If all home teams win including Minn over Wisc.
#1 Purdue 2-4 Iowa Indiana MSU
5-9 Michigan RU Maryland Illinois NW #10 PSU
11-12 Nebraska Wisconsin #13 Ohio St #14 Minnesota
We lose, we are a #9.
1) If Michigan wins at Indiana, Michigan move up to #3, Indiana drops to #9 vs #8 NW, big stakes for Indiana. We stay #6
2) If Iowa loses at home, Iowa #5, we fall to #8 even with a win, #9 NW
*We want Iowa winning, with RU 0-2 vs Iowa*
3) Illinois winning @ Purdue, ILL #4, MSU #5, drop us to a #7
Illinois game only affects a #6 to a #7
4) Maryland winning @ Penn St only, drops us to an #8 even with a win.
Illinois and UM winning, we are a #6 Maryland #7. NW/IND 8/9
Ill, UM, Maryland winning, would drop us to #7, NW/IND 8/9
Wisconsin win @ Minnesota and Nebraska loses @ Iowa only effects who we might face in round two as a #6. Wisconsin 11, Minn 14 in back 2 back games.
If Wisc and NEB matches wins or losses, Neb 1-0 vs Wisc, Neb 11 Wisc 12.
I would prefer getting a 6 vs 11/14 or 7 vs Penn St than face NW in back to back games, NW, Indiana, and Illinois are losing most tiebreakers at 11-9. Best case before our game, we don't want Iowa losing, keeps us in range for a 6 or 7 seed with a win in all scenarios. I think Michigan winning @ Indiana locks us at #6 or #7 with a win.