Have not been optimistic from the beginning on this one, but hopefully, they'll prove me wrong.
COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...
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Have not been optimistic from the beginning on this one, but hopefully, they'll prove me wrong.
Yes, multiple trials are underway and a French one should've had data by now, from what I recall. I still have no idea why the FDA didn't drive a randomized/controlled study in April. I've asked experts in the field and nobody has a good answer. We had a ton of patients and had all the technology in NYC to do it.
https://theprint.in/world/us-drug-a...a-therapy-for-covid-19-reveals-report/471148/
Yeah seems odd to me. It’s basically an already approved therapy. Prove it out and give it to anyone who walks into a hospital.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/anal...-sars-cov-2/story-QhTBa4DKqkN0cIov3q5dVP.html
Yet, this fast-spreading virus does not infect all the members of an infected person’s family. On an average, only 10-20% of family members develop the infection after one infection in their family. This rate of secondary cases in a close contact in the family is called household Secondary Attack Rate (SAR).
A global literature review we conducted at the Indian Institute of Public Health Gandhinagar (IIPHG) on SAR showed that the rate is variable — from 4.6% to 50%. Infection rates are higher among the spouse or partner of the primary case and elderly members of the family, but it is lower in children. But most studies showed that 80-90% family members do not develop Covid-19 after a primary case is diagnosed in the family.
Early ICMR data indicates SAR in India is 6%, which means that 94% of family members did not develop Covid-19 even when one member tested positive. This is surprising as the virus is infectious and we are told that one can get infected during a brief five-10 minute exposure at public places such as shops, vegetable vendors or banks. Studies have shown that a person with Covid-19 is most infectious two days before symptoms appear. This means a person begins infecting others on an average at least three to five days before being diagnosed, when no one around them at home is using masks or maintaining social distancing.
Family members are in close contact with each other, sleeping, eating and living in close proximity. In spite of this close contact with an infected person, only 10-20% family members get infected as per most studies published in scientific literature globally.
Yet, this fast-spreading virus does not infect all the members of an infected person’s family. On an average, only 10-20% of family members develop the infection after one infection in their family. This rate of secondary cases in a close contact in the family is called household Secondary Attack Rate (SAR).
A global literature review we conducted at the Indian Institute of Public Health Gandhinagar (IIPHG) on SAR showed that the rate is variable — from 4.6% to 50%. Infection rates are higher among the spouse or partner of the primary case and elderly members of the family, but it is lower in children. But most studies showed that 80-90% family members do not develop Covid-19 after a primary case is diagnosed in the family.
Early ICMR data indicates SAR in India is 6%, which means that 94% of family members did not develop Covid-19 even when one member tested positive. This is surprising as the virus is infectious and we are told that one can get infected during a brief five-10 minute exposure at public places such as shops, vegetable vendors or banks. Studies have shown that a person with Covid-19 is most infectious two days before symptoms appear. This means a person begins infecting others on an average at least three to five days before being diagnosed, when no one around them at home is using masks or maintaining social distancing.
Family members are in close contact with each other, sleeping, eating and living in close proximity. In spite of this close contact with an infected person, only 10-20% family members get infected as per most studies published in scientific literature globally.
Texas had their most deaths of any day today actually, they took off over 200 deaths that had previously been counted. Cases there did decline today though.
Basically the 600 they added the other day was really 400.
She's fing nuts with all the other loonies out there. Who in there right mind is gonna wear a mask and a shield all the time? It's all about the control baby. How far can the government go. It seems each week they are testing the public. Really pushing the globalist agenda with good sheep following the shepherd. If Birx and Fauci said wearing a red clowns wig will help prevent the spread of Covid the flock will stampede to the nearest clown store. They are all part of the Cabal. See how happy she she describing how innovative the human population is in creating a mask. Here you go. First week in elementary school how about the little children create their masks or better yet lets all make a face shield. OK class...today we are going to create masks and face shields to wear to protect everyone from the virus so grandma and grandpa don't die. Maybe one with Sponge Bob ooooohhh ohhh better how bout an Elsa face shield? Bubble helmets are next. F@$% THAT!
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Hillsborough schools going with2 1/2 day sessions and 3 remote. This world is F'd up.
