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COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

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Yet Minny has not shown a similar spike. NY continues to decline.

Any thoughts on the disconnect? I know I'm perplexed.
He’s being purposefully dishonest. Ignore him. NJ has been under 200 new cases the last few days after weeks of massive protests. He already knows that, though.

Also just a heads up that 5k = 5,000. 5000k = 5,000,000.

Also, 200 pages! Wow!! Well done RU#’s and others who have contributed.
 
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He’s being purposefully dishonest. Ignore him. NJ is having consistently less than 200 cases per day after weeks of massive protests. He already knows that, though.

Also just a heads up that 5k = 5,000. 5000k = 5,000,000.

Also, 200 pages! Wow!! Well done RU#’s and others who have contributed.
1)I know he is, but I'm trying to make him confront his dishonesty.

2)Did I make that mistake? My bad, I do know the difference, I just need an editor.
 
Houston is very close to being overrun with the virus. I don't seem to recall massive protest in Houston.

Yuma Arizona and right over the border in California are being overrun. There were no "riots" in the desert.

Conversely, NYC had massive rally's and riots and the numbers have not spiked.

It is not the protests or the riots that are contributing to the spikes. It is any public gathering of people where the majority of people are not wearing masks. My Lord. Talk about having an agenda.
 
Yet Minny has not shown a similar spike. NY continues to decline.

Any thoughts on the disconnect? I know I'm perplexed.
I think that Minny was closer to "riot" and further from "protest" compared to the other cities. The flashpoint reaction likely meant a lot less thoughtful people bothering with masks and distancing.
 
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I read last night that Murphy includes probables in fatalities
from NJ dashboard:
" Data are preliminary and subject to change. The data represent information available within the Communicable Disease Reporting and Surveillance System (CDRSS) and reflect a cumulative counts of laboratory confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths reported to NJDOH as of 6/8/2020. It includes cases and deaths with known zip codes. In accordance with Health Data Privacy Standards, case counts and deaths from zip codes representing geographic units that contain 20,000 or fewer people are suppressed.
 
We're losing a little ground in NJ. 406 new cases, 3.65% positive tests, R-naught up to .88 (highest since mid-May). New hospitalizations were exceeded by discharges though, and we're back below 1,200 hospitalized currently. All these numbers could be within the "noise" threshold, but today and the last 3 days at the least halted the positive trends of the last 6 weeks.
 
We're losing a little ground in NJ. 406 new cases, 3.65% positive tests, R-naught up to .88 (highest since mid-May). New hospitalizations were exceeded by discharges though, and we're back below 1,200 hospitalized currently. All these numbers could be within the "noise" threshold, but today and the last 3 days at the least halted the positive trends of the last 6 weeks.


Is that a result of our partial reopening?
 
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We're losing a little ground in NJ. 406 new cases, 3.65% positive tests, R-naught up to .88 (highest since mid-May). New hospitalizations were exceeded by discharges though, and we're back below 1,200 hospitalized currently. All these numbers could be within the "noise" threshold, but today and the last 3 days at the least halted the positive trends of the last 6 weeks.

I'm seeing 1.4% on John Hopkins as a 7 day, so 3.65% would be a pretty significant jump.


Edit: I'm also see on Worldometer that NJ reported 172 new cases yesterday which was the lowest total since March. So maybe today was just a return to the mean type of result?
 
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Yet Minny has not shown a similar spike. NY continues to decline.

Any thoughts on the disconnect? I know I'm perplexed.
The numbers could be lower without the protests? Are the #'s coming down in the early white hot zones like NY and NJ because the counts were so explosive that the weakest/most vulnerable victims have either died or recovered and now have immunity? Herd immunity in the already hard-hit zones?
 
We're losing a little ground in NJ. 406 new cases, 3.65% positive tests, R-naught up to .88 (highest since mid-May). New hospitalizations were exceeded by discharges though, and we're back below 1,200 hospitalized currently. All these numbers could be within the "noise" threshold, but today and the last 3 days at the least halted the positive trends of the last 6 weeks.

