola simply moved up because the rest of the bubble collapsed around them and SMU/Memphis didnt play and I am not ready to move either in yet. Memphis will move in with a win today over Houston. Indiana continues to hang on by a thread but its not a good place to be, I will tell you that. Rutgers moves up to a 11 seed for now. Must win vs Penn State or they are going to fall right to the cut line with Indiana. Michigan will fall out of the field with a loss today but will hardly lock in even with a win. Full scrub tomorrow.
Is today win and in? Or is 19 still the magic #?
Nobody could really say win and in at tip off no matter how bullish they are. Technically a landmine match up with Nebraska could not be ruled out unless yet. That would not be a loss we would be able to absorb.
nothing is ever safe because we are not the committee, a win today should be enough especially if we end up the 4 seed with the double bye. RU would do itself well to beat NW/Minny though, you dont want to give the committee a reason to snub you. I would say 75/25 we are in with a win today.
