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COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

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We have to be counting deaths differently than even say NY. Our death rate has continued to stay in the average 30's while NY has dipped way below that with even more cases being reported sometimes twice or three times more.

Hell yesterday 50 and today 71 yet go back 14 to 21 days and we only had on average around 300 new cases reported. Either our health care completely sucks or we're counting deaths differently than everyone else. I have been monitoring this specific issue for weeks and our death rate is staggering compared to others.
You just figuring this out? If no spikes are reported than loss of control by Murphy.
 

If deaths are often reported on a lag, why would we assume that only five people died today? Lol

“Just tell us the number is five rather than lumping in old deaths!” Ok well that number, 5, is no more reliable than whatever numbers were reported on the days when these prior deaths occurred.

$10 says people will read this and say 5 people died today! Means they read the tweet, and didn’t stop and think about what it actually says about the data.

If anything, this makes me wonder if there is no extended lag in deaths this time around, we’re just going to find out we’ve had a higher death count in a slow trickle.
 
It's funny how people want to bitch about the media feeding them "fake news" and the controlling gov't not allowing them freedom, and then refuse to do the legwork to find their own info.

It's out there if you look.
[roll]You only look for "facts" that support gloom and doom by organizations I have never heard of or obviously have an agenda.
 
Another rough stats day. Deaths in Cali, Texas, AZ all starting to spike on schedule. Florida starting to creep up too. Hope it doesn’t get too much worse than this.
 
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If deaths are often reported on a lag, why would we assume that only five people died today? Lol

“Just tell us the number is five rather than lumping in old deaths!” Ok well that number, 5, is no more reliable than whatever numbers were reported on the days when these prior deaths occurred.

$10 says people will read this and say 5 people died today! Means they read the tweet, and didn’t stop and think about what it actually says about the data.

If anything, this makes me wonder if there is no extended lag in deaths this time around, we’re just going to find out we’ve had a higher death count in a slow trickle.

It's called Data Manipulation

Murph is getting good at it.
 
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If anything, this makes me wonder if there is no extended lag in deaths this time around, we’re just going to find out we’ve had a higher death count in a slow trickle.
What??? It seems you are wishing for a higher death count even if it comes in differently. How about, maybe the death rate is declining despite increased infections?
 
Texas with a new high at 107 (yesterday was the previous high at 85)

As of now, deaths look to be down from yesterday, but up 26% week over week.
Worldometer currently has California at 142. Texas at 119.

Both new highs, TX by a good stretch.

#'s can trickle in until 9-10 PM.
 
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Happens in every state. Don't think there is anything political to it. Just like the zero deaths reported on July 2nd likely had no political driver.

I suspect we’ll be getting daily Covid death counts out of Florida for the next 20 years as their data ‘matriculates’
 
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[roll]You only look for "facts" that support gloom and doom by organizations I have never heard of or obviously have an agenda.
Actually it was you who turned me on to the John Hopkins site I often use. So I assume you have heard of that one.

I also use worldometers and state dashboards. Worldometers get's there info, in many cases at least, from the dashboards. They link the source.
 
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1.3MM have recovered from Covid. Great sign.

Why are they counting possible Covid positives via one positive test as Covid positive though?
So you prefer waiting for the secondary tests? Seems contrary to the discussion above about delayed reporting of data.
 
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What??? It seems you are wishing for a higher death count even if it comes in differently. How about, maybe the death rate is declining despite increased infections?
It's more about reading the data and seeing the trend.

Hopefully people in power do the same so as to keep things from getting out of hand, or better put, more out of hand.
 
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So you prefer waiting for the secondary tests? Seems contrary to the discussion above about delayed reporting of data.

There should be no such thing as a possible Covid test being classified as a positive Covid test.
 
I suspect we’ll be getting daily Covid death counts out of Florida for the next 20 years as their data ‘matriculates’
Florida's dashboard, much like the AZ dashboard are very slow to link deaths to specific dates. They each report deaths daily which are pretty reflective of the current situation(as long as you look at the 7dma), but the official allocation of deaths to dates take awhile.
 
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You just figuring this out? If no spikes are reported than loss of control by Murphy.
No just posted about it now. Like I said I've been monitoring it for weeks on end and the anomaly became prevalent to me as more data came in from other states. I didn't want to jump to conclusions like many do. Rather root my findings in fact, however NY's decline made the findings even more self-evident.
 
Actually it was you who turned me on to the John Hopkins site I often use. So I assume you have heard of that one.

I also use worldometers and state dashboards. Worldometers get's there info, in many cases at least, from the dashboards. They link the source.
You do know they get there info directly from each states reported numbers right?? They aren't independently checking them. But you are trusting all the state's reported numbers?? Seems foolish.
 