Going off the state dashboard there were 350 positive tests reported with 21,265 new PCR tests giving a positive rate of 1.6% which is in line with the 7 day average. Where did you see these other stats?
 
Yet Minny has not shown a similar spike. NY continues to decline.

Any thoughts on the disconnect? I know I'm perplexed.
Likely because they are still “protesting” here. Numerous ones, every day.

It takes the height of ignorance and suspended belief to believe that doing all the things we were told not to, in very large numbers, wouldn’t have a negative effect.
 
The numbers could be lower without the protests? Are the #'s coming down in the early white hot zones like NY and NJ because the counts were so explosive that the weakest victims have died and the recovered now have immunity? Herd immunity in the already hard-hit zones?
I can certainly see a lot of different factors at play. Some level of herd immunity is a thought. Numbers just being so low is another.

Just odd that there was zero blip.

Like I've said, I would think those protests would be spreader events, but looking at data post protests(at least early stages of), I don't think we can claim it is a major driver.
 
Houston is very close to being overrun with the virus. I don't seem to recall massive protest in Houston.

Yuma Arizona and right over the border in California are being overrun. There were no "riots" in the desert.

Conversely, NYC had massive rally's and riots and the numbers have not spiked.

It is not the protests or the riots that are contributing to the spikes. It is any public gathering of people where the majority of people are not wearing masks. My Lord. Talk about having an agenda.
Houston had massive riots.
 
Likely because they are still “protesting” here. Numerous ones, every day.

It takes the height of ignorance and suspended belief to believe that doing all the things we were told not to, in very large numbers, wouldn’t have a negative effect.
So you think it's just the fact that those protestors just have not been tested?

I see that as a legit possibility.

Wonder if they protest long enough, while not coming in contact with high risk groups we get that herd immunity amongst the younger groups that we've been looking for?


Edit: Still while the discrepency? Are the CA TX FL and AZ protestors getting tested while the NY and Minny ones are not?

Really doesn't make sense.
 
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Yet Minny has not shown a similar spike. NY continues to decline.

Any thoughts on the disconnect? I know I'm perplexed.
[QUOTE="albanyknight, post: 4618315, member: 1540"]Houston is very close to being overrun with the virus. I don't seem to recall massive protest in Houston.

Yuma Arizona and right over the border in California are being overrun. There were no "riots" in the desert.

Conversely, NYC had massive rally's and riots and the numbers have not spiked.

It is not the protests or the riots that are contributing to the spikes. It is any public gathering of people where the majority of people are not wearing masks. My Lord. Talk about having an agenda.[/QUOTE]

https://www.newsweek.com/houston-pr...ronavirus-after-marching-george-floyd-1511066

Houston Protesters Begin to Fall Ill With Coronavirus After Marching for George Floyd

Large protests began in the city days after the death of Houston native Floyd, an unarmed black man who died while police custody in Minneapolis, Minnesota on May 25. Texas has been experiencing a surge of new COVID-19 cases. Harris County, which encompasses Houston, has been adding hundreds of new cases each day to the more than 17,000 total confirmed cases reported as of Monday.


Houston resident Shamone Turner told KRIV that she took part in a march to Houston City Hall attended by an estimated 60,000 people about two weeks ago and later tested positive for the virus. Several friends who accompanied her were also said to have tested positive. Despite the illness, she said she has no regrets about her decision to march.


"I actually got sick the day after the march... I could not move out of the bed. I was in the bed just sighing," Turner said. "I definitely don't regret getting the COVID, because I was out there doing the right thing for the right cause."

 
https://www.newsweek.com/houston-pr...ronavirus-after-marching-george-floyd-1511066

Houston Protesters Begin to Fall Ill With Coronavirus After Marching for George Floyd

Large protests began in the city days after the death of Houston native Floyd, an unarmed black man who died while police custody in Minneapolis, Minnesota on May 25. Texas has been experiencing a surge of new COVID-19 cases. Harris County, which encompasses Houston, has been adding hundreds of new cases each day to the more than 17,000 total confirmed cases reported as of Monday.


