And St. Thomas, St, John's, and St. Croix ?
Those places aren't completely absent electricity for the next six months to a year. Compared to PR, the damage in the USVI is minimal - they still have basic services in place and operating.
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And St. Thomas, St, John's, and St. Croix ?
All that notwithstanding the fact that we may very well have to deploy National Guard troops there, perhaps for quite some time.
Agree with the sea level rise being a simple adder - an extra foot or so over the past 200 years is not trivial, but it's not making storm surges hugely greater. If a typical "major" storm surge is in the range of 6-10 feet, an extra foot would be 10-20% more.
However, using Galveston is a bit misleading. Deaths and destruction were far worse than most other storms due mostly to the fact that the beach/town were filled with beachgoers and they received essentially no warning of the surge. The 15 foot storm surge there was much less than Katrina's 27 foot surge in coastal Mississippi. The big difference in impact/deaths was that everyone knew what was going to happen in MS.
If Irma hadn't been beaten up by Cuba and had hit the east coast of Florida with 165 mph winds and record storm surges, instead of hitting the west coast with 130 mph winds and more moderate storm surges, we'd be talking about the worst hurricane catastrophe in the history of the US. People have no idea how lucky Florida got at the last minute. No idea.
camden - I wrote a bunch about what I thought about global warming's impact on storm frequency and intensity earlier on this page. My guess is that it's a very minor component currently, but if the worst global warming scenarios play out with regard to ocean temps being several degrees C warmer and sea levels being several meters greater than they are now, due to ice cap/glacier melting, then I think it's pretty obvious hurricanes will be worse than they are now from both an intensity and storm surge perspective. But we're not there now.
Thanks to you and RU4Real. The linked story suggests that even a foot of additional storm surge can be very damaging in low-lying areas. Comments about that or the piece in general?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...term=.27e671840ee3&wpisrc=nl_energy202&wpmm=1
Thanks to you and RU4Real. The linked story suggests that even a foot of additional storm surge can be very damaging in low-lying areas. Comments about that or the piece in general?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...term=.27e671840ee3&wpisrc=nl_energy202&wpmm=1
The article suggests that the extra foot can at times make a big difference; that the flooding of lower Manhattan from Sandy would not have occurred at 1912 ocean levels around New York.
I have a real stupid, geography question that is related to this. I'm used to US rivers flowing south (Hudson, Delaware, Mississippi, etc.) because thats where the ocean/gulf is. The dam that broke up is a 22 minute drive from my parents house in Quebradillas in NW PR and I never really played attention what flowed where down there. It is a mountainous area so obviously water will flow towards valleys. But does the water from the dam going to flow north towards the Caribbean?
Got my geography mixed up with the Caribbean and the Atlantic, my fault. With all else that going on down there, I was afraid the dam will flow northward towards my folks.North towards the Atlantic not the Caribbean . The river flows from the mountains inland towards the sea . The dam is on the north side of the lake that would indicated the river flow is south to north
Got my geography mixed up with the Caribbean and the Atlantic, my fault. With all else that going on down there, I was afraid the dam will flow northward towards my folks.
Thanks.
Got my geography mixed up with the Caribbean and the Atlantic, my fault. With all else that going on down there, I was afraid the dam will flow northward towards my folks.
Thanks.
So looks like Maria is still hanging around.
Thanks for the link. But it looks like it's a matter of time before it breaks.
Do you know if rip currents will be an issue, and when the current rip currents should subside? Water rescue teams, fire dept/EMS were quite busy this past weekend- over 30 rescues in Monmouth County.In a manner of speaking. There are TS warnings up for the NC cape region. Maria should pass well offshore of that area tomorrow night as it weakens to a tropical storm. It's doubtful the winds will be much of a factor in the area of Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds, which corresponds to the warning area. As was the case with Jose, heavy surf, beach erosion and potential flooding at high tide will be the greatest impacts.
By Saturday Maria is forecast to have turned sharply ENE and be well out into the Atlantic.
Do you know if rip currents will be an issue, and when the current rip currents should subside? Water rescue teams, fire dept/EMS were quite busy this past weekend- over 30 rescues in Monmouth County.
Mother Nature is cruel. Brutally hot weekend, beaches were packed, water is warm, but you can't swim. I ventured in at dead low tide yesterday late afternoon with a boogie board, but would not go in past 3 feet deep. The pull of the rip tide was strong.Yeah, I was following the action over the weekend.
Rip currents are an issue whenever there's increased onshore water flow, so yes, they will continue to be a problem. Probably right up through the weekend, albeit subsiding a bit in the Friday / Saturday range.
Do you know if rip currents will be an issue, and when the current rip currents should subside? Water rescue teams, fire dept/EMS were quite busy this past weekend- over 30 rescues in Monmouth County.
I heard from relatives this morning that my parents and two uncles are fine at their house. Apparently their house withstood the storm but there's no electricity, water, power and the roads are F'ed in biblical proportions.Your town now has power from what I understand, have you been able to contact your family?
I heard from relatives this morning that my parents and two uncles are fine at their house. Apparently their house withstood the storm but there's no electricity, water, power and the roads are F'ed in biblical proportions.
Forgive me for not being happy since I still have to make sure they're ok by hearing their voices asap. Esp with all the stuff going on down there.
Thank you. My sister and i been trying for years to get them to move up to Philly with her. Knowing them, they're still would be too stubborn to come back up north.Tico, we're all glad your family members survived the storm. And no one doubts that the road ahead is going to be terribly hard.
Thank you. My sister and i been trying for years to get them to move up to Philly with her. Knowing them, they're still would be too stubborn to come back up north.
I've heard the airport is a mess.My parents will never leave. Being from Puerto Rico is like having state pride on steroids. They want to live there for the rest of their days. I am hoping to at least get them to stay here until everything is back up and running. But I am going to have to be able to speak with them 1st and the airlines have to actually start running again.
I haven't heard directly from my parents or family yet.
I have heard indirectly that they are fine and they actually have running water. No electricity, no phones and no cell phone towers yet. Roads pretty bad but it is worse in other places.
My parents will never leave. Being from Puerto Rico is like having state pride on steroids. They want to live there for the rest of their days. I am hoping to at least get them to stay here until everything is back up and running. But I am going to have to be able to speak with them 1st and the airlines have to actually start running again.
Very limited flights in and out of the international airports in San Juan and Aguadilla. More flights may be added on Monday.I've heard the airport is a mess.
Keep us updated on your family.Very limited flights in and out of the international airports in San Juan and Aguadilla. More flights may be added on Monday.