I stocked up, 30 pack bud Light, fireball, and ground beef for burgers
Thanks for all who post on these weather threads. I see this as a nuisance storm; but one that most municipalities/cities and NJ are NOT prepared for--so sent a memo to all employees to use good judgement and work from home Friday depending on their commutes--(some work within 40 blocks of our NYC offices) and to come in as early as possible tomorrow with the thought they can leave anytime from 10:30 onward depending on weather/reliability of their commutes.
Appreciate very much all of your perspectives. Seems to me the first storm of the season always surprises, either because of lack of preparation or out-performing--Good luck to all that venture out tomorrow afternoon.
Sorry we missed you. Not entirely sure I'll be there this weekend yet.Thanks! Could not find you at the tailgate Saturday- @mildone gave a good marker, but wandered past several times and did not see you there.
Sorry we missed you. Not entirely sure I'll be there this weekend yet.
And NWS-Philly issued advisories for Middlesex down through Salem in SW NJ and all counties NW of there in PA and NJ (still no map, though, lol). The Advisories are grouped as below. It's also worth noting that some of the more bullish snowfall models, like the Euro, have decreased snowfall amounts a bit to be more in line with some of the other models, although they're still showing more snow/sleet than the current forecasts - based on 10:1 ratios, but if the expected lower ratios of about 5:1 materialize and we get a decent amount of sleet, those "snowfall" projections will likely be in line with the accumulating snow forecasts from the NWS, below.
- For the counties in SNJ/SE PA along the Delaware from Mercer/Montgomery down to Salem/Chester, they're only calling for an inch or less of snow/sleet - the advisories are for the potential of a light glaze of freezing rain during the transition from snow/sleet to rain tomorrow late afternoon.
- For Middlesex, Somerset, Hunterdon, Bucks and Upper Montco the advisories are for 1-3" of snow/sleet and then a possible freezing rain glaze during the transition to rain in the early evening.
- For Morris, Warren, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton the Advisories are for 1-3" of snow and 0.1" of an ice glace during the transition to rain, which will be late at night.
- Finally for Sussex, Carbon and Monroe, the Advisories are for 2-4" of sleet and snow and up to 0.2" of freezing rain; in these locations the change to rain will likely be after midnight.
- For most locations, except far NW areas (like Sussex/Poconos), there will likely be an inch or so of rain after the transition, so most/all of the snow/sleet will likely be washed away.
Also, here's the NWS map for the whole eastern region - local offices still not updating theiir maps for some reason...
I see the map and the advisories--my commute is to Metropark--looks like 1-3" in Middlesex, with banding of 6" in the snowglobe of Metuchen-:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:. Skip it today, and work from home? I don't want any commuting hassles.For you, an umbrella and a boat...
Sounds like a French Toast Yellow Alert!Milk, bread, eggs!!!
I see the map and the advisories--my commute is to Metropark--looks like 1-3" in Middlesex, with banding of 6" in the snowglobe of Metuchen-:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:. Skip it today, and work from home? I don't want any commuting hassles.
I’m flying home from Dallas today. Supposed to land at EWR at 2 EST. Any shot my flight makes it?
Milk, bread, eggs!!!
We shall call this storm....Avery
Numbers, what do you think of weather willy as the forecaster/analyst?And NWS-Philly issued advisories for Middlesex down through Salem in SW NJ and all counties NW of there in PA and NJ (still no map, though, lol). The Advisories are grouped as follows:
- For the counties in SNJ/SE PA along the Delaware from Mercer/Montgomery down to Salem/Chester, they're only calling for an inch or less of snow/sleet - the advisories are for the potential of a light glaze of freezing rain during the transition from snow/sleet to rain tomorrow late afternoon.
- For Middlesex, Somerset, Hunterdon, Bucks and Upper Montco the advisories are for 1-3" of snow/sleet and then a possible freezing rain glaze during the transition to rain in the early evening.
- For Morris, Warren, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton the Advisories are for 1-3" of snow and 0.1" of an ice glace during the transition to rain, which will be late at night.
