OT: Winter Storm Likely to Impact Our Area 1/16-17
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Yes you are and already a thread on AmericanWx about it, if anyone wants to follow the potential, as the Euro/CMC/UK show a snowstorm next Saturday, while the GFS shows nada. Way too early for a thread on this board, but if you want to follow it, go here...
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic...land-or-just-a-portion-of-and-21-22-or-23-24/
You're absolutely wrong on this, but that's not unusual. Throughout December there were generally no possible snowstorms within 7 days and even 10+ days, as the pattern simply didn't support snow. That's why there were no threads here or even a mention of snow in other threads here or even any event threads on the weather boards.
NJ (Newark) historically averages over 5 inches of snow in December going back 30 years.
Newark NJ Snowfall Totals & Snow Accumulation Averages - Current Results
When, how much, how often Newark, New Jersey has snow. Monthly and yearly data on total days and inches of snowfall, snow accumulation, heavy snowstorms, first snowfall.
www.currentresults.com
Nice fact, completely irrelevant, but nice.NJ (Newark) historically averages over 5 inches of snow in December going back 30 years.
Newark NJ Snowfall Totals & Snow Accumulation Averages - Current Results
When, how much, how often Newark, New Jersey has snow. Monthly and yearly data on total days and inches of snowfall, snow accumulation, heavy snowstorms, first snowfall.
He knows and he knows that Dec is considered part of ""meteorological winter" but: He. Must. Troll.NJ (Newark) historically averages over 5 inches of snow in December going back 30 years.
Newark NJ Snowfall Totals & Snow Accumulation Averages - Current Results
When, how much, how often Newark, New Jersey has snow. Monthly and yearly data on total days and inches of snowfall, snow accumulation, heavy snowstorms, first snowfall.
Here is a pretty cool inteactive/graphical map for those interested in wind gusts and other weather events in NJ. You just have to click the click the + or - 12hr at the top then put your cursor over the time slot below.
NOAA Graphical Forecast for New Jersey
graphical.weather.gov
Going to the Knicks game tomorrow. The plan is to drive to Journal Square and take the PATH in. What are we looking at? Just rain by 11 am? We have the option of taking NJT train if driving is going to be sketchy.
Just rain after 9-10 pm tonight - driving should be no issue after 10 pm or so in the 95 corridor with heavy rain from then through just before sunrise (maybe some urban flooding in spots to avoid) and tomorrow should be no issue at all other than it being windy.
The coastal flood watches were converted to warnings for tonight and tomorrow morning for Monmouth and Middlesex in the NWS-Philly area, for 1-2' above normally dry ground, and for Queens/LI/CT in the NWS-NYC area for 2-3' above normally dry ground. Only advisories for south of Monmouth and the rest of NYC/NENJ for lesser minor flooding being possible.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=coastal flood warning
And there's now a high wind warning for eastern LI for gusts up to 60 mph and an advisory for the rest of LI/NYC/NENJ and coastal NJ for gusts up to 50 mph, in general. Could be scattered power outages.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=wind advisory
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=coastal flood warning
And there's now a high wind warning for eastern LI for gusts up to 60 mph and an advisory for the rest of LI/NYC/NENJ and coastal NJ for gusts up to 50 mph, in general. Could be scattered power outages.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=wind advisory
Multiple tornadoes on the warm side of the storm in South Florida touched down, destroying homes, mostly in the Fort Myers area. Huge storm...
https://weather.com/news/news/2022-01-16-florida-tornado-damage-winter-storm
https://weather.com/news/news/2022-01-16-florida-tornado-damage-winter-storm
No surprise that the NWS cut snowfall amounts again, given what the models are showing. The 1" line now essentially runs up 95 and the 3" or more amounts are generally confined to being north of I-80. Likely a fair amount of sleet in locations N of 78 and especially N of 80, and sleet is no picnic either (same mass as snow, just less depth). Hopefully we can avoid much freezing rain as that shit's just nasty, but up to 0.1" is forecast during the transition in the counties with advisories just NW of 95. All the other impacts are still expected, i.e., high winds, coastal flooding, heavy rain/urban flooding. Nice win today by RU...
