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KenPom Only Has Us Favored in 3 of Our Remaining 18 Big Ten Games

With a projected big ten record of 7-13.

With our NET, Kenpom projections and eye test, the staff has their hands full and has gotta figure out alot of things fast.

I know some here are all hype after yesterday but we have to recognize SHU is abysmal. They were 197 in NET coming into yesterday and one of the worst offensive teams in America.

Finishing 7-13 in big ten play and below .500 on the season overall (KenPom projects 15-16) with this roster would be a failure of biblical proportions.

What must the coaching staff do to turn this around?
Have there ever been any teams with two lottery picks that had a losing season? Or would Rutgers be the first?
 
Gotta take who OP is into effect, he always shows up to be negative.

That being said, we have not taken care of business through 11 games.

If you were to add about 5 points to every win we had this season and turn KSU to a win, we are a top 40 kenpom team.

Unfortunately that's not the case, but just trying to point out how quickly the math can change with stuff like this.
If your aunt had balls she’d be your uncle as well
 
This is where you get called out for your convenient look at the losses and ignore the good performances. Ohio State had been playing well. They then lost Bradshaw their impact transfer center. They were beating a really good PITT team by 12 with 4 minutes left and blew it and got beat on a buzzer beater at home 91-90.
They then went on the road and Williard coached and Maryland played probably the best half of the year offensively and defensively and would not let them get into their offense and they got demolished in a true road game.
They then played Rutgers who put up their worst performance of the year. Despite that it is a 63-56 game with 7 minutes left and they miss a shot and commit 3 turnovers. Instead of capatalizing we continue our miserable game and commit turnovers on the next 4 possessions. So instead of making it a 1 possession game , with 5 minutes left , they went on a 10-0 run and won going away. But it wasn’t us getting our doors blown off like you said.
Then they go to Atlanta and a neutral site and got buried by probably the best team in the country in Auburn.
So that is the accurate portrayal of what happened to Ohio State. We lost on the road in our first conference game and they got buried on the road and at a neutral site by a good Maryland team and maybe a great Auburn team # 2 in the country.
Now Ohio State is not that good but we were putrid that day. Every game is different.
Funny you didn’t mention the toe to toe with a top 10 Alabama and a 20th ranked Texas A&M where we had a 9 point second half lead and the lead with 3 minutes to go. And you didn’t mention Penn State either , another very good team. We did just fine , won 1 of the 3 but should have won all 3.

So if you are going to shit on the team for their bad performances try to balance it with the really good performances.
Our team needs some consistency from everyone else not named Dylan and ACE. We get that and more Penn State first halves occur.
Our bad has far outweighed our good imo. I dont think im being unfair here
 
Have there ever been any teams with two lottery picks that had a losing season? Or would Rutgers be the first?
Not sure but indiana with romeo langford lost like 12 of 13 big ten games and didnt make the tourney and he was the 14th overall pick. But yeah, I doubt a team with two top 10 picks has finished below .500
 
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We have a choice. Do they miss FTs down the stretch if they plyed less?

Pike saved his TO to use as rest. We sont want to have Dylan and Ace playing 20 minutes every 2nd half.
Yes we have a choice, but I’d rather be 7-4 right now. Unfortunately, it might take a toll later. I’d take my chances. We are a mess without Dylan on the court.

Yesterday, I watched Haggerty play 44 minutes in a Memphis OT win at Clemson and the Lithuanian stud for Illinois go 37 minutes in a loss to Tennessee. Harper is 75th and Bailey 92nd in minutes played which is high, but until some other players step up, I’m fine with it.
 
Yes we have a choice, but I’d rather be 7-4 right now. Unfortunately, it might take a toll later. I’d take my chances. We are a mess without Dylan on the court.

Yesterday, I watched Haggerty play 44 minutes in a Memphis OT win at Clemson and the Lithuanian stud for Illinois go 37 minutes in a loss to Tennessee. Harper is 75th and Bailey 92nd in minutes played which is high, but until some other players step up, I’m fine with it.
Agreed. Team is nothing without those two. 18 years old, fresh legs, only playing 2 times, sometimes 3X a week max. Theyre fine. Jalen Brunson plays 34 minutes a night in an 82 game league.
 
