Well, the tropics are heating up, as they usually do in mid-September and Invest 95L, an area of disturbed weather in the tropics just north of the SE tip of Cuba, near the Turks and Caicos, is forecast to have an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 2-4 days.
None of the models show it being anything more than a depression or minimal tropical storm in the next 2-3 days, as it meanders across the Bahamas and towards the FL east coast, so major impacts to those areas are unlikely, but even heavy rain is not needed for the northern Bahamas, which were devastated by Dorian.
Some models are showing a tropical storm to even a hurricane in the 3-4+ day timeframe (although not all models show development occurring) with tracks anywhere from across FL and into the Gulf of Mexico (if the system remains weak and disorganized) to up the east coast of the US (if it strengthens more quickly), with a track out to sea off the coast possible, but less likely, as there is a strong Atlantic ridge ("Bermuda High") to the north of this system.
There is even a small chance of a TS/hurricane impacting our area by late next week into the weekend, depending on timing. If that were to occur, the weather for the BC game could be impacted, but it's way, way, way too early to speculate on that. As of now the long range look ahead for Days 6-10 (which includes 9/21) is for well above normal temps and well below normal precip, so warm and dry is more likely for the game than wet, but again too early for that.
And beyond that there is another tropical wave a few hundred miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands, which the NHC has as having a 40% chance of development into a named storm in the next 5 days, as it moves mostly westward and approaches the Lesser Antilles (Leeward/Windward Islands) and the Caribbean.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
None of the models show it being anything more than a depression or minimal tropical storm in the next 2-3 days, as it meanders across the Bahamas and towards the FL east coast, so major impacts to those areas are unlikely, but even heavy rain is not needed for the northern Bahamas, which were devastated by Dorian.
Some models are showing a tropical storm to even a hurricane in the 3-4+ day timeframe (although not all models show development occurring) with tracks anywhere from across FL and into the Gulf of Mexico (if the system remains weak and disorganized) to up the east coast of the US (if it strengthens more quickly), with a track out to sea off the coast possible, but less likely, as there is a strong Atlantic ridge ("Bermuda High") to the north of this system.
There is even a small chance of a TS/hurricane impacting our area by late next week into the weekend, depending on timing. If that were to occur, the weather for the BC game could be impacted, but it's way, way, way too early to speculate on that. As of now the long range look ahead for Days 6-10 (which includes 9/21) is for well above normal temps and well below normal precip, so warm and dry is more likely for the game than wet, but again too early for that.
And beyond that there is another tropical wave a few hundred miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands, which the NHC has as having a 40% chance of development into a named storm in the next 5 days, as it moves mostly westward and approaches the Lesser Antilles (Leeward/Windward Islands) and the Caribbean.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