We tried it with our immediate neighbor. Was going great, until we got cheated on. One day about a month ago, the mom said, oops, we had a slip up when talking to our diagonal neighbors - her kid started playing with their kids. We said, ok, don’t let it happen again. A few days later, the mom wanted to take her boy and my boys to a farm. We weren’t quite ready for that yet, so said no. Next day, we see the kid playing with the same diagonal neighbor’s kids. We asked the mom, she said she didn’t know about it. First BS. Then the day after, we see them all together again. Enough was enough and we confronted her about it and she pretty much lied to my wife. My wife suffers no crap and called her out on it. I couldn’t care less if her and her whole family licked every doorknob from here to Miami. But, to not have common courtesy to tell us that she wanted to change our mutual situation was very disappointing. We are civil, but it’s pretty frosty right now. It’s funny because both her and my wife are Eastern European and neither will ever give an inch. Shame for her because she got free child care out of us - the kid was literally here all day, every day for lunch and often dinner for the first few months of lockdown.
Open 5 days a week for in-person education plus synced up live streaming of classes with interactive audio boards for those that want/need to stay home. Perfectly flexibility for families throughout the year. Can go back and forth with either option.
Additional details for our school includes significant upgrades to the building - HVAC, bipolar ionization, MER13 filters, all classrooms to have outdoor air sources, touchless door systems in hallways and bathroom, creation of outdoor classrooms to utilize our 55 acres of preserved land (as weather permits), etc. Mandatory masks, prevention of cross exposure to other classes and grades. Lunch in the classroom, via food services or brown bag (everything must be disposable). Our school has been working on this plan since March and has partnered with McKinsey and Yale Med School's department of infectious diseases (the director's daughter is an alumnae).
In case anyone has missed her, Dr Yan the defector from China (and the first researcher called in to investigate the outbreak) has been spilling the beans on the CCP. The virus isn't natural (that was figured out before) and the CCP knew about human to human transmission in early December but wouldn't warn anyone.
"I am waiting to tell all the things I know, provide all the evidence to the U.S. Government," Yan added. "And I want them to understand, and I also want the U.S. people to understand how terrible this is. It is not what you have seen ... This is something very different. We have to chase the true evidence and get the real evidence because this is a key part to stop this pandemic. We don't have much time."
https://www.foxnews.com/media/li-meng-yan-virologist-china-coronavirus-coverup
Its interesting to note that while CCP new the truth about the virus, it was allowing Chinese people to fly around the world by the thousands while they were locking their country down at home.
Extensive Chinese travel stats 5.50 in..
.
"I am waiting to tell all the things I know, provide all the evidence to the U.S. Government," Yan added. "And I want them to understand, and I also want the U.S. people to understand how terrible this is. It is not what you have seen ... This is something very different. We have to chase the true evidence and get the real evidence because this is a key part to stop this pandemic. We don't have much time."
https://www.foxnews.com/media/li-meng-yan-virologist-china-coronavirus-coverup
Its interesting to note that while CCP new the truth about the virus, it was allowing Chinese people to fly around the world by the thousands while they were locking their country down at home.
Extensive Chinese travel stats 5.50 in..
.
Unfortunately, research is starting to build showing that children might be just as infectious as adults, despite still being seriously impacted far less than adults. This does not bode well for schools and teachers/staff and reopening without pretty stringent controls/procedures in place to prevent transmissions to both staff and parents.
The Israeli study quoted above and the significant increases in children being infected as per the other post above are both disconcerting and this latest research from Northwestern (link/excerpt below) on viral loads in children 0-5 and 5-18 being as high or higher than in adults was not very reassuring either, although it should be noted that they were assaying viral RNA, not active virus (which is much harder to do).
I still think schools can be reopened safely (in areas with low transmission rates), but it's going to require a lot of planning, masking, and creative ways to distance, like split sessions or using other spaces (or even outdoor classes when possible) and some combo of on-line options for some to keep density down.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2768952
Early reports did not find strong evidence of children as major contributors to SARS-CoV-2 spread,3 but school closures early in pandemic responses thwarted larger-scale investigations of schools as a source of community transmission. As public health systems look to reopen schools and day cares, understanding transmission potential in children will be important to guide public health measures. Here, we report that replication of SARS-CoV-2 in older children leads to similar levels of viral nucleic acid as adults, but significantly greater amounts of viral nucleic acid are detected in children younger than 5 years.
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She said nothing about the virus not being "natural." She said a ton about the Chinese government lying and covering up in the early month or two of the outbreak, which is pretty well known (and we know their case/death estimates are a fiction) and we should all want to know more about that.
Actually she has - and quite often. She's being interviewed on TV more than in print (mostly ignoring her of course)
“The virus did not originate in nature and did not emerge from the market in Wuhan,” Li-Meng Yan, who says she was employed by the Chinese authorities to study the coronavirus alongside the World Health Organization (WHO), said in an interview with Spanish daily El Mundo."
https://en.as.com/en/2020/07/27/latest_news/1595845923_425797.html
No, but certain segments of the population want to believe one side or another so badly that they tend to gobble up the disinformation and run to mountaintop to proclaim it gospel.
