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Bacatology 3/10: NCAA Tournament Analysis

Ohio State falls to 11-15 in Q1/2/3......the analysts on Peacock seem oblivious to this trying to lobby for them.....3-11 vs field

for the record, Iowa is 10-15, Northwestern is 12-15 and 3-8 vs field
 
Ohio State falls to 11-15 in Q1/2/3......the analysts on Peacock seem oblivious to this trying to lobby for them.....3-11 vs field

for the record, Iowa is 10-15, Northwestern is 12-15 and 3-8 vs field
Yeah I don’t understand how they can say a 17-15 team deserves an at-large. Weird.
 
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with the Ohio State loss (before full scrub tomorrow which could change things)

LAST 4 IN: NORTH CAROLINA, BAYLOR, INDIANA, XAVIER

FIRST 4 OUT: DAYTON, BOISE STATE, TEXAS, NEBRASKA


NEXT 4 OUT: WAKE FOREST, OHIO STATE, COLORADO STATE, SMU

OTHERS: UC IRVINE, VILLANOVA, GEORGE MASON
 
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Yeah I don’t understand how they can say a 17-15 team deserves an at-large. Weird.
not since 2001 has a team only 2 games above 500 ever made it as an at large...Georgia at 16-14 and they played a ridiculous schedule

17 win schools...Michigan a few years ago but they were 17-14

15 loss schools...3 times in the past decade but they had 19, 20 wins.

4 games sub 500 at 11-15....would be historical as i believe no school has got in more than 1 game below .500

the whole selection of Ohio State would be historical....Nebraska actually has a better resume in some ways and more wins vs the field
 
I know it’s not how it works, but Nebraska still in the conversation is crazy. How can you make the NCAA Tournament if you don’t even qualify for your conference tournament.
 
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I know it’s not how it works, but Nebraska still in the conversation is crazy. How can you make the NCAA Tournament if you don’t even qualify for your conference tournament.
because the rest of the bubble has been atrocious....Nebbys resume now looks better than OSU because one less loss and better wins

Expansion would really make things watered down

that being said you have to figure a bid stealer is out there waiting to fill in that last spot
 
Haven’t read this all year, too depressed, but love your work. Two things
1. How can a 1-11 Q1 UNC make it? Is it on name pedigree only?
2. How sad will we be if OSU gets in at 17-15 - what could have been for us.
 
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Haven’t read this all year, too depressed, but love your work. Two things
1. How can a 1-11 Q1 UNC make it? Is it on name pedigree only?
2. How sad will we be if OSU gets in at 17-15 - what could have been for us.
the bubble really is this bad that UNC is in this holding spot at the last spot...the prettiest ugly girl in the room right now whose parents have the most money

The 1-11 is hideous true but their sos was really good..i think its 5 problem is they lost them all except for UCLA. At 8-0 in Q2 they are at least 9-11 in Q1/2 so something should be said about that...also they got all the tougher teams in acc on the road so that was unfortunate...duke, clemson, Louis, wake all on the road and only once...

but big factor is the acc only has 3 schools in...Bubba Cunningham AD at UNC is the chairman of the committee so you figure that one out

on Ohio State they are not getting an at large, would be historic if they do on many levels shatter all precidence and they simply dont have the high quality wins for that
 
Baylor wins 70-56. They look IN and I moving them out of the first 4 and onto the 10 line. For now Oklahoma slides into the first four.


LAST 4 IN: NORTH CAROLINA, INDIANA, XAVIER, OKLAHOMA

FIRST 4 OUT: DAYTON, BOISE STATE, TEXAS, NEBRASKA


NEXT 4 OUT: WAKE FOREST, OHIO STATE, COLORADO STATE, SMU

OTHERS: UC IRVINE, VILLANOVA, GEORGE MASON
 
To add context to that 2001 Georgia team that got in at 16-14, just to show what an outlier they were...here are their results under today's Quad system, using the final KenPom rating in place of NET rating (since it didn't exist in 2001, but is a relatively close comparison)...
Q1: 5-10
Q2: 8-3
Q3: 2-1
Q4: 1-0

1 Quad 4 game all season, and only 4 games against the bottom two Quads. That's pretty insane.
 
To add context to that 2001 Georgia team that got in at 16-14, just to show what an outlier they were...here are their results under today's Quad system, using the final KenPom rating in place of NET rating (since it didn't exist in 2001, but is a relatively close comparison)...
Q1: 5-10
Q2: 8-3
Q3: 2-1
Q4: 1-0

1 Quad 4 game all season, and only 4 games against the bottom two Quads. That's pretty insane.
yeah impressive....and ohio state doesnt have anywhere close to this
 
Oklahoma knocks off Georgia and looks like the Sooners are dancing. SEC with 13 is looking very very likely but i will stop short of saying definite...lot of seeding jockeying with a half dozen schools in the 9/10/11 range and at least one probably ends up in the first four in Dayton

Kansas survives upset bid in overtime from bid stealer wannabee UCF

SMU takes care of Syracuse but still cannot see how the Mustangs can get into the field
 
we shall see what happens tomorrow with some deeper scrubbing

LAST 4 IN: NORTH CAROLINA, INDIANA, XAVIER, VANDERBILT

FIRST 4 OUT: DAYTON, BOISE STATE, TEXAS, NEBRASKA


NEXT 4 OUT: WAKE FOREST, OHIO STATE, COLORADO STATE, SMU

OTHERS: UC IRVINE, VILLANOVA, GEORGE MASON
 
Good stuff BAC. I love the updates!

Great stuff! Updates are wonderful.

My favorite sports time of the year, as much as Rutgers breaks our collective hearts every year.

Ohio State gone as now can probably pencil Texas in.
 
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