Houston resident Shamone Turner told KRIV that she took part in a march to Houston City Hall attended by an estimated 60,000 people about two weeks ago and later tested positive for the virus. Several friends who accompanied her were also said to have tested positive. Despite the illness, she said she has no regrets about her decision to march.


"I actually got sick the day after the march... I could not move out of the bed. I was in the bed just sighing," Turner said. "I definitely don't regret getting the COVID, because I was out there doing the right thing for the right cause."
Not surprising, but anecdotal. Again why TX but not NY?

Why FL but not Minny.

Also note TX and FL were showing signs of increase prior to the protests. NY and Minny were decreasing.
 
The spike in cases in the "Early Summer" region might not be a single cause but compounding of a number of different items that attributed to the surge. First off we know that much of this surge has been driven by younger people, we are also seeing it happening in the South and West, areas that are hotter and did not experience the initial wave and opened earlier. So there could have been a spread give these areas opened in May, that spread was worsened as people moved indoors due to the heat which caused more spread, then many of these young attended the protests, so protests which had more infected people would end up spreading more among the protesters. This would explain why we are not see a spike in the NE even though we are seeing increased cases of in NJ among the younger crowd.
 
As noted above, Murphy did open day care. So perhaps he is conducting that experiment.

We also know he opened parks, and then kept them open when people said he would reclose them.

We know he opened beaches and then kept them open when people said he would reclose them.

We know he has opened up other areas of the economy. Indoor restaurants and bars will be open next week.

Some of Murphy's critics have been very wrong as to what he will do.

We do know for sure, that whatever he does is not for the safety of people, but to serve his agenda. Parks never should have been closed in the first place and retail stores should never have been closed. Everything he's done is politically motivated and there's no science behind any of his decisions. If you think he was just being overly cautious, he would have shut down liquor stores, be he didn't. I understand everyone enjoys their alcohol, but it's not a necessity. It's actually poison. What study indicated that the virus can't exist in liquor stores, but exists in abundance at Burlington Coat Factory? The guy is a complete clown and he's destroyed our economy for no reason.
 
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Houston is very close to being overrun with the virus. I don't seem to recall massive protest in Houston.

Yuma Arizona and right over the border in California are being overrun. There were no "riots" in the desert.

Conversely, NYC had massive rally's and riots and the numbers have not spiked.

It is not the protests or the riots that are contributing to the spikes. It is any public gathering of people where the majority of people are not wearing masks. My Lord. Talk about having an agenda.
Houston Protesters Begin to Fall Ill With Coronavirus After Marching for George Floyd
https://www.newsweek.com/houston-pr...ronavirus-after-marching-george-floyd-1511066

Holidays, protests lead to uptick in California COVID-19 cases, experts say
https://www.kcra.com/article/holidays-protests-uptick-california-covid-19-cases/32805415#
 
It’s easy to scoff at the virus when its effects are 2-3 degrees of separation from you.

When someone you know dies, or someone who you are close to is affected by a death, your perspective changes instantly.

Give numbers a break, 95% of his posts have been extremely informative for someone who has no obligation to post this on an RU football board of all places. The other 5% of his posts that are political or whatever in nature are because he’s a normal human with his own leanings, like everyone.

Back to news, it looks like the south is going to adopt the Sweden approach to the virus. Going to get very dicey, hoping we don’t see a major spike in under 50 mortality. It’s also interesting to me that some of these places are at or approaching exponential growth when the case seeding took place with in an interventionist environment even if the general population wasn’t fully compliant.
we know yours bob.
Greg 2020 you must be what
we know yours bob.
we know yours bob.
We all do l Greg that is what makes the world go round and round...Someday , if you survive long enough , you will have a different agenda, opinion or outlook on what the country is becoming ... it will always have it’s warts.. and Greg we know yours as well.
 