No big forecast changes with the NWS final forecasts before the start of the event (light snow is already into DE and SEPA near Philly), other than they upped the snow/sleet forecasts for areas well N/W, as they think the cold air will hold on a bit longer, so areas like the Poconos, Sussex, W. Passaic and Orange counties are in the 4-6" range, while other areas N of 80 and Warren/Lehigh Valley, N of 78, are forecast to get 3-4". Snow/sleet forecasts SE of there diminsh quickly to maybe 1/2" to 1" along the 95 corridor before the heavy rains (1" or more) come in to wash the snow away.
Note that for anyone getting 4-6" of snow/sleet might not get enough rain to wash the snow away, as ~0.5" of rain on top of that will largely be absorbed into the frozen precip and that slush will freeze solid Monday evening. So folks in that area might still need to shovel. Also included the regional snowfall map, showing the 8-12" or more amounts for much of WV, western VA/MD and central/western PA/NY and northern NY/New England. People who hate snow in the 95 corridor and nearby definitely dodged a bullet with this storm.
And, of course, there are all the heavy rain/urban flooding, high winds/power outages, and coastal flooding/beach erosion risks I mentioned in the posts just above.
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So desperate for any of the white stuff. I think it is going to be 45 degrees overnight. LOL!
I was thinking the same thing earlier. I went out to walk the dog before it got crappy and the atmosphere felt very snow friendly.
21" so far, above Boone NC. Still coming down at a good clip. Winds have died down, thankfully. Cleared the porch steps (twice) and porch and firewood caddy. Tomorrow am starts the big dig... clearing the driveways, extracting the vehicles, etc. Hoping it's ended by 8 am. Ready for blue skies and sunshine.
I'll be right there, lol. My niece's twin boys (4) in Charlotte are having an absolute blast in their first real snow/sleet (they got a couple of inches of snow/sleet mix with a bit of freezing rain).
Same here in Hamilton. Cars, sidewalks and streets now covered. Was hoping for a snow day tomorrow but not happening. Rain coming soon. They are already talking about the next potential storm next weekend on AmericanWx.
As of 7 pm, we have a whole 1/4" of snow and intensity has increased to moderate - may get the 1" of snow before the changeover, as it's still 28F and above freezing temps and sleet still look to be 20 miles SE of me. Will be gone soon, but it's still pretty and nice to go for a walk in...
Up to 3/8" at 7:30 pm, but up to 29F with cc-radar showing the mix line about 20 miles from me, but moving slowly - I know it's a bit silly, but fascinating to see if we can eke out an inch before the deluge. Kids today were playing ice hockey on the pond across the street until some busybodies called the cops on them - looked like a fun time to me.
Hah! One of my old RU roomies is visiting Charlotte this weekend for his first grandchild's first birthday. Got an alert via group text with the old gang, an ongoing chat. Anyway, he and his wife flew in from sunny warm San Diego. Talk about a weather contrast. They're still having a blast, nonetheless. Heading back on Tuesday, so they hope.
We have 1/2" as of 8:00 pm with continuing light to moderate snow, but it's now 31F and the radar shows the mix line almost at the Raritan, about 5-10 miles from me, so maybe another 30-60 minutes of snow? Very slick out there, as all surfaces are covered, given how cold the ground was. I imagine there could be some accidents out there if people weren't expecting any snow at all.
My sister and her SO flew in to Charlotte for her grandsons' 4th birthday this weekend and they were supposed to fly back to FL today, but that was cancelled, which they're happy about as they get to spend more time with her daughter's family.
I have a buddy that moved to Charlotte this summer. When I texted him around 2pm today, he said the city was basically shut down, outer highways not plowed. Yet he's out in his Prius, driving around no problem. Jersey, baby!
Reports of about 1/2" to an inch or so in SNJ/SEPA near the Delaware, including a guy on AmericanWx reporting 1.5" in NW Philly, where it's changing to sleet now and it already changed to sleet/rain on the Jersey side.
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