Looks like malpractice to me. In addition to all the other problems going on at this particular Chester, PA nursing home (not enough PPE, COVID patients rooming with non-COVID patients, communal dining, etc.) during the height of the pandemic, the doctors there were prescribing HCQ/azithromycin to COVID and non-COVID patients, despite the emergency use authorization by the FDA specifying these untested drugs (for COVID) should only be given as part of clinical trials or under hospital supervision for potential heart issues/arrhythmias, which are a concern with these drugs and which many elderly have. There was no problem getting these drugs to patients who shouldn't have been given them, but it took months to get COVID tests (they just assumed everyone was infected) and proper PPE to this facility. Who knows if this was just this one facility or many.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/busi...KJ3cS7Y4CD00nPbSe96adlH4knSos52DsJbOmiZjhPzWE
 
Oh, but that's not what you said.

"Why are they counting possible Covid positives via one positive test"

Right, I am talking about people that haven't been tested yet are being counted as such because they were in contact with someone that has been.
 
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Right, I am talking about people that haven't been tested yet are being counted as such because they were in contact with someone that has been.
Is this something that you guys were discussing here? Is there a link on a previous page?
 
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As per trusting the states reported #'s.

Why would Florida or AZ falsely claim positivity rates of 18% and 26% respectively?

Why would NJ claim a high death total, yet low case and positivity %'s?

People seem to act like these #'s are being used to push an agenda, but the numbers often run contrary to the supposed agenda.
 
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For me, a fairly simple guidance would be: "always maintain 6 feet of distance from any other person in public (indoors or outdoors) and when you're in a situation where you can't be sure of maintaining that distance, then wear a mask." The problem is that even that subtlety is lost on a decent fraction of people, so officials then come out with these "mandatory" mask policies for everyone outside the home, as that's simply easier to remember/enforce. But it pisses people off who know the difference. I wear a mask in any store, but not walking around the neighborhood, but I would wear one if walking in a city where it's a lot more crowded (haven't actually done that yet).

Furthermore, what I wrote has a number of "exceptions" to it, in reality. For example distancing with no mask is likely very effective beyond 4-5' indoors and probably beyond 2-3' outdoors, where "contact" time is only a few seconds (since infection is dose-dependent although we don't know the exact dose for the giver/receiver and individuals vary) and someone isn't sneezing, coughing or breathing very heavily, like simply walking by someone. It's why I think eating outdoors without a mask with several feet of distance is likely fine (as long as the mask goes on when talking to anyone nearby, including staff), but that same distance might not be ok indoors with less air movement. The risk there can also be, what if someone at the next table 4 feet from me starts coughing or sneezing right at me, unexpectedly - it's risks like that which have prevented us from going anywhere in public near people w/o a mask.

So, being on the beach w/o a mask or just walking around where population density is low w/o a mask are likely very safe, but standing in line for 10 minutes within a couple of feet of someone or standing next to someone at a concert (even outdoors) for awhile are very likely not safe without a mask. And I could write out a bunch more scenarios (different businesses for example) with subtle differences from these - the list of exposure/transmission variables (and risk tolerance variability) is huge and writing a guidance that tries to include more than a few gets very unwieldy quickly. Do you see how difficult it could become to write a realistic guidance for people to follow? That's why very simplistic guidances appeal to public health officials.

good response here.....i am waiting to see what happens tomorrow with a mask mandate and whether Murphy specifically addresses the beach issue

I'm assuming Murphy's mask order meets with your approval. Seems fairly reasonable to me and not far off what I was hoping for. Excerpt is below and there are some additional reasonable exceptions. For the vast majority of situations, it's basically, wear a mask if you can't be sure of maintaining proper distancing.

https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020...utside-to-battle-coronavirus-murphy-says.html

People in New Jersey will now be required to wear masks outside in public when social distancing isn’t possible to help prevent the coronavirus from spreading, under an executive order Gov. Phil Murphy signed Wednesday. Murphy stressed a mask isn’t required if you’re walking alone or with your family in your neighborhood or at a beach or park and are standing at least 6 feet away from others.

Instead, the order calls for you mask up if you’re an outdoor setting where people are gathering and you can’t keep your distance from people other than your family members, caretakers, household members, or romantic partners. “This is absolutely vital when individuals find themselves in a crowded situation — such as when walking down a packed boardwalk or in a line that is not properly spaced apart,” the governor said at his coronavirus briefing in Trenton.
 
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As per trusting the states reported #'s.
Why would NJ claim a high death total, yet low case and positivity %'s?
Once again NJ is 3rd in reported covid deaths with 64. Go back the 14 to 21 day gestation period and we averaged 300 to 400 new cases. They're either telling me our health care system here in NJ completely sucks or we're counting deaths differently than other states. Because those death rate numbers are pretty much by far the worst in the country.(not even close) As for the conspiracy theory aspect I don't know, but it has to be one of the two above.
 
