OT: Winter storm for 2/12 - Big Mess of Snow/Sleet/Rain (after minor snowfall on 2/11)
- Thread starter RU848789
- Start date
Funny thing-woke up to rain here in Wall (right across the river from Ocean County). It is not sleeting and accumulating here. I keep updating the hourly forecast graphic from Mount Holly, and the latest update shows it raining here in my zip code. Tough storm to predict:No, snow/sleet line has actually moved back south, under heavier precip rates. Sleet shows up really well on radar (the bright yellows) - looks to be sleet from Doylestown to Trenton, then up to just south of NB right now. It's snowing moderately in Metuchen and we have 1/4" on the ground. If we can somehow keep from changing to sleet for an hour more, we'll get an inch at this rate.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapCli...9&textField2=-74.0926&site=all&unit=0&dd=&bw=
At least we are getting some flakes. Daughter's school has closed, so a little white will make her happy.
No, snow/sleet line has actually moved back south, under heavier precip rates. Sleet shows up really well on radar (the bright yellows) - looks to be sleet from Doylestown to Trenton, then up to just south of NB right now. It's snowing moderately in Metuchen and we have 1/4" on the ground. If we can somehow keep from changing to sleet for an hour more, we'll get an inch at this rate.
Absolutely pouring snow here now - just measured 1/2" of snow and it's 29F. Might actually make that 1" of snow I was hoping to get, although looks like sleet line isn't far away...
Just looked outside now and it looks like a Colombian cargo plane just collided with a Bolivian cargo plane right over my house.
You know I love snow. But this is not a good time. Please make it stop.
I will have to lunch at N today, assuming they open, and enjoy the weather. If you're home, come on by and grab a bite.
It was pouring snow here. I got about .25". They are plowing the road to clear a path through the salt.
Had been a thin layer of sleet with wet roads but in the past 20 minutes it started coming down heavier and coating even busy streets.
I'll be at O later, not sure if they're open. :joy::joy::joy: If not I'll try P or Q..
Snow or rain ok but this sleet stuff bites.
If anyone wants to practice their Double Toe Loops, my deck is available.
Glad I got out in it when it was pouring snow, since it's now 90% sleet as of about 9:55 am (and 100% as of 10 am). We got 3/4" of snow before the change. Now let the sleetfest will begin - guessing we will get at least 1" of sleet out of this. Roads are treacherous - I can see Route 27 from my house and people are moving very slowly, as everything is covered. As I've said countless times, 1" of sleet is the same mass as roughly 3" of 10:1 snow and roads aren't going to be better with sleet, especially since sleet will melt more slowly than snow (much lower surface area to volume ratio).
Latest HRRR has me at sleet, with surface temps at or below 32F until 5 pm with another 0.3" liquid equivalent (LE) or so of sleet falling (would be ~1" sleet on top of the snow) - seems like precip forecast has really gone down, though. Changeover to rain would be around 6 pm as modeled, with a total of 1" LE for the storm, meaning about 0.5" LE as rain - if it's that late, the pm commute will be a tough one. 12Z NAM, on the other hand, also has me changing over around 5 pm, but with 0.6-0.7" total LE as frozen before then (6-7" worth of snow, as sleet mostly) and a total of 1.4" LE for the storm, so another 0.7" of plain rain after that.
The mesoscale, short-term models are showing significant freezing rain risks for much of the area (those models are best at detecting such risks). The HRRR and CMC-RDPS are both showing about 0.1" of freezing rain for the 95 corridor NE of Trenton (and NW of Philly) and are showing a lot more than that NW of there, i.e., up to 0.5", which would be horrendous if it verified. Nobody wants to see that, but folks should be aware of this risk. NAM is showing the freezing rain risk to be NW of 95, not along it, at least in NJ. Maps below.
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Well, you're certainly invited to join me at N. N is Novita, in Metuchen. A nice quiet place with great people and big windows to watch it snow (or sleet, which it's doing at the moment).
Sounds like a nice time. My daughter just went to her dads. I'm going to stay cozy in my town of N. and make some soup and bake cookies.
Carrot ginger soup and Oreo stuffed chocolate chip for my Valentine.[winking]
Is flirting allowed on these boards? I wasn't familiar with that rule.
I guess I've been spending too much time on the CE boards . . .
I joke with people and they do the same in return. [thumb2]
Oreo stuffed chocolate chip. Mmmmmm. Your Valentine should share with the rest of the class.
Any time on the CE board is too much time.