This is kind of a low iq take tbh. Within a possession of beating two top 20 teams. Ohio state was a bad loss imo. Far outweighed is kinda a dumb comment to be fair.
You are certainly entitled to your opinion. But no sane person thinks after these 11 games that we look like a tourney team. No analyst or analytics site believes so either.

So yeah, if youre not a tourney team with two top 10 picks, I think it’s fair to say the bad outweighs the good
 
Have there ever been any teams with two lottery picks that had a losing season? Or would Rutgers be the first?
Not a given yet both are lottery. Not a NBa scout, but Dylan looking pretty good right now

Not sure where Aces stock is at. Him getting stuffed by SHU was an eye opener. His lack of dunks and blocks is an eye opener if you thought we was long and athletic. He is defintrly long
 
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If we make the tourney it will be by the skin of our teeth. The best thing that can come from this season is more and more high level recruits are inspired to come to RU based on Dylan/Ace and our home court environment...
 
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You are certainly entitled to your opinion. But no sane person thinks after these 11 games that we look like a tourney team. No analyst or analytics site believes so either.

So yeah, if youre not a tourney team with two top 10 picks, I think it’s fair to say the bad outweighs the good
I mean we went to the wire with two definite tourney teams. Beat a probable tourney team. Two 18 year old kids learning the game. 11 games in. Seems like a low iq take. I don’t think you’re dumb btw. But you’re a Smurf and you’re judgement is clouded by the blu blood pumping through your veins.
 
Our bad has far outweighed our good imo. I dont think im being unfair here
We have 2 NBA top picks so on any night we likely have the best 2 players on the court . They seem to play better , as the competition is ramped up ,although they have some stamina issues going from a 32 minute high school or AAU game not needing much effort to a 40 minute intense college game. Pike has to get them 2-3 minute breaks in each half and preferably 2 breaks in first half.
The supporting cast has to get more consistency . Jeremiah was becoming the third scorer in Vegas scoring 10 , 10 and fouling out with 10 minutes and 20 points. Then he struggles since . He is capable of 8 -10 points a game. Cannot have 2 point games. Jordan does some good things but then he tries to do too much. Ogbole and Lathan frankly should see the ball more to get more inside outside action to get PJ and Acuff more looks. We have to team rebound and hit the offensive glass better. We obviously have to play better defense but with this crew we can only get a little better there . The key is getting the offense better like the Alabama and Penn State first half.
 
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No I’ve never heard that. I’ve heard “past performance is no guarantee of future performance” but guarantee is very different from indicator.
Who said guarrantee,? In any event close enough, go shead and bet your house on kenpom.
 
Not a given yet both are lottery. Not a NBa scout, but Dylan looking pretty good right now

Not sure where Aces stock is at. Him getting stuffed by SHU was an eye opener. His lack of dunks and blocks is an eye opener if you thought we was long and athletic. He is defintrly long
I mean Dylan wasn’t even the Pg of his own high school team. Clearly not ready to be a lottery pick.
 
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If we make the tourney it will be by the skin of our teeth. The best thing that can come from this season is more and more high level recruits are inspired to come to RU based on Dylan/Ace and our home court environment...
And if that happens I predict that those who are claiming right now that we have no shot at making the tournament will move the goal posts and bitch about being a bubble team or play in game… oh and the same folks will still shit on Pike (see the football board this season after the four game slide and then making a bowl game)
 
Pike is terrible with talent evaluation and takes forever to find the right combinations
Every year it happens. I love him but he has an overly simplistic and possibly archaic view of the game.
JMike has scored 4 points and has 4 assists over his last 7 games.
I know he is a willing and athletic defender but we cannot play 4 on 5 offensively in the modern game .
We also cannot have 3 guys on the court with Ace and Dylan that absolutely do not have to be guarded on the perimeter.
When Emanuel , Jmike and Jwill are on the court together, you can literally allow them to shoot all night and help on Dylan and Ace
Essentially playing a triangle and 2
This team will never be great defensively, we need to score 80 a game to have a chance
 
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I can’t remember another Pike season when, in our first 9 games, we played 4 at home, 2 on the road, and 3 at a neutral site.

