He had credibility?
Well, given that statement I'm going to give this thread my highest 1 star rating!
OT-First day of Spring snowstorm
- Thread starter RU5781
- Start date
Well, given that statement I'm going to give this thread my highest 1 star rating!
Nick Gregory going with about 6", but noted possibility of up to a foot, while Lee Goldberg predicted 1-3" for coastal areas south of 195, 3-6" for the I-95 corridor from Trenton to NYC/LI, and 6"+ N and W of 287/78 in NJ and north of 287 in northern NJ/NY. Still a long ways to go, but at least a significant snowfall (3-6") is looking likely for most and a major snowfall (>6") is possible for most. A total rainstorm and an out to sea solution are becoming pretty unlikely.
Your shown to be incorrect and respond by proving you have no idea what your talking about.
The only thing "hysterical" is you.
they didnt want to hug the NAM because it was hardly showing anything, dont know what it showed tonight have not checked
NWS in NYC put it kindly, noting they have a low confidence forecast, given model variability from run to run within a model and across models. The Euro, in particular took a big jump east with the storm and showing less precip, going from a major snowstorm with up to a foot of snow for most, to a modest snowstorm with up to 6" with the highest amounts more near the coast. First NYC office snowfall map is up, showing a general 3-6" snowfall, wth highest amounts in CT/LI - not enough confidence yet in issuing watches.
They also noted that intensity will be light during most of the daylight hours, with little accumulation, due to indirect sunlight, which is more intense in late March, combined with borderline surface temps in the 33-35F range. Anyone who wants accumulations wants this storm to slow down a little so most of the snow falls after sunset, when accumulations will be much easier.
NWS in Philly talking about similar 3-6" amounts, but their map only goes through 9 pm Sunday, so I didn't bother posting. Still 2.5 days out, so time for some significant model shifts. I'd say we're almost certainly going to get at least an inch or two of snow and are likely to get several inches of snow, but the big snowfalls are looking less likely; no snow is very unlikely.
They also noted that intensity will be light during most of the daylight hours, with little accumulation, due to indirect sunlight, which is more intense in late March, combined with borderline surface temps in the 33-35F range. Anyone who wants accumulations wants this storm to slow down a little so most of the snow falls after sunset, when accumulations will be much easier.
NWS in Philly talking about similar 3-6" amounts, but their map only goes through 9 pm Sunday, so I didn't bother posting. Still 2.5 days out, so time for some significant model shifts. I'd say we're almost certainly going to get at least an inch or two of snow and are likely to get several inches of snow, but the big snowfalls are looking less likely; no snow is very unlikely.
You should have been banned when the thread rating got out of hand.
And all the overnight models have gone way east.
So if this winds up being a few incher, you look stupid. Again. And will be wrong. Again.
"Often-Wrong Two".
A
anon_ivydyf0amkzay
Guest
Now is the time for "wish-casting"...those who inexplicably want snow past St Patrick's (really any time) and those don't even want to see a single flake!
A weather queens' ideal scenario! Have the weather gurls on TV "rolled up" their sleeves yet? ...you know the universal sign of hard meteorological work!;)
A weather queens' ideal scenario! Have the weather gurls on TV "rolled up" their sleeves yet? ...you know the universal sign of hard meteorological work!;)
Is there coastal flooding associated with this storm? Perhaps Sunday morning's high tide? I have to go to work around noon and don't want to get stuck with no way out.
The 12z Canadian is in and it is colder and more snow than the GFS.
It gives those in purple and pink 6 or more inches of snow.
It gives those in purple and pink 6 or more inches of snow.
The 12z 3/18 GFS is in and it says what snow?
Only gives a few inches at best and most see little if anything.
Only gives a few inches at best and most see little if anything.
When does Mount Holly update? They are still saying 4-6" for central NJ and 3-4 around Middletown/northern shore area.
Start sharping your swords and battle axes.. WINTER IS COMING!!!
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
or a light dusting... who knows...
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
or a light dusting... who knows...
Here's the latest briefing package on the upcoming Nor'easter this weekend. http://1.usa.gov/1VdOrA6
The next briefing package will be posted by 5PM Friday March 18
12z Euro keeps hope alive (IF you want snow).
Narrow line of 4-8 inches for most in nyc area.
Most Falls during day though...
Narrow line of 4-8 inches for most in nyc area.
Most Falls during day though...
And that snow map was generated at 4:23 am and has ridiculously high amounts of snow.
the Euro is still less than what it showed yesterday...snowfall rates will not be intense, the ground has been warm, its March 21 not January so the weenies treating it like its a January storm and taking 4-8 inches amounts need to educate themselves....if the Euro is correct its a few inches mainly on grass and maybe some accume on roads at night.....if the other models are right then we hardly seen anything of note
"All the afternoon models are in and we are no closer to a consensus solution. The Canadian, Euro, and high res NAM have a narrow line of 4-8 inches but it mostly falls during day and would not stick much to roads. The GFS and regular NAM show virtually nothing. To get big snow and a snow day must fall mainly at night. Still time for things to change but the window is getting smaller. New models come in tonight. Still thinking at least several inches but there is huge bust potential. Further complicating the forecast is most of the models have recently had upgrades so there is no way of knowing what their weakness or performance will be."
Two ways this storm can go. Stays out to sea giving little snow or comes closer to coast with 6 or more inches along optimal track. Models struggling with where it will go...
