ADVERTISEMENT

COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

Status
Not open for further replies.
Again goes back to your point about exponential growth, 1 person being sick is just not going to spread it to 10K people directly. Even in a large crowd, if one person spreads it to 10 people and those people spread it to another 10 that is, and those 100 spread it to 10 more people, we are still only at 1111 new cases total. It takes time for it to build.

It's after that, that it starts to accelerate rapidly, to 10K, and then 100K.

Even in this example I am using a much higher rate of spread, (which may be appropriate given the #'s gathered in the protest?) at a more common rate of spread it's apparent that the results of high numbers are not going to happen quickly.

That likely should have been the messaging from lefty media at the openings of southern states. Instead their message sounded like the impact would be evident immediately, which didn't happen, and thus the righty's said, look they are wrong, there really is nothing to fear here.
Yup you’re totally right but people are lazy and eveyrhing is about how will that effect me now or who cares about next month what about now
 
Go back and re-read my post on the incredible scientific advancement we've already seen on many levels. Nobody gave false hope of treatments other than the POTUS and Fox on HCQ - I've said dozens of times (mostly based on input from world class experts where I used to work and reading many expert opinions on line) that I didn't expect more than modest improvements from any existing therapies and that major improvements likely had to wait for convalescent plasma (looking promising) and moreso, engineered antibodies, which could be a near cure by September. And from day one, most experts have said 18 months for a vaccine would be incredibly fast with 12 months being almost impossible - well, we're probably going to make or even beat 12 months (counting from February).

But we can keep transmissions close to zero if everybody would practice distancing where possible and always wearing masks when closer than 6 feet away, indoors or outdoors. That's the most important message for everyone, but unfortunately we don't have government leadership who is sending that message and sending it regularly - people should be seeing government sponsored PSAs about these things every 10 minutes on TV. In the successful countries, the leadership has united their people behind these messages, framing it as everyone fighting together against a common enemy - the virus (not each other).
 
No, the obvious explanation is, once again, masks work. At least 50% were wearing masks and just that is enough to halve the transmission rate - plus transmission is a dose-response phenomenon, meaning one has to be in close contact for more than a few seconds to be infected and people weren't packed in like sardines for the most part (i.e., there was some distancing). My prediction was small spikes at most from the protests. There is zero evidence for the virus weakening.

Sounds selective on saying protests ok other stuff bad
 
  • Like
Reactions: Caliknight
And of course you manage to bring in the President and Fox News into the conversation ...lol...you ‘re not a political guy yeah I get it ...we have news for you as much as we all would like a vaccine sooner than later... 18 months isn’t good enough ... It may be 24 or 36 months...hallelujah and pass the peas...admit it #’s we aren’t any closer ...so wear a mask and socially distance unless it suits someone’s agenda... this guy had good insight and was upfront as his opinion was from not my viewpoint but that of a person with that large pharmaceutical giant... one that is working hard and in in contact with others... maybe Biden will find the cure in his basement.
 
Sounds selective on saying protests ok other stuff bad
Anytime people are around each other there is going to be a chance for transmission.

But even in situations where people are around each other you can mitigate the level of spread by wearing masks. While I think the protests are dangerous in that they are such large gatherings of people, it did look pretty clear a high % of people were wearing masks, and they were outdoors

By the sounds of it, not many people in the south are wearing masks, even when they are indoors.

That to me is the take away. No the protests were not good in terms of stopping covid spread, but the outdoor effect is real, and masks work.

Now as noted above I also think it will take time for the protests to show up in the data in terms of new cases.
 
No, the obvious explanation is, once again, masks work. At least 50% were wearing masks and just that is enough to halve the transmission rate - plus transmission is a dose-response phenomenon, meaning one has to be in close contact for more than a few seconds to be infected and people weren't packed in like sardines for the most part (i.e., there was some distancing). My prediction was small spikes at most from the protests. There is zero evidence for the virus weakening.
Even if half was wearing masks, there should be a bigger jump because I suspect the numbers are higher of number of protesters is more than what is announced. And the doctors/scientists who claim it might be weakening, they ain't using evidence? Honest question because I could tell you getting pissed by my suggestion it could be weakening.
 
Even if half was wearing masks, there should be a bigger jump because I suspect the numbers are higher of number of protesters is more than what is announced. And the doctors/scientists who claim it might be weakening, they ain't using evidence? Honest question because I could tell you getting pissed by my suggestion it could be weakening.
I think more than half of protestors were wearing masks. Seemed to be at least 75%-80 percent on Tv.
 