We do know for sure, that whatever he does is not for the safety of people, but to serve his agenda. Parks never should have been closed in the first place and retail stores should never have been closed. Everything he's done is politically motivated and there's science behind any of his decisions. If you think he was just being overly cautious, he would have shut down liquor stores, be he didn't. I understand everyone enjoys their alcohol, but it's not a necessity. It's actually poison. What study indicated that the virus can't exist in liquor stores, but exists in abundance at Burlington Coat Factory? The guy is a complete clown and he's destroyed our economy for no reason.
Great to see another 20 Workout /Fitness centers closing... thanks Murphy for screwing people’s livelihoods in order to move your agenda.
 
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I've heard from nurses that "probables" are more like "very likely", but yeah the #'s are not dead on precise.

Clear though that NJ's cases are way down, while other states are way up.

Edit: For instance, FL with another 5000K new cases.

Their fatalities, are def looking like they will be up week over week as well.

Also related. TX freezes it's opening plans.
Nj does not count probables in their death count.
 
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I'm seeing 1.4% on John Hopkins as a 7 day, so 3.65% would be a pretty significant jump.


Edit: I'm also see on Worldometer that NJ reported 172 new cases yesterday which was the lowest total since March. So maybe today was just a return to the mean type of result?
that number for yesterday is off.
 
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Greg 2020 you must be what


We all do l Greg that is what makes the world go round and round...Someday , if you survive long enough , you will have a different agenda, opinion or outlook on what the country is becoming ... it will always have it’s warts.. and Greg we know yours as well.
I''l be surviving I wear a mask unlike you BOB!
 
I can certainly see a lot of different factors at play. Some level of herd immunity is a thought. Numbers just being so low is another.

Just odd that there was zero blip.

Like I've said, I would think those protests would be spreader events, but looking at data post protests(at least early stages of), I don't think we can claim it is a major driver.

I use Chicago as an example because it’s where I’m posting from: there were large protests, but (i) a large protest is measured in tens of thousands of people, not millions; (ii) these people returned from protests to a city pretty much completely closed down. If there was spread in the protests, these people weren’t then going to bars, restaurants, malls, etc and spreading it more. They went home and ordered delivery (for weeks...indoor dining doesn’t resume in any form until tomorrow).

The scale of protests (as mentioned above) is important to keep in mind. When chicago is up and running, you have millions of people using public transit daily, not to mention all of the mingling in work places, recreational activities, etc. Protests look like spreader events on tv, but when you think about the numbers, you see why March / April saw a huge spike, and why the protests, encompassing just a tiny fraction of the population, are somewhat self-contained, and would be expected to register barely a blip in comparison.
 
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I use Chicago as an example because it’s where I’m posting from: there were large protests, but (i) a large protest is measured in tens of thousands of people, not millions; (ii) these people returned from protests to a city pretty much completely closed down. If there was spread in the protests, these people weren’t then going to bars, restaurants, malls, etc and spreading it more. They went home and ordered delivery (for weeks...indoor dining doesn’t resume in any form until tomorrow).

The scale of protests (as mentioned above) is important to keep in mind. When chicago is up and running, you have millions of people using public transit daily, not to mention all of the mingling in work places, recreational activities, etc. Protests look like spreader events on tv, but when you think about the numbers, you see why March / April saw a huge spike, and why the protests, encompassing just a tiny fraction of the population, are somewhat self-contained, and would be expected to register barely a blip in comparison.
Great point. Population of CA is 40 million.
TX is 29 million
FL is 21.5 million.

How many protesters did they have in each of these states? 100K? I dunno, but that sounds like a big # for protests, but rather insignificant in the grand scheme.

The # of everday interactions far exceeds the interactions which would happen within these protests.
 
I''l be surviving I wear a mask unlike you BOB!
Greg then you are doing the right thing... Greg I’m 70 and in very good shape ... my entire family( adult kids) wear masks ... and they’re in their 40’s ... I have said on here numerous times ...wear a mask , wash your hands , social distance... I do all those things because I care about others unless they give me pause not to .... you hopefully will survive ... but there are many twists and turns during our lifetime.
 
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