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OT: Major West Coast winter storm where some will see over 150 inches of snow

Unfortunately with so many sites, so many models and variants of each model readily available, it is very easy to cherry pick the one you like...sorta like hurricane track forecasts. It is frankly easier and far less confusing to read the forecast discussions that Philly and NYC put out go with that. Thankfully those pros tend be far more even keel (it is their job to be)
No hype, no story, no clicks, no attention. They need what they crave!
 
Unfortunately with so many sites, so many models and variants of each model readily available, it is very easy to cherry pick the one you like...sorta like hurricane track forecasts. It is frankly easier and far less confusing to read the forecast discussions that Philly and NYC put out go with that. Thankfully those pros tend be far more even keel (it is their job to be)


and the problem with a board like 33 and rain is its not objective....no one is ever allowed to question the models or to even call a bust. It is so biased toward snow and outright bannings and shunning of unthinkably being skeptical and asking questions, its not allowed to do that.

Provides some good stuff and you get good discussion from mets but its not an objective source of information
 
and the problem with a board like 33 and rain is its not objective....no one is ever allowed to question the models or to even call a bust. It is so biased toward snow and outright bannings and shunning of unthinkably being skeptical and asking questions, its not allowed to do that.

Provides some good stuff and you get good discussion from mets but its not an objective source of information

Is there such a thing as a board (on any subject) that is objective? Never heard of one.
 
and the problem with a board like 33 and rain is its not objective....no one is ever allowed to question the models or to even call a bust. It is so biased toward snow and outright bannings and shunning of unthinkably being skeptical and asking questions, its not allowed to do that.

Provides some good stuff and you get good discussion from mets but its not an objective source of information
Entertainment value. Something they do here in Texas, which I love, is that most counties have a county severe weather Twitter account. They provide mainly observations, work in concert with the local NWS office and when they provide forecasts, it is NWS output. I’m sure there are local weather queen sites, but they do good, safety-focused work in alliance with, rather than against the NWS. The Bexar county one here in SA is fantastic; meat and potatoes info without the frosting.
 
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We're seeing ensemble means of over 12" which is almost unheard of at 36-42 hours out, as the ensembles include more than a few outliers that should bring the mean down more vs. the operational run. Ensemble means that high are a strong indicator that the op runs are higher confidence than usual.

Also, last night the UK was the outlier with not much snow NW of 95 and not much snow even SE of 95. That has changed at 12Z completely, which is a 12-20" bomb for anyone N of 276/195 (but has a sharp cutoff S of that line). Will post the whole suite of 12Z maps again after the Euro.
OK put this in layman's terms, what the hell are we going to get? I've got a 50' all terrain lift coming on Tuesday to the jobsite, will I be delaying that order? Or am I going to be holding my dick in my hand looking like a jackass for delaying to the job supervisor?

I know my dysphemism's are harsh but I don't work in an office and it's what these dipsh*ts respond to on the job site. It's now become second nature after running a company for 20 yrs.. So no offense.
 
Yep.
But at one point way before here the curves were more straight.

So give her credit. She worked hard to get where she is now. And this is after four kids too.
You seem to know a lot about her. I think you have a crush on her .
 
Weather Underground, which has been showing snowfall totals on the lower side for my area (Edison/Metuchen) for days, is now showing 16-17” starting Sunday, ending Tuesday.

I don’t understand. I’ve prepped almost everything, snowblower is ready to rumble. Trash and recycling cans taken inside. New shovels. Kid’s fetching gas for snowblower. I have months worth of food.

The storm should be fizzling out.



Hm. Unless it’s because I still haven’t repaired or replaced the generator. That would be bad news, if that’s the problem, because it would mean a prolonged power loss. 😲
 
Weather Underground, which has been showing snowfall totals on the lower side for my area (Edison/Metuchen) for days, is now showing 16-17” starting Sunday, ending Tuesday.

I don’t understand. I’ve prepped almost everything, snowblower is ready to rumble. Trash and recycling cans taken inside. New shovels. Kid’s fetching gas for snowblower. I have months worth of food.

The storm should be fizzling out.



Hm. Unless it’s because I still haven’t repaired or replaced the generator. That would be bad news, if that’s the problem, because it would mean a prolonged power loss. 😲
Ah, toilet paper ? Did you get the toilet paper ? That might be it. Go out to BJ's and buy a pallet of it.
 
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it's pretty impressive how far it throws the snow. No worries about running out of places to put the snow that's for sure.
My Arians Deluxe 28 easily throws powdery snow 30 feet, a bit less if slushy, obviously. If you want to throw it less you just adjust the chute angle.
 
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I'd be more worried about secondary roads than EWR or the main highways. A foot for EWR or a road like the NJTP isn't really a prob. Now if you live off on a two lane, no curb, road in the woods. You might have to wait a bit for that.

EWR will definitely have no flights landing on Monday for a time frame.
 
I'd think airports would be fine by midday Tuesday; Chicago is also going to get hammered starting in a few hours.

Thanks - The ORD-EWR leg is canceled already, 2 days out. They auto rebooked thru Denver with a 7pm arrival Monday evening presently.Any shot of that happening on Monday evening

Seems like a bad idea and Im 2 hours further from home for my inevitable Tuesday flight. ?
 
They auto rebooked thru Denver with a 7pm arrival Monday evening presently.Any shot of that happening on Monday evening
I highly doubt that. I just don't see Newark allowing flights if it's as bad as being forecast. Then again, everything can change in 24 hours.
 
Anyone who likes snow should spend one of these storms in Truckee, CA...they can get snow there like almost no other place in the lower 48. Even their plows are different
 
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