I think more than half of protestors were wearing masks. Seemed to be at least 75%-80 percent on Tv.
When there is physical contact and no social distancing, I have a hard time believing that the masks are the sole difference in the lack of a spike. No doubt it plays a part, but the whole part or most of the part.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Caliknight
When there is physical contact and no social distancing, I have a hard time believing that the masks are the sole difference in the lack of a spike. No doubt it plays a part, but the whole part or most of the part.
I agree with you, but so far maybe the data shows otherwise. In 2 weeks from now, the answer will certainly be more clear either way.
 
  • Like
Reactions: biker7766 and RU-05
Even if half was wearing masks, there should be a bigger jump because I suspect the numbers are higher of number of protesters is more than what is announced. And the doctors/scientists who claim it might be weakening, they ain't using evidence? Honest question because I could tell you getting pissed by my suggestion it could be weakening.
Not pissed - just don't like misinformation. A couple of scientists have said they thought it was weakening without any evidence. A couple of large research groups have seen some mutations that look similar to what occurred in SARS, where that virus weakened, but didn't show any actual weakening (just speculated that it could happen). The vast majority of virologists have seen no evidence of the virus weakening yet. It certainly could happen and it would be great if it did, but there's currently zero actual evidence that the virus is weakening. Just look at transmissions and deaths going way up on South/Central America and starting to in parts of Asia/Africa. They're down in the US and Europe for clear reasons - lockdowns and interventions (and probably some treatment improvements).
 
Not pissed - just don't like misinformation. A couple of scientists have said they thought it was weakening without any evidence. A couple of large research groups have seen some mutations that look similar to what occurred in SARS, where that virus weakened, but didn't show any actual weakening (just speculated that it could happen). The vast majority of virologists have seen no evidence of the virus weakening yet. It certainly could happen and it would be great if it did, but there's currently zero actual evidence that the virus is weakening. Just look at transmissions and deaths going way up on South/Central America and starting to in parts of Asia/Africa. They're down in the US and Europe for clear reasons - lockdowns and interventions (and probably some treatment improvements).
I wasn't basing what I said as information but more as speculation. Like at the beginning of this epidemic I wonder here if one of the contributing factors was obesity because I couldn't help but notice how about 90% of the victims I saw in photos was clearly overweight. And today obesity looks like it's one of the major contributing factors.
 
When there is physical contact and no social distancing, I have a hard time believing that the masks are the sole difference in the lack of a spike. No doubt it plays a part, but the whole part or most of the part.
Obviously. Claiming 50% were wearing masks is wishful thinking and completely without merit. And no one was keeping six feet a part. So, scrap the system and go out and live your best life people. Just like the rioters/“protestors”.
 
I wasn't basing what I said as information but more as speculation. Like at the beginning of this epidemic I wonder here if one of the contributing factors was obesity because I couldn't help but notice how about 90% of the victims I saw in photos was clearly overweight. And today obesity looks like it's one of the major contributing factors.


Unhealthy people are always at risk for most everything.
 
  • Like
Reactions: T2Kplus10
I think
Obviously. Claiming 50% were wearing masks is wishful thinking and completely without merit. And no one was keeping six feet a part. So, scrap the system and go out and live your best life people. Just like the rioters/“protestors”.
If that is the takeaway then we are screwed.

It's unfortunate that dem's are not pushing harder that these protests are transmission points. But the fact that the politicians aren't doing so, doesn't mean that those gatherings aren't exactly that.
 
Isn't overweight by definition unhealthy?
If it was then the NFL probably has the most unhealthiest work sector in America. Minus Sumo wrestling lol

I know plenty of people who are by definition overweight but are as healthy as a horse.
 
If it was then the NFL probably has the most unhealthiest work sector in America. Minus Sumo wrestling lol

I know plenty of people who are by definition overweight but are as healthy as a horse.
Well NFL offensive lines for sure, and interior D-men. Yeah those guys are pretty unhealthy relative to if they were skinnier. And you see it in many of those guys after they retire, but the job does require that they be humongous.
 
Should the media be the focus here?

Or should the virus be the focus?

For us, the virus.

But it's been very predictable how and what the media and some Democrat elected officials will say along the way.

For a few weeks CV was an afterthought by the MSM and some Govenors like Murphy who Hypocritically defied their own edicts.

Protest having your livelihoods closed and 1st Amendment rights, GRANDMA KILLER

Protest George Floyd's homicide, ITS OK, YOURE EXERCISING YOUR RIGHTS

The double standards are easy to see coming.