What else do we have?
Finding out how many positive tests include positive antibodies tests. How many are old numbers in to catch up. Two things NJ has been famous for. Also reclassify a previous death of an unrelated matter because it might have been a Covid death without testing. NJ doesn't adjust past numbers but simply add it too the current days count.
 
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Once again NJ is 3rd in reported covid deaths with 64. Go back the 14 to 21 day gestation period and we averaged 300 to 400 new cases. They're either telling me our health care system here in NJ completely sucks or we're counting deaths differently than other states. Because those death rate numbers are pretty much by far the worst in the country.(not even close) As for the conspiracy theory aspect I don't know, but it has to be one of the two above.
What I've heard from a Nurse Practitioner is that deaths seem to fall into 2 categories. Those that die quickly, and those that linger for a long while. Recently said she had a couple patients that were akin to skeletons.

We are certainly better in treating the virus so as to avoid deaths. We are also better in certain cases of merely delaying the inevitable.

So her telling may explain the data.

I doubt NJ is alone in this regard.
 
I'm assuming Murphy's mask order meets with your approval. Seems fairly reasonable to me and not far off what I was hoping for. Excerpt is below and there are some additional reasonable exceptions. For the vast majority of situations, it's basically, wear a mask if you can't be sure of maintaining proper distancing.

https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020...utside-to-battle-coronavirus-murphy-says.html

People in New Jersey will now be required to wear masks outside in public when social distancing isn’t possible to help prevent the coronavirus from spreading, under an executive order Gov. Phil Murphy signed Wednesday. Murphy stressed a mask isn’t required if you’re walking alone or with your family in your neighborhood or at a beach or park and are standing at least 6 feet away from others.

Instead, the order calls for you mask up if you’re an outdoor setting where people are gathering and you can’t keep your distance from people other than your family members, caretakers, household members, or romantic partners. “This is absolutely vital when individuals find themselves in a crowded situation — such as when walking down a packed boardwalk or in a line that is not properly spaced apart,” the governor said at his coronavirus briefing in Trenton.
It's literally no change from the current state. He went from "strongly recommended" to "required". Too bad that it's unenforceable. Once again, instead of being a real leader and dealing with the specific problems (and we all know what they are), he issues a meaningless blanket feel good statement.
 
What I've heard from a Nurse Practitioner is that deaths seem to fall into 2 categories. Those that die quickly, and those that linger for a long while. Recently said she had a couple patients that were akin to skeletons.

We are certainly better in treating the virus so as to avoid deaths. We are also better in certain cases of merely delaying the inevitable.

So her telling may explain the data.

I doubt NJ is alone in this regard.
My mother in law is a head nurse at Deborah Heart hospital(state mandated they take covid patients) they had their 1st Covid death. The man who died had been in a year before for heart surgery and told he didn't have long. He died of a heart attack but staff was instructed that since Covid couldn't be ruled out as an underlying cause it was listed under a Covid death. Is this what all states are doing?
 
My mother in law is a head nurse at Deborah Heart hospital(state mandated they take covid patients) they had their 1st Covid death. The man who died had been in a year before for heart surgery and told he didn't have long. He died of a heart attack but staff was instructed that since Covid couldn't be ruled out as an underlying cause it was listed under a Covid death. Is this what all states are doing?
Many states are doing similar things and are making the data questionable.
 
I'm assuming Murphy's mask order meets with your approval. Seems fairly reasonable to me and not far off what I was hoping for. Excerpt is below and there are some additional reasonable exceptions. For the vast majority of situations, it's basically, wear a mask if you can't be sure of maintaining proper distancing.

https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020...utside-to-battle-coronavirus-murphy-says.html

People in New Jersey will now be required to wear masks outside in public when social distancing isn’t possible to help prevent the coronavirus from spreading, under an executive order Gov. Phil Murphy signed Wednesday. Murphy stressed a mask isn’t required if you’re walking alone or with your family in your neighborhood or at a beach or park and are standing at least 6 feet away from others.

Instead, the order calls for you mask up if you’re an outdoor setting where people are gathering and you can’t keep your distance from people other than your family members, caretakers, household members, or romantic partners. “This is absolutely vital when individuals find themselves in a crowded situation — such as when walking down a packed boardwalk or in a line that is not properly spaced apart,” the governor said at his coronavirus briefing in Trenton.


its meaningless for show, people were doing this anyway, now he is just appearing to be a dictator
 
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My mother in law is a head nurse at Deborah Heart hospital(state mandated they take covid patients) they had their 1st Covid death. The man who died had been in a year before for heart surgery and told he didn't have long. He died of a heart attack but staff was instructed that since Covid couldn't be ruled out as an underlying cause it was listed under a Covid death. Is this what all states are doing?
New Jersey has been doing this all along classifying many deaths as covid even if they weren't all because of money!!
 
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