How about Wisconsin which has been open the last four weeks? All data trending down there.
COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...
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No question, that will be the spin and hot take
Viral levels in wastewater has been discussed a few times here (not that I would expect you to know every post in 170 pages!) and it's a very interesting topic. Completely agree they can be a good indicator before testing, as can the real-time on-line fever indicators that many wear.
With regard to infection fatality rates, however, they don't add any new info, really. As I've posted many times, we now have antibody results in whole state populations and some cities (and countries) that generally indicate that the number of people infected are about 5-10X the positive case rate by PCR viral test (NY had ~12% positive back in early May and had about 1.7% infected by viral test, for a ratio of ~7:1). And NY in early May had 24K deaths and 12% of their pop is 2.4MM, so an IFR of 1.0%.
NY and Spain, right now, have the best IFR data, since both have antibody data (and of course deaths) and both are in the 1.0-1.2% IFR range. This is why I keep repeating how worried I am about not continuing with interventions, like masks/social distancing (and testing/tracing/isolating cases), since failure to do so could result in over 1MM US deaths eventually (assuming no cure/vaccine, which I think we'll have and assuming no weakening of the virus and no built-in immunity in large % of the population; these are all to show the worst case estimate, which is credible). It's very simple math: 330MM x 55-80% infected (herd immunity level) x 0.5-1.0% IFR (being conservative assuming some drop-off) = 900K-2.6MM deaths actually is the range.
down to 1701 in hospitals in NJ with Covid. Barring changes to the trends we will be under 1500 by the end of the weekend.
only if I was holding up a protest sign while it was happening.
But then closed on March 21
Stop trying to be sneaky
https://www-nj-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/06/nj-nail-salons-can-reopen-along-with-hair-salons-and-barber-shops-on-june-22.html?amp_js_v=a3&_gsa=1&outputType=amp&usqp=mq331AQFKAGwASA=#aoh=15918153354503&referrer=https://www.google.com&_tf=From %1$s&share=https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/06/nj-nail-salons-can-reopen-along-with-hair-salons-and-barber-shops-on-june-22.html
Technically , it's possible
Let's say he got a haircut on January 2
Some people only go every two months.
He was due for a cut on March 22.
Couldn't do so.
He would be coming up on 6 months in a few weeks
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5 months...and the person in your hypothetical scenario should’ve had the foresight to get a haircut the weekend of the 15th. Personal responsibility!
Your math is wrong he woUld have to get one every 3 months. Who waits that long
January through June is 5 months?
Count each month
You and fkr are embarrassing yourselves with 1st grade math [roll]
March is three months from June. You said January to March is 2 months. 2+3=5
Count each month
It's hypothetical anyways, spares point was that Comrade Murphy shut down salons and barbers in March and they are still closed.
Thanks for admitting you’re either mentally handicapped or a troll. Important for us who aren’t either of those, to know these things. Seriously, thank you.
He's such an idiot he can't figure out that I didn't need a haircut until after March 10th. Nothing surprises me with that guy though.
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12 states with rising hospitalizations.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/06/10/health/us-coronavirus-wednesday/index.html
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/06/10/health/us-coronavirus-wednesday/index.html
Bald men at higher risk of severe case of Covid-19, research finds
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...her-risk-severe-case-covid-19-research-finds/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...her-risk-severe-case-covid-19-research-finds/
Now that’s a new one I hadn’t seen. Had read blood type A can be more susceptible to severe cases and O protective to a degree but baldness as a sign of susceptibility is a new one to me.
And formerly likes it LOL. Disgusting
It's only surprising to the head-in-the-sand crowd who think the virus is "over" or "weakened" or whatever, which is ridiculous with only about 3-5% of the US population likely having been infected (with hotspots of up to 20% infected, like NYC and likely NE NJ adjacent to NYC) at this point and herd immunity being somewhere from 55-80% and certainly no signs of the virus weakening across much of the rest of the world where deaths are going up. US/Europe deaths have gone way down due to interventions, like lockdowns, social distancing, masks and more testing/better treatments, not due to any change in the virus.
Here's the WaPo article on this, although to be fair, these states aren't seeing exponential growth like we did in the DC-Boston corridor, but still, record new case rates are at least alarming and could indicate even worse numbers coming, if these states continue to have large numbers of people ignoring social distancing and mask wearing, as most of them have.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...y-average-new-covid-19-infections-since-june/
What does he care, he's guarding his parents basement 24/7
The protest increases should be part of the new increases . Over the next few weeks more states will show higher hospitalization rates.
The diets of Wisconsin residents will help them weather the virus. That Wisconsin Cheddar has a medicinal value I’m told.
And a second randomized, controlled, blinded clinical trial with 2300 patients is coming out shortly, which the study author says shows HCQ had no benefit in post-exposure prophylaxis (similar to the Boulware study). Obviously, need to see the results to make observations/conclusions, but it's certainly not looking like HCQ is effective in preventing infections (or knocking them out early) for patients who have been exposed to the virus.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/202...roxychloroquine-can-treat-or-prevent-covid-19
A second large PEP trial has come up empty as well, its leader tells Science. Carried out in Barcelona, Spain, that study randomized more than 2300 people exposed to the virus to either hydroxychloroquine or the usual care. There was no significant difference between the number of people in each group who developed COVID-19, says Oriol Mitjà of the Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital. Mitjà says he has submitted the results for publication.
Still awaiting some trials on pre-exposure prophylaxis, but I've always been very skeptical of those, since lupus patients on HCQ actually get infected at a higher rate than RA patients, in general. And we already know that HCQ is not effective in hospitalized settings based on most retrospective studies showing no benefit (although some do), but moreso on the "Recovery" trial results released the other day, in which a randomized, standard-of-care controlled trial (the "gold standard" in clinical medicine) showed no efficacy for HCQ.
https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/t...entions-and-more.191275/page-149#post-4599886
Foresight...has it been so long that you forget this temporary shutdown of the country was sold to us as a 2 week, maybe 3 weeks tops, event.
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