This is unfortunate, but these types of decisions have been made in many different continents where the healthcare systems have been overburdened.
I know you have been behind Birx for a while. She lost me immediately in the first pandemic, national, press conference. She never got my respect for her direction and leadership after that.
ahead of his time....
...well partially at least. He isnt wearing a mask.
I was excited on the prospects for Cytodyn way back when..as you know. They dont seem like they can get their act together and could use better leadership. Leronlimab, in theory looked very promising but I have not followed their news much lately due to my lack of faith in their leadership.
Perhaps when/if she has something concrete, she'll get more airtime. It's one thing to repeat a conspiracy theory - it's quite another to prove that the vast majority of the world's top virologists, who believe the virus is like every other virus in history - naturally produced and which jumped zoonotically to humans - are wrong. We just saw a completely unhinged doctor claiming HCQ/Az/Zn was the cure for the virus, so even scientists aren't immune from seeking the spotlight.
Maybe it's the few beers I had but this is a pretty hard video to watch. No voice to match the talking, trying to read the subtitles, and having a narrator speak different words than the subtitles. Did the Wuhan Elementary School put this piece together?
They had an investor conference call, much of which is summarized at the link below. It's amazing to see the difference between what was actually said by the CEO and others (not much, although the CEO did say he "believes it will be better than remdesivir") and what the investor types on the chat are saying about his being the best drug ever for COVID. Supposedly we find out more in a week and they have papers being prepared. It may end up being a great drug, but they don't have that data yet.
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CYDY/community/
Back to the national picture (no time for those detailed posts with everything in them more than weekly).
Below is the Worldometers detailed graphic of US deaths and the COVID Tracking charts of US tests, cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, all on 7-day moving averages. Today's WM total of 1425 is the highest total since 1567 on 5/27.
Factoring in the usual weekend dip (461 on Sunday and 596 on Monday, totaling 1057; the previous Sun/Mon was 957 and 2 weeks before was 860) the 7-day moving average is up to 1022 on Worldometers and 1058 on Covidtracking, meaning we're at about half the peak death rate seen in wave 1 (around 2000-2200/day for about 3 weeks). Clearly, deaths are still rising, nationally, although not as fast as in the first wave - I wouldn't expect them to go above 1300-1400 per day.
Cases were also well down at 56K on Sunday, but they were back up to 66K today, such that the 7-day average looks like a plateau over the past two weeks in the 65-67K range. Cases may start to decline soon, though, if the Rt data showing decreased transmission rates (to below 1.0) in FL/TX/CA, the three most populous states, are correct.
With regard to states, the big news was TX, FL, and CA all setting new high death records and it's quite likely they'll be sustaining death rates this high for awhile, although the FL/TX peaks are still only about 40% of the peak rates seen in NJ. My guess has been these states would peak around 33-66% of NJ's peak, given younger infection profile and improved treatments/procedures and CA would only peak at ~15% of NJ's rate, given the improvements and better metrics at reopening and stronger mask requirements. TX is a bit of an odd case, as COVID Tracking added the 600 additional deaths now being reported (accounting improvements in TX) all in one day, whereas Worldometers seems to have spread those out, since they both have similar overall totals Can make data analysis challenging.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
https://covidtracking.com/data#chart-annotations
Below is the Worldometers detailed graphic of US deaths and the COVID Tracking charts of US tests, cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, all on 7-day moving averages. Not a great day, as Worldometers reported that we tied yesterday's record high in deaths for wave 2, with 1465, although COVID Tracking had a drop from 1447 yesterday to 1262 today. Regardless, the 7-day moving average continues its steady climb and is now around 1060 per day in both sources. Cases were up again today to over 68K, so the 7-day MA is still in a peak plateau and hospitalizations appear to be at their peak.
With regard to highlights from states, Arizona reported record high of 158 new deaths and Florida set another record today (3 days in a row), hitting 253 deaths; California dropped from their record of 192 on Wednesday to 114 deaths today. Texas continues with funky data reporting a record 322 on WM, but only 84 on CT - this is all in relation to how they're incorporating that 600 death increase, 225 of which were in error, supposedly (bottom line is deaths are increasing still).
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
https://covidtracking.com/data#chart-annotations
According to the CDC there have been almost 53M tests and 5 M positive for 9.45% (They say 10% for some reason so lets go with 10%)
I have no idea how many of those are testing the same person and same positive person. But let us say they are all unique individuals.
