when broads wave it's considered polite to wave back...So should we be polite and wave back?
when broads wave it's considered polite to wave back...
Don't think blowing is ever considered misogynist.Is blowing kisses considered misogynist?
Has strengthened to a tropical cyclone. 60-70% chance it strengthens to a tropical storm. Next step would be hurricane.Ouch!
System now an official "Invest - 97L" and the NHC did up the probability of TS formation from 60% to 70% within the next 7 days. Also, it's not quite yet a "cyclone" as there is no defined circulation center yet.Has strengthened to a tropical cyclone. 60-70% chance it strengthens to a tropical storm. Next step would be hurricane.
Given the model consensus (globals and hurricane models), it that's correct, it would be quite a coup. Right now it's a fairly big outlier.My internal forecast has going west coast of Florida into Alabama.
Given the model consensus (globals and hurricane models), it that's correct, it would be quite a coup. Right now it's a fairly big outlier.
Don't know where you saw that, but it's the exact opposite - this storm is far more dangerous than it looked 2 days ago.Looks like they're downgrading the potential for this storm.
I’m just hoping for a lot of rain in northeastern New Jersey this week. I don’t care if it’s from a hurricane, tropical storm, cyclone, the remnants of something, or the push of whatever is down there, but I’m just hoping for a lot of rain. Selfish reason, yes!
NJ or MD? Just came back after a week in OCMD.It’s like an October day here in OC today. Cold, gray and windy. Looks like a rainy week ahead
NJNJ or MD? Just came back after a week in OCMD.
Assuming he is flying to Miami. Wednesday storm will be in Carolinas. Also, Key West and Miami are far enough south and east that planes may still be flying.Friend is flying to Key West from Newark Wednesday morning at 10 AM. I told him keep an eye on the weather. He told me to keep him posted instead. Any possible troubles for him?
see the other threadAny clarity on the Tuesday-Thursday rain forecast for central NJ and northern NJ, or is the NWS just still guessing?
Allenwood/Wall/Farmingdale from NWS (1 to 1 3/4 inches of rain and call is for heavy rain and flooding Tuesday night--For Hoboken, NWS forecasting up to 3 inches of rain for the same time period) :
Tuesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. Low around 69. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Doubtful, as neither airport will have more than some rain, which won't cancel flights; however, I could see airlines routing a bit out of their way either to the east or west of Debby, which could add time to the trip.Friend is flying to Key West from Newark Wednesday morning at 10 AM. I told him keep an eye on the weather. He told me to keep him posted instead. Any possible troubles for him?
Well, it looks like Debby will be close enough to OCMD to funnel moisture up that way, where it's already supposed to be warm/humid from a stalled front, which is why the NWS is calling for the potential of 3-7" of rain through Saturday, with some of the time featuring showers and probably some torrential rain, but much of the time will likely just be cloudy, warm and humid. So, yes, quite a bit of rain is possible, but there should be decent dry stretches too. Once Debby's remnants pull away, it's looking drier and less humid (and not too hot) for Sunday/Monday. NWS discussion is below for that area.@RU848789 what’s the path looking like? I’m headed to OCMD Wednesday-Monday. Will it be constant rain the entire time?
No change for Tues-Thurs for coastal Monmouth, but the NWS backed off a decent amount on rainfall along/NW of 95, including in Hoboken. For you, still lots of rain falling in heavier showers, but then probably decent dry spells, although predicting when/where the heavier showers will be is not really possible. The forecast above still holds for the most part. How much rain we get beyond Thursday depends on Debby's track, which is still a bit uncertain.Any clarity on the Tuesday-Thursday rain forecast for central NJ and northern NJ, or is the NWS just still guessing?
Allenwood/Wall/Farmingdale from NWS (1 to 1 3/4 inches of rain and call is for heavy rain and flooding Tuesday night--For Hoboken, NWS forecasting up to 3 inches of rain for the same time period) :
Tuesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. Low around 69. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Well if you're going to do it leave tonight or by early tomorrow when the heavy rains likely kick in with maybe 2-4" per day over the next 3-4 days. NWS forecast is 10-16" rain for MB thru Sat.So...any recommendations for driving from Myrtle Beach to NJ this week? Is Myrtle going to get that 12-24"+ rain?
Thanks. Been doing some yard work and want to have stuff done by Tuesday evening to avoid having a washout of work in progress.No change for Tues-Thurs for coastal Monmouth, but the NWS backed off a decent amount on rainfall along/NW of 95, including in Hoboken. For you, still lots of rain falling in heavier showers, but then probably decent dry spells, although predicting when/where the heavier showers will be is not really possible. The forecast above still holds for the most part. How much rain we get beyond Thursday depends on Debby's track, which is still a bit uncertain.
So, it sounds like the storm will track inland (West) after hitting the Carolinas and not move up the coast. I actually had not appreciated that Tues-Thurs is a different storm and Debby is supposed to hit us Saturday.Well if you're going to do it leave tonight or by early tomorrow when the heavy rains likely kick in with maybe 2-4" per day over the next 3-4 days. NWS forecast is 10-16" rain for MB thru Sat.
I’m praying it goes out to sea. Doesn’t appear that way thoSo, it sounds like the storm will track inland (West) after hitting the Carolinas and not move up the coast. I actually had not appreciated that Tues-Thurs is a different storm and Debby is supposed to hit us Saturday.
From my favorite news source!
Tropical Storm Debby on track to dump heavy rain on N.J. region after pounding Southeast
New Jersey also faces a flooding threat from a different storm system Tuesday and Wednesday.www.nj.com