- Finally for Sussex, Carbon and Monroe, the Advisories are for 2-4" of sleet and snow and up to 0.2" of freezing rain; in these locations the change to rain will likely be after midnight.
- For most locations, except far NW areas (like Sussex/Poconos), there will likely be an inch or so of rain after the transition, so most/all of the snow/sleet will likely be washed away.
Also, here's the NWS map for the whole eastern region - local offices still not updating theiir maps for some reason...
Toilet paper!Milk, bread, eggs!!
Pretty stupid huh? I guess they need catchy little ways to keep people tuning in.
NWS in Philly and NYC continues with the same winter weather advisories as were issued at 4 pm yesterday, except they have adjusted snowfall amounts slightly upwards for areas NW of 95 and in the Hudson Valley. Bottom line is that for most of the area, the afternoon is likely to be a mess into the afternoon rush hour. (and into the evening and beyond for areas north of about 78). Here's the bulleted summary of the advisories, grouped as follows:
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=winter weather advisory
- For the counties in SNJ/SE PA along the Delaware from Mercer/Montgomery down to Salem/Chester, they're still only calling for an inch or less of snow/sleet - the advisories are for the potential of a light glaze of freezing rain during the transition from snow/sleet to rain lmid/ate this afternoon (precip will start in the Philly area by late morning).
- For Middlesex, Somerset, Hunterdon, Bucks and Upper Montco the advisories are unchanged for 1-3" of snow/sleet and then a possible freezing rain glaze during the transition to rain in the late afternoon to early evening (and precip should start around noon/early afternoon for most of CNJ/adjacent PA)
- For Morris, Warren, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton the Advisories were increased from 1-3" of snow to 2-4" of snow; the up to 0.1" of an ice glaze was retained, during the transition to rain which should be late in the evening (precip should start here by early afternoon).
- For Sussex, Carbon and Monroe, the Advisories were increased from 2-4" of sleet and snow to 4-6" of snow/sleet; the up to 0.2" of an ice glaze was retained, during the transition to rain which should be around midnight (precip should start here by early/mid afternoon).
- For NYC/Hudson no advisories were issued, but these areas are still forecast to receive about 1-2" of snow/sleet and then a possible freezing rain glaze during the transition to rain in the early evening (and precip should start around early/mid afternoon here). For LI, <1" snow/sleet is likely, as it's the furthest east location in the area and the track of the storm is hugging the east coast through NJ meaning SE winds for LI off the ocean in the 50s.
- For eastern Passaic, Eastern Bergen, Union, and Essex the advisories are unchanged for 1-2" of snow/sleet and then freezing rain up to 0.1" during the transition to rain in the early evening (and precip should start around early/mid afternoon).
- For Western Passaic/Western Bergen, Orange, Putnam, Rockland and Westchester, the Advisories were increased from 1-3" to 2-4" of sleet and snow and the up to 0.2" of an ice glaze was retained, during the transition to rain which should be around midnight (precip should start here by mid afternoon).
- For most locations, except far N/W areas (like Sussex/Poconos and the Hudson Valley), there will likely be an inch or more of rain after the transition, so most/all of the snow/sleet will likely be washed away; for the far N/W areas <1/2" of plain rain may fall, which may simply get absorbed into the sleet/snow pack.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=okx&wwa=winter weather advisory
Here's the NWS-NYC snowmap; still no updated map from NWS-Philly...
This seems a bad time to have my snowblower at the shop for repairs.Very busy at work, but Advisories have been extended to all of NJ except the coast, since the storm is already overperforming in SNJ/SE PA/DE. Short term models are also showing the potential for more like 2-4" for Trenton to NYC and 3-6" NW of there, especially NW of 78/287 and most pros are moving that way with their forecasts. Freezing rain transition also still likely with a glaze to 0.1" in most of the area being possible and more well N/W tonight. Very tricky forecast, because a delay of 1-2 hours in transition to sleet/ZR/rain means an extra 1-2" of snow given decent precip rates.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=winter weather advisory
Northern NJ just upgraded to Winter Storm Warning.
Wow.
Light snow starting in NE Philly Lower Bucks.