Predictions are starting to roll in, including the old benchmark from Colorado State University. So it's time, once again, to get your predictions in for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season!
CSU predicts that this season will be "active", with 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (Cat 3 +). The rules of our contest are as they always have been:
The CSU estimate is broken down to award 1 point for each named storm, 1.25 points for each hurricane and 1.75 points for each major hurricane. The point totals are then set against a multiplier so that the overall estimate totals 100 points. So for this year:
CSU: (16*1) + (8*1.25) + (4*1.75) x 3.0302 = 100
At the end of the season, the Actual Number of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes will be run through the same formula. The entry that is closest to that number is the winner.
Remember, the goal is twofold: You want to come closest to the actual total and you want to beat the CSU prediction, as well - the core assumption of this contest is that some random message board poster will come closer to reality, at the end of the season, than CSU's prediction.
Please submit your entries in this thread as "Number of Named Storms, Number of Hurricanes, Number of Major Hurricanes", e.g. "10, 6, 1".
Tallies will be made at the end of the Atlantic Tropical Season, Nov. 30 2020, and the winner announced.
*Important rule change for 2020: "Named storms" which occur prior to the June 1 official start of Hurricane Season will not be counted.
Good luck, and Godspeed. Remember to stay alive during Covid season, because You Must Be Present to Win!
CSU predicts that this season will be "active", with 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (Cat 3 +). The rules of our contest are as they always have been:
The CSU estimate is broken down to award 1 point for each named storm, 1.25 points for each hurricane and 1.75 points for each major hurricane. The point totals are then set against a multiplier so that the overall estimate totals 100 points. So for this year:
CSU: (16*1) + (8*1.25) + (4*1.75) x 3.0302 = 100
At the end of the season, the Actual Number of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes will be run through the same formula. The entry that is closest to that number is the winner.
Remember, the goal is twofold: You want to come closest to the actual total and you want to beat the CSU prediction, as well - the core assumption of this contest is that some random message board poster will come closer to reality, at the end of the season, than CSU's prediction.
Please submit your entries in this thread as "Number of Named Storms, Number of Hurricanes, Number of Major Hurricanes", e.g. "10, 6, 1".
Tallies will be made at the end of the Atlantic Tropical Season, Nov. 30 2020, and the winner announced.
*Important rule change for 2020: "Named storms" which occur prior to the June 1 official start of Hurricane Season will not be counted.
Good luck, and Godspeed. Remember to stay alive during Covid season, because You Must Be Present to Win!