I saw you’re in Hamilton also. I looked on the Lowe’s website and they have some in stock. That Ariens brand looks nice.
OT: Major West Coast winter storm where some will see over 150 inches of snow
- Thread starter Tango Two
- Start date
I'd be more worried about secondary roads than EWR or the main highways. A foot for EWR or a road like the NJTP isn't really a prob. Now if you live off on a two lane, no curb, road in the woods. You might have to wait a bit for that.
Yes. Actually 95 doesn't start until you are 10 miles South on 295 West. It is where you can get on the new interchange of 95 North and PA Turnpike West to NJ Turnpike (North or South)
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anon_ivydyf0amkzay
Guest
Ingesting as this is what other GFS links have...and people wonder why confusion can sometimes reign...(12Z/30 Jan operational run)GFS run back with a bomb for central Jersey
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana...gion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2021013012&fh=114
It was a blip; every model at 12Z so far is showing at least 8-12" for just about the entire area and some are showing 12-20" for parts/most of the area.
She's not very good and she doesn't make their forecasts - not even a true met, just a certificate met...
He posted the "new and improved" GFSv16, not the aging GFS. They're still holding off on making the switch to the new GFSv16, as there have been algorithm problems with several previous iterations - maybe they've fixed it, but it's been "new" for almost 2 years.
https://theweatherguy.net/blog/new-gfs-model-coming/
Can't tell if you're trolling or not - Lonnie and Mike Woods are pretty boys who are both dumb as a box of hammers with no true met degrees who regularly say dumb things on air - worse than Amy. Go with Lee Goldberg/Jeff Smith, Craig Allen and Nick Gregory in NYC TV.
Lol at the Amy Freeze hate..she works with Goldberg..her forecast come from the same place
Just bought an Ariens yesterday as an insurance policy ha.
My Dad has owned an Ariens since 1973, still runs like a champ
We're seeing ensemble means of over 12" which is almost unheard of at 36-42 hours out, as the ensembles include more than a few outliers that should bring the mean down more vs. the operational run. Ensemble means that high are a strong indicator that the op runs are higher confidence than usual.
Also, last night the UK was the outlier with not much snow NW of 95 and not much snow even SE of 95. That has changed at 12Z completely, which is a 12-20" bomb for anyone N of 276/195 (but has a sharp cutoff S of that line). Will post the whole suite of 12Z maps again after the Euro.
Also, last night the UK was the outlier with not much snow NW of 95 and not much snow even SE of 95. That has changed at 12Z completely, which is a 12-20" bomb for anyone N of 276/195 (but has a sharp cutoff S of that line). Will post the whole suite of 12Z maps again after the Euro.
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anon_ivydyf0amkzay
Guest
Yes I get that...it is still NOT the operational run, otherwise it would just be called, simply, the GFS...but I get it, you have all arrived into wishcasting territory. I hope your snowier wish comes true.
I'd think airports would be fine by midday Tuesday; Chicago is also going to get hammered starting in a few hours.
Stop being a troll for at least 5 minutes and try to add some value. What is wishcasting about saying the GFSv16 isn't the official GFS yet, but will be? That model has been overamped since it came out. If I were wishcasting I'd be touting that one over the old GFS. And simply posting model output is not wishcasting, especially when I take great pains to say that they're not forecasts and bust potential is still at least moderate given the sensitivity of Miller B's.
Wait, she's talking?
Ssssssshhhhhhhh..........he's getting in the mood.
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anon_ivydyf0amkzay
Guest
It is wishcasting and it happens all the time...don’t agree? I could not give one tiny ****! This is merely entertainment for me...the outcome (bust or historic snow totals) has no bearing on me whatsoever. Enjoy whatever you get.
To be fair , to make this type of forecast do you need a met degree ? If your are not the one designing the models and/or running them ?
I am not downplaying the degree , but with all the info out there today it seems like anyone that is looking up the proper info can make a solid educated prediction. I mean with my 8th grade earth science class education, I can look at the models and basically guess as good as some of the Mets as to what I am getting.
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Because pig farmers existence is somehow fatiguing to the rest of us? 😉
Just got an Ariens 24 Deluxe before the last snow in December. It did a good job in the 4-5 inches we got, I figured the smaller cut and little bigger motor was fine for what I needed. Guess this storm will be the real test if all holds.
What is your definiition of wishcasting? I would think wishcasting would involve focusing on the snowy solutions and especially the outlier ones showing 30" of snow in spots. I haven't done that at all, plus I have also been highlighting what can go wrong for a snowy forecast.
No, one doesn't need a degree at all to "report" the weather forecasts. My issue is that many of these folks make regular meteorological mistakes that not everyone will pick up on and I find that annoying. I just prefer good pros who don't say dumb or misleading things at times.
Hey #'s... Ignore the idiots that just wanna draw you in... A lot of us on here.. myself included.. really appreciate the info and constant updates you put out on here.. I work at a hardware store, so knowing there is a possibility on Wednesday of a significant storm coming at the end of the weekend is a big deal to me... Thanks
That's the one I have and we had just about a foot of snow a few weeks ago and it did great.
Lowe’s has a $700 model, a $1000 model, and a $1200 model in stock. There’s also a $1000 craftsman. Any advice on which to buy?
They all wishcasted the last storm like crazy and it busted big time, only 5 inches here after dire warnings of 14-18.
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Unheard of? Yeah, just like the "unheard" of consistency of the models of last month's storm. I forgot, what happened with that storm? Oh yeah, BUST! LOL.
All the news you need for potential snow storms:
National and Local Weather Radar, Daily Forecast, Hurricane and information from The Weather Channel and weather.com
The Weather Channel and weather.com provide a national and local weather forecast for cities, as well as weather radar, report and hurricane coverage
weather.com
You're welcome! :)
Your directions are obsolete. The road now continues as 295 North even after Exit 1 all the way to the NJ state line. It is not that difficult a trip once one gets used to the two-lane highway that is 31 North, and which is well-paved and -marked.
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anon_ivydyf0amkzay
Guest
Unfortunately with so many sites, so many models and variants of each model readily available, it is very easy to cherry pick the one you like...sorta like hurricane track forecasts. It is frankly easier and far less confusing to read the forecast discussions that Philly and NYC put out go with that. Thankfully those pros tend be far more even keel (it is their job to be)
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