Since then we’ve played 2 home games and won them both.

I’m cautiously optimistic that those 5 games away from the RAC have prepared us to steal a couple of road wins in the B1G.
 
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With a projected big ten record of 7-13.

With our NET, Kenpom projections and eye test, the staff has their hands full and has gotta figure out alot of things fast.

I know some here are all hype after yesterday but we have to recognize SHU is abysmal. They were 197 in NET coming into yesterday and one of the worst offensive teams in America.

Finishing 7-13 in big ten play and below .500 on the season overall (KenPom projects 15-16) with this roster would be a failure of biblical proportions.

What must the coaching staff do to turn this around?
Thankfully Ken Pom doesn’t play for RU.
 
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I can’t remember another Pike season when, in our first 9 games, we played 4 at home, 2 on the road, and 3 at a neutral site.

Since then we’ve played 2 home games and won them both.

I’m cautiously optimistic that those 5 games away from the RAC have prepared us to steal a couple of road wins in the B1G.
I thought the same thing until we laid a big egg at Ohio State.
 
The roster is the problem.

We need:
- Dylan to keep playing like one of the best players if not the best player in the country
- Ace to develop in the 2nd half of the season
- Jeremiah Williams to get it together
- improvement on defense
I got a feeling this team will play much better from mid
big ten season on
The issue is making the tourney, if we lose on the road as they get slowly better, the overall record keeps us out

It might require a deep run in the big ten tourney
 
Not all wins/losses are created equal. Getting into rock fights vs awful teams and getting your doors blown off vs a pretty bad OSU team, whos game before us and after us they trailed by 40+ at times is concerning, no?
i am more concerned with the effort in the osu game than the seton hall game... i have seen a million rivalry games across all sports where record and the odds dont matter
 
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Ace and Dylan are both playing too many minutes. They have never had to play both ends of the floor like this in their lives. Both had injuries earlier in the season that may contribute to them not being top shape.
i have watched enough of this team already this year with neither of them on the court that it simply is not an option to not have at least one of them on the court at all times save for a blowout or a single possession or two before a media timeout

theres no shot creators out there and it looks pretty much like last years offense without at least one of them out there
 
i have watched enough of this team already this year with neither of them on the court that it simply is not an option to not have at least one of them on the court at all times save for a blowout or a single possession or two before a media timeout

theres no shot creators out there and it looks pretty much like last years offense without at least one of them out there
no you havent...that's impossible...except for the 1st 2 games it has been a grand total of 2 minutes
 
Not a given yet both are lottery. Not a NBa scout, but Dylan looking pretty good right now

Not sure where Aces stock is at. Him getting stuffed by SHU was an eye opener. His lack of dunks and blocks is an eye opener if you thought we was long and athletic. He is defintrly long

agreed on Ace...well I still think he ends up being a high lottery pick just based on potential/youth but I would've thought he would've been a one man phi slamma jamma this season but so far he definitely likes to use his length to just rise up and shoot over people.
 
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I got a feeling this team will play much better from mid
big ten season on
The issue is making the tourney, if we lose on the road as they get slowly better, the overall record keeps us out

It might require a deep run in the big ten tourney
We've seen that the committee has the field almost set before conference tournaments and don't put much stock in them. So we'd better take care of business before then or it's going to be get get very uncomfortable. Just once, wouldn't it be nice to not be sweating on Selection Sunday?
 
With a projected big ten record of 7-13.

With our NET, Kenpom projections and eye test, the staff has their hands full and has gotta figure out alot of things fast.

I know some here are all hype after yesterday but we have to recognize SHU is abysmal. They were 197 in NET coming into yesterday and one of the worst offensive teams in America.