You'll see, there will be elected officials and media activists that will start talking about Oklahoma when they've been silent with the recent protests.
 
Well NFL offensive lines for sure, and interior D-men. Yeah those guys are pretty unhealthy relative to if they were skinnier. And you see it in many of those guys after they retire, but the job does require that they be humongous.
What we see after they retire is the effects of a brutal sport played on to their bodies, but it has little to do with them being overweight though that's not saying it doesn't.
 
Risk assessment ratings by public health experts in Michigan on 36 various activities.

From the article:

“There’s a huge amount of variation from business to business, from area to area, in how much transmission risk there is for resuming economic activity,” Dr. Katherine Baicker, of the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy, told Yahoo Finance’s The Ticker.

An analysis by MLive chose 36 American activities and asked four public health experts in Michigan to evaluate the risk of coronavirus exposure for each one. The doctors factored in whether the activity is inside or outside, proximity to others, length of potential exposure, likelihood of compliance, and personal risk level.

The experts gave a score to each activity, with 1 being the least risky and 10 being the riskiest, and MLive averaged their scores to come up with a ranking.

Bars, large music concerts, and packed sports stadiums are the riskiest places, according to experts, because of large groups of people congregating together with little room to keep at least six feet apart.

a80be580-aced-11ea-afdd-16c0583366f4


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/coronavirus-health-experts-ranked-activities-risk-132702304.html
I call complete BS that getting groceries is a low risk. People remove masks or uncover their nose once inside and there is zero social distancing in the aisles.
 
I'm pretty skeptical of the FL dashboard.

Hopkins is showing an increase in positivty rate. 7 day moving average up to 4.8%.

According to that site it looks like they are actually testing less.
 
For us, the virus.

But it's been very predictable how and what the media and some Democrat elected officials will say along the way.

For a few weeks CV was an afterthought by the MSM and some Govenors like Murphy who Hypocritically defied their own edicts.

Protest having your livelihoods closed and 1st Amendment rights, GRANDMA KILLER

Protest George Floyd's homicide, ITS OK, YOURE EXERCISING YOUR RIGHTS

The double standards are easy to see coming.

You'll see, there will be elected officials and media activists that will start talking about Oklahoma when they've been silent with the recent protests.
And Tucker, in the midst of a pandemic, huge protests, and a monster blowout day of the markets was going on about a twitter war involving the Harry Potter author.

Cable news sucks, we get it.
 
Yet people in NJ go and get groceries with masks and our #'s have sharply decreased.

#Followthedata.
No they enter with masks. There is no law where they can be thrown out by removing it inside or uncovering their nose. #Followthefacts of real world. And social distancing in the aisles?? Sharply decreased numbers, no. Grocery workers are becoming positive at the exact same rate as before masks were required. Please stop the BS.
 
No they enter with masks. There is no law where they can be thrown out by removing it inside or uncovering their nose. #Followthefacts of real world. And social distancing in the aisles?? Sharply decreased numbers, no. Grocery workers are becoming positive at the exact same rate as before masks were required. Please stop the BS.
There are numbers which track grocery store workers?

If thats true, it makes stronger mandates of masks, and wearing them correctly, all the more important.
 
No they enter with masks. There is no law where they can be thrown out by removing it inside or uncovering their nose. #Followthefacts of real world. And social distancing in the aisles?? Sharply decreased numbers, no. Grocery workers are becoming positive at the exact same rate as before masks were required. Please stop the BS.
Interesting info. Thanks for posting this!
 
There are numbers which track grocery store workers?

If thats true, it makes stronger mandates of masks, and wearing them correctly, all the more important.
Yes Wakefern, Acme etc are sharing their data among the stores. There was no spike at anytime nor improvement at at anytime before or after mandatory masks to enter. Employees in PA were required long before customers. There will be no new mandate to require them to continue a customer to wear them inside however from day 1 employees can be fired, union and management, if they are written up on multiple violations. We fired an overnight guy this week because of that and he was a tremendous worker. Never was within 20 feet of another night worker with no customers in the store. A outside vendor ratted him out. The number of positive employees on the night crew is zero. Sound fair or arbitrary??
 
I think more than half of protestors were wearing masks. Seemed to be at least 75%-80 percent on Tv.
I question your estimate of 75-80% wearing masks because it appears to be much less than that. Also, many weren't wearing masks that would protect from transmitting/receiving a virus. They were wearing loose handkerchiefs to cover their faces to conceal themselves and reduce the pepper spray that may be used by police.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT