UPDATE: FiveThirtyEight: (9) Rutgers falls to Louisville in Sweet 16

[CranfordKnight]

What could have been!

FiveThirtyEight is doing a mock tournament using ESPN Bracketology, their forecast probabilities and a 100-sided dice. After beating (8) St. Mary's in the first round of the West Regional, we stunned top seed Baylor by a point to advance to the Sweet 16, where we will face (4) Louisville.

In the opening round, we were 60% favorites despite the lower seed. In Round 2, we overcame odds of 29% to win, and have a 28% chance of advancing to the Elite 8 to face the winner of (2) Creighton and (3) Michigan St. for a spot in the Final Four. We currently have a 3% chance of winning the National Championship, tied for 11th of the 16 teams remaining.

From the Big Ten, in addition to MSU, we are joined in the Sweet 16 by (4) Maryland and (11) Indiana, who knocked off (3) Seton Hall in the 2nd Rd.

The 8th seeded women, unfortunately, were upset in the first round as a 66% favorite, to 9th seeded Central Michigan.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...d-in-the-second-round-of-the-ncaa-tournament/

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-ncaa-tournaments-sweet-16/

UPDATE: (9) Rutgers edged by (4) Louisville in the Sweet 16. (3) MSU and (4) Maryland advance to the Elite Eight, while Creighton's loss to MSU ends the Big East's chances of winning a title.

 

[cubuffsdoug]

:ThumbsUp

 

[FrankZ]

If we win this faux-tournament I don't know if I should be happy or sad.

 

[RW90]

Anyone storm the court?

 

[MadRU]

Anyone storm the court?

AI BK.

 

[satnom]

This is like playing Dungeons and Dragons as a kid..

GO RU

 

[FireBugOBJC]

Unless Rutgers beats the #1 team in the country, I hope the fans never storm the court.

 

[fluoxetine]

Unless Rutgers beats the #1 team in the country, I hope the fans never storm the court.

We stormed the court after Maryland.

 

[superfan01]

Horseshit.

 

[RUich]

The 8th seeded women, unfortunately, were upset in the first round as a 66% favorite, to 9th seeded Central Michigan.

This sounds the most realistic of it all. Rough season for the women.

 

[CranfordKnight]

This sounds the most realistic of it all. Rough season for the women.

Yeah, my reaction reading that was "I could see that". Happened last year.

 

[FireBugOBJC]

Storming the court just shows, in my opinion, that you never believed you belonged in the game. This year rutgers earned the respect so if next year every win against a ranked team has a court storming, I'll be disappointed

 

[GoodOl'Rutgers]

Storming the court just shows, in my opinion, that you never believed you belonged in the game. This year rutgers earned the respect so if next year every win against a ranked team has a court storming, I'll be disappointed

You are so out-of-touch.

Rutgers beating Maryland pretty much sured-up an NCAA Tourney invite for a student fan base that had ZERO expectation of Rutgers basketball making it to the tourney based on almost 30 years of futility... but beating a Top Ten Maryland team in those circumstances is no reason for celebration?

Get lost.

For all we know it was that celebration that charged up the players so they got over the road-game hump vs Purdue. But you think you know how fans should think and act.

Get lost.

 

[ScarletDave]

Storming the court just shows, in my opinion, that you never believed you belonged in the game. This year rutgers earned the respect so if next year every win against a ranked team has a court storming, I'll be disappointed

Loser mentality. Winners celebrate. Losers “pretend” they are not excited. College storming is about the students getting to go celebrate with their classmates immediately. I hope we do it for every game where a celebration is fitting

 

[Scangg]

You are so out-of-touch.

Rutgers beating Maryland pretty much sured-up an NCAA Tourney invite for a student fan base that had ZERO expectation of Rutgers basketball making it to the tourney based on almost 30 years of futility... but beating a Top Ten Maryland team in those circumstances is no reason for celebration?

Get lost.

For all we know it was that celebration that charged up the players so they got over the road-game hump vs Purdue. But you think you know how fans should think and act.

Get lost.

I fully expected Rutgers to make the tournament and win 20 games this year

 

[GoodOl'Rutgers]

I fully expected Rutgers to make the tournament and win 20 games this year

WHEN.. when did you "expect" that? After the SHU game? That's when I figured they had something special this time.

Was it during the St. Bonnies game when you wrote this:

"I've been in England and just got back in the country and caught a good portion of the game on my phone. Terrible coaching from Pike in so many ways. Ugh. Team looks soft and not playing with intensity. Pike needs to figure out the minutes and player combinations. The end of the game was a coaching disaster. Why weren't we pounding Myles inside? Then we take him out and press when they missed 10 out of 11 shots and leads to easy baskets. The clock management was embarrassing at the end. Lot of season left though. Can't overreact"​

The point is, when students choose to attend Rutgers, NCAA Tourneys for the basketball team were not part of the equation.

 

[knights1212]

I actually like it when the fans storm the court. It is exciting when we defeat a really highly ranked team. I just hope no one ever gets hurt in one of the celebrations. These are exciting times for RU.

 

[CranfordKnight]

WHEN.. when did you "expect" that? After the SHU game? That's when I figured they had something special this time.

Was it during the St. Bonnies game when you wrote this:

"I've been in England and just got back in the country and caught a good portion of the game on my phone. Terrible coaching from Pike in so many ways. Ugh. Team looks soft and not playing with intensity. Pike needs to figure out the minutes and player combinations. The end of the game was a coaching disaster. Why weren't we pounding Myles inside? Then we take him out and press when they missed 10 out of 11 shots and leads to easy baskets. The clock management was embarrassing at the end. Lot of season left though. Can't overreact"​

The point is, when students choose to attend Rutgers, NCAA Tourneys for the basketball team were not part of the equation.

Not only did he predict we'd go to the tournament and finish 11-9 in league (he's been good about reminding us :WideSmile:), but even the quote you trolled up was optimistic. Just a failure of a post all around.

 

[FireBugOBJC]

Exactly, Rutgers woulda been in the tournament this year so yea I think if it happens a bunch next year it's pretty embarrassing. Rutgers fans should have more confidence next year. But sure, keep acting like bottom feeders. Seth Greenberg now works in TV because all he cared about was beating Duke and storming the court.

 

[cubuffsdoug]

This sounds the most realistic of it all. Rough season for the women.

I'll take a rough season if it means 20 wins. It's amazing that we call the early exit rough all because they have established a level of expectation. That's what happens when have years of success since forever.

It's going to be fun in future as both teams look to continue having success on the court and 20 wins is the baseline.

 

[e5fdny]

You are so out-of-touch.

Rutgers beating Maryland pretty much sured-up an NCAA Tourney invite for a student fan base that had ZERO expectation of Rutgers basketball making it to the tourney based on almost 30 years of futility... but beating a Top Ten Maryland team in those circumstances is no reason for celebration?

Get lost.

For all we know it was that celebration that charged up the players so they got over the road-game hump vs Purdue. But you think you know how fans should think and act.

Get lost.

IMO it was the equivalent of doing the same in Football after the Navy game in 2005. For those reasons you listed.

 

[Scangg]

WHEN.. when did you "expect" that? After the SHU game? That's when I figured they had something special this time.

Was it during the St. Bonnies game when you wrote this:

"I've been in England and just got back in the country and caught a good portion of the game on my phone. Terrible coaching from Pike in so many ways. Ugh. Team looks soft and not playing with intensity. Pike needs to figure out the minutes and player combinations. The end of the game was a coaching disaster. Why weren't we pounding Myles inside? Then we take him out and press when they missed 10 out of 11 shots and leads to easy baskets. The clock management was embarrassing at the end. Lot of season left though. Can't overreact"​

The point is, when students choose to attend Rutgers, NCAA Tourneys for the basketball team were not part of the equation.

Prior to the season. Check the season prediction thread. Was actually calling this year as an NCAA tournament team since last season. Didn't change once EO left. Thought we would be better with Yeboah spacing the floor. Nothing about that post contradicts any of that. That was probably our worst game of the season and I even said lots of season left can't overreact. Not sure what point you were trying to prove but you failed.

 

[wheezer]

Unless Rutgers beats the #1 team in the country, I hope the fans never storm the court.

We had to do it, just for the barstool
Yellow raincoat guys, who took the time and effort to grace our game

 

[GoodOl'Rutgers]

Prior to the season. Check the season prediction thread. Was actually calling this year as an NCAA tournament team since last season. Didn't change once EO left. Thought we would be better with Yeboah spacing the floor. Nothing about that post contradicts any of that. That was probably our worst game of the season and I even said lots of season left can't overreact. Not sure what point you were trying to prove but you failed.

oh.. I looked for the season prediction thread.. did not see your post. Besides.. it doesn't matter what YOU predicted.

My point was toward why students stormed the court after beating Maryland.. as a whole, they hoped for the NCAAs.. sure.. they can do that every year. Just like some here are hoping GS can bring us to a bowl game.. but after nearly 30 years of futility? With the Big Ten itself and many sources predicting we'd be 12th of 14 teams? With the Big Ten never getting more than 8 teams into the Dance?

C'mon.. be real.. your guess.. your hope.. your prediction is not a response to my point about beating Maryland.

 

[FireBugOBJC]

Rutgers has a good chance of being a top 25 team next year. Court storming would be an embarrassment.

 

[CranfordKnight]

Updated in the OP and here with the latest results:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-ncaa-tournaments-sweet-16/

UPDATE: (9) Rutgers edged by (4) Louisville in the Sweet 16. (3) MSU and (4) Maryland advance to the Elite Eight, while Creighton's loss to MSU ends the Big East's chances of winning a title.

 

[RW90]

Updated in the OP and here with the latest results:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-ncaa-tournaments-sweet-16/

UPDATE: (9) Rutgers edged by (4) Louisville in the Sweet 16. (3) MSU and (4) Maryland advance to the Elite Eight, while Creighton's loss to MSU ends the Big East's chances of winning a title.

We wuz robbed. Hard to win playing 8 on 5 when the blue-bloods always get the favorable whistles from the refs.

 

[jerzeyguy]

Damn was really hoping to get to the elite 8

 

[Scarlet Shack]

WHEN.. when did you "expect" that? After the SHU game? That's when I figured they had something special this time.

Was it during the St. Bonnies game when you wrote this:

"I've been in England and just got back in the country and caught a good portion of the game on my phone. Terrible coaching from Pike in so many ways. Ugh. Team looks soft and not playing with intensity. Pike needs to figure out the minutes and player combinations. The end of the game was a coaching disaster. Why weren't we pounding Myles inside? Then we take him out and press when they missed 10 out of 11 shots and leads to easy baskets. The clock management was embarrassing at the end. Lot of season left though. Can't overreact"​

The point is, when students choose to attend Rutgers, NCAA Tourneys for the basketball team were not part of the equation.

Actually ...i was on record in October predicting a 20-11 record.

 

[GoodOl'Rutgers]

Actually ...I was on record in October predicting a 20-11 record.

oh.. you're the one?

bet you had us losing to St. Bonnies too.

I suppose your prediction meant the kids in the stands all believed it too.. right from October.. and they had no right to storm the court after beating Maryland.. because they should have expected it.. which was the entire point of my post.

 

[CranfordKnight]

For anyone interested in how this hypothetical tournament is playing out, both Maryland and MSU advanced to the Final Four, where MD fell to Kansas and MSU beat SDSU to advance to Monday's final.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-ncaa-tournaments-elite-eight/

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-ncaa-tournaments-final-four/

 

[whofrewdatmataRU13]

Can we stop posting these fake video game sim tournys, who cares.

 

[knights1212]

We are in the Final Four in Brad Wachtel's PlayTheTournament.com. We are in the Final Four against Seton Hall in that one. I believe Michigan and Maryland make up the other Final Four game.

 

[CranfordKnight]

Can we stop posting these fake video game sim tournys, who cares.

Not a video game tournament, asshat. GFY and move along if you don't want to read it.

 

[ScarletDave]

Older ones in the 100s don’t wanna storm, fine. But the students in the student section should be able to go celebrate on the court with their fellow students any time they see fit. As a student for 4 years in the B1G stretch you only get so many possible opportunities to do it where there’s a meaningful enough game a the team actually wins, that it is something special. To worry about what your COMPETITORS feel about when YOU deserve to CELEBRATE and to what level you get to celebrate, is what is weak. Not court storming. It’s supposed to be fun.

 

[RutgersNYCB1G]

Anything beyond a first round win would have been a bonus, and what a bonus this would have been. What a shame that we didn't get to see this play out.

 

[CranfordKnight]

And to wrap this up, in defiance of certain aggrieved posters above, Michigan State wins the hypothetical title with a 1-pt victory over Kansas.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...for-michigan-state-our-mens-bracket-champion/