Finishing 7-13 in big ten play and below .500 on the season overall (KenPom projects 15-16) with this roster would be a failure of biblical proportions.

What must the coaching staff do to turn this around?
Let’s chat after we play 8-10 BIG games please . Ken and NET mean as much as power rankings in the NFL after week 2…mext
 
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Lots of aggressively stated guesses about the future. 🙂

This team is having young team issues which was inevitable. But I've seen progress in almost all the games this team's played so far this season. Progress in sports isn't linear, so there are going to continue to be bad or off games.

The good news is that the team is so young it can keep improving rapidly. The team is nowhere near it's peak performances yet. So for me, the two questions are: (a) can the team find a way to win enough games to make the tournament while improving, and (b) will the team have improved enough by the tournament to put in a good showing.

Much as I'd like to aggressively state some guesses, I guess I'll just wait and see instead.
 
Yes the team is young, but most of the improvement needs to come from the 4 transfers.

Not to say Ace and Dylan can't improve in spots....quite frankly not sure what Dylan can improve in. He is doing everything...maybe conditioning?
 
Yes the team is young, but most of the improvement needs to come from the 4 transfers.

Not to say Ace and Dylan can't improve in spots....quite frankly not sure what Dylan can improve in. He is doing everything...maybe conditioning?
Hopefully they can limit their turnovers.
 
With a projected big ten record of 7-13.

With our NET, Kenpom projections and eye test, the staff has their hands full and has gotta figure out alot of things fast.

I know some here are all hype after yesterday but we have to recognize SHU is abysmal. They were 197 in NET coming into yesterday and one of the worst offensive teams in America.

Finishing 7-13 in big ten play and below .500 on the season overall (KenPom projects 15-16) with this roster would be a failure of biblical proportions.

What must the coaching staff do to turn this around?
Right now, we don’t look like, or are playing anywhere near a Tourney team, but it’s early and there is a lot of season left, but they do have to start figuring things out.
 
Maybe we should just let Ken Pom ratings determine everyone’s eventual record. They can pick the ncaa tourny and the eventual NC. Think of all the time we can save.
 
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Maybe we should just let Ken Pom ratings determine everyone’s eventual record. They can pick the ncaa tourny and the eventual NC. Think of all the time we can save.
Why would we do that? We could look at it and get a more informed assessment of where we are at and what it may take to go where we want to go. kenpom and bart spit out almost the same output as the NET. I suppose you want the NET to determine's everyone's record too.
 
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Why would we do that? We could look at it and get a more informed assessment of where we are at and what it may take to go where we want to go. kenpom and bart spit out almost the same output as the NET. I suppose you want the NET to determine's everyone's record too.
I was being sarcastic. The OP seemed to be implying that based on KP we were only going to win 3 more games. Clearly these rating systems can tell you where you are but not where you are going to end up ( unless of course your team and every other as well doesn’t get any better or worse over the rest of the season.
 
You are certainly entitled to your opinion. But no sane person thinks after these 11 games that we look like a tourney team. No analyst or analytics site believes so either.

So yeah, if youre not a tourney team with two top 10 picks, I think it’s fair to say the bad outweighs the good
Who doesn’t believe we are not a tourney team ? The media ? Or do you give a little more weight to the coaches that have actually played us , like Nate Oates of Alabama and what he said , or Buzz Williams at Texas A & M and what he said about them. In fact , Rutgers is the only team to have a 9 point lead against A&M in the second half and but for some foul disparity , a different result would have occurred.
So you think you are a sane person because your opinion , which is different from Oates and Williams , should be believed.
Maybe your opinion should be better informed. What would be worrisome for this young team is if we are not blowing out the teams we are clearly better than , and then when we stepped up in competition ( Alabama , Texas A& M, Penn State , the 3 best teams we have played ) we were blown out. Guess what ? We are better as we hit the step up in competition. That bodes really well for this Big 10 season as there are no cupcakes and the competition will be good.
 
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