With 330M people in the USA.. let us make it 350M to account for all forms of aliens here.. 10% of that is 35M likely positives out here.. only 5M of which we (and they) know about.
So there are 30M people walking around with CoVid right now, all things being equal.. which they are not.
So.. who are all these people getting tested? If we look at athletes returning to college.. they are all getting tested. Before returning they were all just going about their lives.. but some of them had CoVid and didn't know it. And they likely got it from other people who had it and didn't know it and now those people do not have it but have the antibodies and do not know that either.. unless the scientists guess right and people lose the antibodies after a couple months.
So.. what's the point of this exercise? It is that I don't know what it means when we see reports of rises in positive tests here or there. We see a lot of people jumping to a lot of conclusions.. but we never had the data from which to judge what changes in positive tests means.
Above I roughly guestimated that 30M are walking around with CoVid and do not know it. That means there are a potential 315M people who do not have CoVid but could catch it. Or does it? How many of them have antibodies? Some may have other natural immunities just like there are those who are highly susceptible due to other risk factors.
We really do not know what it all means. Everyone is guessing.
I have no idea how many of those are testing the same person and same positive person. But let us say they are all unique individuals.
With 330M people in the USA.. let us make it 350M to account for all forms of aliens here.. 10% of that is 35M likely positives out here.. only 5M of which we (and they) know about.
So there are 30M people walking around with CoVid right now, all things being equal.. which they are not.
So.. who are all these people getting tested? If we look at athletes returning to college.. they are all getting tested. Before returning they were all just going about their lives.. but some of them had CoVid and didn't know it. And they likely got it from other people who had it and didn't know it and now those people do not have it but have the antibodies and do not know that either.. unless the scientists guess right and people lose the antibodies after a couple months.
So.. what's the point of this exercise? It is that I don't know what it means when we see reports of rises in positive tests here or there. We see a lot of people jumping to a lot of conclusions.. but we never had the data from which to judge what changes in positive tests means.
Above I roughly guestimated that 30M are walking around with CoVid and do not know it. That means there are a potential 315M people who do not have CoVid but could catch it. Or does it? How many of them have antibodies? Some may have other natural immunities just like there are those who are highly susceptible due to other risk factors.
We really do not know what it all means. Everyone is guessing.
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Good job by the US government, lock it all in:
U.S. agrees to pay Sanofi and GSK $2.1 billion for 100 million doses of coronavirus vaccine
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/31/us-...100-million-doses-of-coronavirus-vaccine.html
U.S. agrees to pay Sanofi and GSK $2.1 billion for 100 million doses of coronavirus vaccine
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/31/us-...100-million-doses-of-coronavirus-vaccine.html
Yeah, for those wearing tinfoil hats...
Let’s go Ru 91, and others interested in the latest news on Leronlimab, do not give up hope because the good news is right around the corner. Although the CEO is not polished, the drug results are the truth . Yesterday they announced they will have have the full efficacy results on the mild to moderate CoVid trial in 10days. They already released the safety results that were 64% more safe than placebo , and yesterday they released 3 efficacy findings so far showing by Day 3 that Leronlimab was better than placebo . As you know this was going to be more difficult because people on their own in mild cases get better in 14 days but Leronlimab got them better quicker and safer with no serious adverse side effects. The full topline report will be done in 10 days and submitted to the FDA for approval of the drug because it meet the criteria for unmet need. There is no drug out there that has gone through randomized double blinded trials for treatment of mild to moderate cases and works except Leronlimab .
Even more significant, the Data Safety Monitoring Committee , the independent review board of the FDA will be looking at 100 patients in the severe/critical CoVid trial on Monday August 3. If their peek reveals that the placebo arm has numerous deaths and the Leronlimab arm has few to none or is statistically significant, they can stop the trial and recommend approval of the drug to the FDA. The trial currently has 165 of the intended 390 patients enrolled.
So good news and help is likely 10 days away and the results will be published in a press release on the mild/ moderate and hopefully by next week on the severe / critical. . Then it goes to the FDA for approval and once approved will start saving more lives and let more things get back to normal. It will replace Remdesiver as the standard of care or be used in conjunction , hopefully soon. The best news is the science which doesn’t lie
. Dr. Bruce Patterson of Incelldx, the company that did the blood assays on the 60 EINDs will be on a podcast with Dr. O tonight to discuss Leronlimab MOA on CoVid.
You're wrong here, but I won't waste my time arguing
There's nothing wrong with science.
But I believe that scientists, more often than not, have their thumb on the scale.
This goes for the worlds leading virologists too.
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